Commentary

Will Higher Rates Doom Stocks? Not Necessarily

While stocks can move higher, the bond market will continue to matter. Higher rates suggest that equity leadership may continue to reside in companies that are relatively rate insensitive.

Commentary

Triggers to Change Our Pro-Risk View

We are pro-risk, with the biggest overweight in U.S. stocks, yet eye three areas that could spur a view change.

Commentary

Three Investment Lessons From 2024

Three interconnected lessons from 2024 help shape our 2025 outlook.

Commentary

Taking Stock: Q1 2025 Equity Market Outlook

The S&P 500 Index posted its best month of the year in November, with a clear election result and a “no-surprise” Fed rate cut providing support.

Commentary

Economic Resilience Supports Cyclical Rally

Why cyclical leadership in equities could continue into 2025.

Commentary

Thematic Investing: Tomorrow’s Themes, Today

Investment themes are highly dynamic, shouldn’t your investment process be too? Learn about a systematic framework to help with identifying and investing across the themes driving markets.

Commentary

2025 Investment Outlook: Building the Transformation

Historical trends are being permanently broken in real time as mega forces, like the rise of artificial intelligence (AI), transform economies.

Commentary

Uneven Earnings Call for Granularity

Expectations for solid corporate earnings drove our U.S. and Japanese equity overweights this year. They have delivered, showing that fundamentals are key. Earnings strength could matter more to equity investors in 2025 over valuations.

Commentary

Why the Election Rally Could Continue

Why the equity market rally following the U.S. presidential election could continue into year-end.

Commentary

Positioning for a Transatlantic Divide

The current global expansion has been characterized as one of US exceptionalism. Despite many developed market economies outperforming low expectations, the robustness of the US expansion has stood out. We believe this can continue based on differences between the US and European economies.

Commentary

Active Management Will Drive Muni Returns in 2024

Municipal bonds broke their winning streak in October, posting negative total returns alongside broader fixed income assets.

Commentary

Weekly Market Commentary

We are in a world where multiple, starkly different outcomes are possible. The decisive U.S. election outcome has stoked uncertainty about future U.S. policy.

Commentary

Structural Forces Playing Out Now

This is not a typical business cycle. We see structural forces holding inflation higher long term, keeping the Fed from cutting as much as markets expect.

Commentary

Investing Around the Election and the Government Debt Problem

As we think about investing around a historic election, establishing what we know, what we need to know, and what we can count on is a useful foundation for navigating the uncertainty.

Commentary

Reasons to Remain Overweight U.S. Stocks

In this article, Russ Koesterich discusses why he believes U.S. exceptionalism is a trend that is likely to continue.