Common aphorisms and assumed truths about stock returns often imply the disappearance of risk over long horizons. Is that accurate?
Change is inevitable. When those changes involve tax law, it is extremely important for clients to meet with their financial professional, tax advisor, and legal advisor to discuss any adjustments that may need to be made to their financial, retirement, or estate plan.
One change that is looming is the expiration of provisions that were passed under the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act of 2017 (TCJA). Many of the provisions for individuals, including the higher estate tax exemption and the lower individual income tax brackets, were temporary and will expire (“sunset”) December 31, 2025 without further congressional action.
My guests today are two members of the MassMutual team. Lina Storm is the advanced sales & sales enablement marketing director dedicated to MassMutual’s Strategic Distribution team. Kathryn Wakefield is director of advanced sales at MassMutual.
Too many industry “experts” make value out to be much more elusive and complicated than it is.
We have been given the mandate to show our capabilities by growing our books of business to “earn the right” to work with clients.
Here are the 10 best books I read from September 2022 through August 2023.
An essential component of planning for retirement and old age is building financial resources to pay for LTC. Yet having enough money is not a guarantee of getting the best care you need when you need it.
Looking through the lens of ROL – return on life – are you focused on each client's quality of life or just the quantity of assets?
To better understand the growth mindset as it applies to your practice, look at some common misunderstandings, contrasting them with the outlook predicated by the proper mindset.
Rather than reacting to financial challenges and opportunities as they arise, local entrepreneurs are embracing new perspectives on change management by preparing for change beforehand.
How do you stand out in the crowded inbox and get more email opens?
Rising interest rates are giving sellers an opportunity to broaden their opportunity set.
If held until the bond is redeemed (either by call or maturity), the annual yield earned for the life of a bond is known upfront at the time of purchase. Knowing the return on an investment upfront makes long-term financial planning a much easier task.
The median US income in 2022 was $74,580, up from $22,420 in 1984 — a 233% rise over the 38-year time frame. However, if we adjust for inflation chained in 2022 dollars, the 1984 median is $56,780, and the increase drops to 31%.
Incorporating debt planning into your services helps your clients achieve a more comprehensive and sustainable financial future.
Many advisors aren’t familiar with financial phobias. They are common and can be debilitating.
Our commentary on household income distribution focuses on average household incomes over the 50+ year history of this data series. The analysis offers some fascinating insights into U.S. household incomes, but misses the implications of age for income. In this update, we examine household income from a different perspective with a focus on age bracket.
Why has there been a reluctance within the advisory profession to actively collect, much less leverage client experience feedback?
Understanding and managing your firm’s practice growth multiplier is your ticket to enduring success, higher profits, and a more rewarding practice.
The benefits of RILAs vary significantly by design, and buffer RILAs have historically been a more attractive addition to a portfolio than floor RILAs.
It’s an important time for Medicare beneficiaries to optimize their healthcare coverage and costs, and financial advisors are in the perfect position to guide clients through this crucial planning opportunity.
I've updated our monthly workforce analysis to include the latest employment report for August. The unemployment rate rose to 3.8% and the number of new non-farm jobs (a relatively volatile number subject to extensive revisions) came in at 187K.
I lost my dad, Alfred Munro Flaxington, this past weekend.
Here's an interesting set of charts that will especially resonate with those of us who follow economic and market cycles. Imagine that five years ago you invested $10,000 in the S&P 500. How much would it be worth today, with dividends reinvested but adjusted for inflation? The purchasing power of your investment has increased to $14,122 for an annualized real return of 6.92%.
In this article, I shed light on 10 common pitfalls and provide strategies to avoid them, ultimately helping you add more value to your client relationships.
One of the hardest parts of planning for our loved ones with disabilities is getting started. It’s overwhelming. Thinking of who will care for your child when you or your partner cannot is not easy. While we realize no one will care for your child like you do, you need to plan for the day when you no longer can.
In this session, we talk about one tool that may help with some of the financial responsibilities for supporting your loved one while helping them stay qualified for means-tested benefits supplemental security income (SSI) and Medicaid. My guest will introduce the importance of planning ahead and maintaining eligibility for public benefits whether the family is wealthy or has limited means.
Sometimes things sound the same, look the same, or feel the same – but they are not. It doesn’t necessarily mean one is better or worse than another but uniquely dissimilar and serving, unlike purposes.
The next time someone suggests that nonnormal returns are a problem with Monte Carlo, tell them that their concern is a nonissue.
You’re nearly there! You’re nearing the age when you can finally stop working and enjoy some well-earned rest. But there are a few more steps you should take before officially retiring, which will ensure greater financial stability and peace of mind in your later years.
Here are the six things you can do to create stellar content and increase your odds of going viral.
Why is it so hard to gain the confidence with my existing clients that I have with prospects and raise their fees?
Dropping a 100-page financial plan in favor of a simplified one-page plan delivers massive value to clients and wins over prospects.
AI is a tool to elevate and redefine job duties. Here are strategies for how AI can augment the work of fiduciary advisors while helping them stay relevant and competitive.
Recently, I came across an example of something worse than having no will…
So-called “finfluencers” are preying on naïve investors, promising unrealistic returns while generating excessive commissions for themselves. Their bait is an indexed-universal life (IUL) policy. Read this to avoid making a costly mistake.
Applying planning expertise is a very complicated art form, a skill that is acquired over time, but which can be accelerated if there were a way to capture many of things that soon-to-be-retired advisors have learned through years of practice.
Despite the increasing popularity of self-directed brokerage accounts (SDBAs) within 401(k) plans, recent data reveals that women are under-utilizing this investment tool.
Let’s look at the keys to creating a successful podcast.
There are tools to help you level up in client behavior, experience, and engagement.
The advisor of the future needs to embrace a new value proposition, according to John Kutz, Head of Workplace Retirement Distribution at Franklin Templeton. This means moving beyond the “three F’s” and taking a more holistic approach to changing client needs.
How do you cultivate a successful referral program?
I’ll outline content ideas to help your top sellers, C-suite leaders, or founders emerge as thought leaders.
Investors have access to multiple personalized indexing products, a key benefit of which is to allow for tax-loss harvesting (TLH). I analyze when TLH works and how helpful it is to returns.
When adjusting for more realistic assumptions and considering the fact that the insurance company can change return caps and that inflation is both an unknown and deep risk, an FIA, along with most annuities, is not on the efficient frontier in either accumulation or decumulation phases.
IUL is a popular investment, thanks to aggressive marketing. Before your clients succumb to high-pressure sales tactics, here’s a cautionary tale based on another lifetime purchase decision – buying an engagement ring.
I thought I’d lead with some really impressive statistics. I just finished reading our latest ADV Part 2 (the SEC disclosure document provided annually to clients) describing the firm.
After an unprecedented pause that started in March 2020, student loan repayments will finally resume in October 2023.
Twenty years ago, the answer to this question was obvious. Wirehouses had better technology compared to any other firm or affiliation model.
Why don’t more advisors recommend simple portfolios?
I’m having a hard time helping the senior advisor see that I have insights and ideas.
Investors are taking fright at commercial real estate risks in Sweden. But we think the situation is less threatening than feared.
Advisors are increasingly turning to OCIOs to differentiate their firms, increase profitability and scale their businesses through gained efficiencies.
Evan Harp sat down with Dr. Preston Cherry to discuss financial psychology, how it differs from behavioral finance, and how advisors can benefit from incorporating it into their practices.
What is the secret to digital marketing that drives website traffic and leads?
Bank of England raises interest rates again as expected. Rate hike likely to hurt first-time homebuyers in London. UK gilt curve appears to be pricing in a "higher rates for longer" scenario.
Admittedly, I’ve glossed over the other catalysts in Ackman’s thesis — including the aforementioned supply-demand issues and the fiscal and governance challenges that Fitch underscored in its recent downgrade — but the inflation call seems to be the linchpin to his argument, at least going by the math in the post.
While younger investors have taken a growing interest in artificial intelligence, advisors are cautioning individuals against using AI. They’ll use a do-it-yourself approach in hopes of gaining an investing edge.
I am a Wall Street guy, and, being a Wall Street guy, sometimes I forget that 99.9% of the planet has no clue what the stock market is doing on any given day. Or cares. It has zero bearing on their lives whatsoever.
The surprise move takes the rating to AA+ from AAA.
The only constant in life is change — and Wall Street strategists trying in vain to divine the stock market’s future. After collectively missing the lion’s share of the year-to-date rally in the S&P 500 Index, the Street’s macro soothsayers appear to be getting modestly more bullish again.
Of all the signs out there that the US will manage to dodge a recession once deemed inevitable, perhaps none is more convincing than this: CEOs across the country are opting to reinvest more of their profits in expansion projects rather than handing the money back to shareholders.
The question many economists, as well as market participants, asked themselves after the June Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting was why the Federal Reserve (Fed) paused its federal funds rate hike campaign if they were going to increase it again in July anyway.
A member of Putnam's Fixed Income team since 2007, Onsel Gulbiten analyzes macroeconomic issues, including inflation, interest rates, and policy developments.
You need to pay attention to the role of emotions to effectively communicate with your clients.
After a strong resurgence from last year’s bear market, the S&P 500 Index looks stretched. By at least one valuation measure, the leading gauge of the US stock market has rarely been more expensive during the past three decades.
Bitcoin trading volume tumbled last month amid waning volatility and little notable price swings in a market that speculators traditionally gravitate to for its turbulence.
Cynics often say about hedge funds are a compensation scheme masquerading as an asset class. If the critics are looking for ammunition to make their case, they need to look no further than Sculptor Capital Management Inc., the firm formerly known as Och-Ziff Capital Management.
The US Treasury boosted its estimate for federal borrowing for the current quarter as it addresses a deteriorating fiscal deficit and keeps replenishing its cash buffer.
Russ Koesterich CFA, JD, Managing Director, and Portfolio Manager discusses how improving economic expectations may suggest adding to cyclical areas of the market.
While the equity allocation of portfolios should increase for longer investment horizons, the adjustment should be less than implied by the historical evidence, and it should be based on each investor’s unique situation and preferences.
Investors on Wall Street and beyond are betting that the great tech rally of 2023 has staying power, even as they appear skeptical that the artificial intelligence era will live up to the hype.
Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell on Wednesday appeared to give traders the positive signal they’ve been waiting for — that the central bank may finally be wrapping up its steepest interest-rate hikes since the early 1980s.
When markets are rising, investors don’t always prepare for turbulence. Yet we think the best time to build a defensive plan for an equity allocation is before volatility strikes.
A professional advisor can craft a tailored, holistic financial plan that supports your needs, goals and intentions for the future.
Korea has emerged as a global powerhouse in many industries. Read Portfolio Managers Elli Lee and Sojung Park’s latest on how Korea continues to create new opportunities for investors.
Looking at the potential benefits, risks and societal changes of artificial intelligence from an investment lens with Stephen Dover, Head of Franklin Templeton Institute.
CIO Robert Horrocks, Ph.D., says peaking interest rates may strengthen the case for quality growth stocks in emerging markets.
High-quality investment grade municipal bonds provide growth-like returns for investors in a relatively more conservative investment vehicle than equities. Have your financial advisor assess the opportunity as it pertains to your specific goals.
Mortgage rates are the highest they’ve been in over 30 years, keeping home affordability in unprecedented territory. However, mortgage rates above 7% aren’t the only factor keeping home prices high.
While on the surface its argument is about the principle of copyright, what the clash reveals is just how little we know about the data behind breakthrough tech like ChatGPT.
A stellar year for JPMorgan Asset Management is proving to be an unusually tepid one for the world’s largest asset manager BlackRock Inc., shaking up the leaderboard in the $7.6 trillion US exchange-traded fund industry.
Central banks are set to hike policy rates this week. Markets expect rate cuts to soon follow due to cooling inflation, whereas we see central banks holding tight.
Howard Marks’ classic investing book The Most Important Thing has more nuggets of wisdom than I can count, but my personal favorites are his reflections on the futility of forecasting.
There’s another side to power, reflecting a more nuanced view. It can improve communication, convert more prospects and deepen relationships with existing clients.
Markets should brace for a deep US recession that warrants a dramatic one percentage-point interest-rate cut by the Federal Reserve, warned DoubleLine Capital’s Jeffrey Sherman.
TCW Group, the asset manager with a long history of managing bond funds, is expanding into exchange-traded funds with an agreement to buy an ETF business from activist investor Engine No. 1.
There is a particular “setup” that we’ve historically found to be associated with abrupt “air pockets” and “free falls” in the S&P 500. It combines hostile conditions in all three features most central to our investment discipline: rich valuations, unfavorable market internals, and extreme overextension.
Investors in ESG-labeled bonds expect well-structured issues with strong green or social credentials to command higher prices than the same issuer’s conventional bonds.
The Fed needs to resolve this disagreement — by making clear that it’s committed to getting inflation all the way back down to the 2% target.
Last year’s plunge in the S&P 500 made uber bear Mike Wilson the most celebrated stock forecaster on Wall Street. It’s a role he has failed to reprise in 2023.
Financial Planning
Long-Horizon Investing, Part 2: Stocks are Always Risky
Common aphorisms and assumed truths about stock returns often imply the disappearance of risk over long horizons. Is that accurate?
Preparing for the Sunset of the TCJA Tax Relief
Change is inevitable. When those changes involve tax law, it is extremely important for clients to meet with their financial professional, tax advisor, and legal advisor to discuss any adjustments that may need to be made to their financial, retirement, or estate plan.
Preparing for the Sunset of the TCJA Tax Relief
Change is inevitable. When those changes involve tax law, it is extremely important for clients to meet with their financial professional, tax advisor, and legal advisor to discuss any adjustments that may need to be made to their financial, retirement, or estate plan.
One change that is looming is the expiration of provisions that were passed under the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act of 2017 (TCJA). Many of the provisions for individuals, including the higher estate tax exemption and the lower individual income tax brackets, were temporary and will expire (“sunset”) December 31, 2025 without further congressional action.
My guests today are two members of the MassMutual team. Lina Storm is the advanced sales & sales enablement marketing director dedicated to MassMutual’s Strategic Distribution team. Kathryn Wakefield is director of advanced sales at MassMutual.
How to Uncover Your Clients’ Definition of Value
Too many industry “experts” make value out to be much more elusive and complicated than it is.
As a Next Gen, Why Do I Need to Prove Myself?
We have been given the mandate to show our capabilities by growing our books of business to “earn the right” to work with clients.
The 10 Best Non-Fiction Books of This Year
Here are the 10 best books I read from September 2022 through August 2023.
Why Clients Put Off Long-Term Care Planning
An essential component of planning for retirement and old age is building financial resources to pay for LTC. Yet having enough money is not a guarantee of getting the best care you need when you need it.
How to Increase your Clients’ Return on Life
Looking through the lens of ROL – return on life – are you focused on each client's quality of life or just the quantity of assets?
Developing a Growth Mindset: Why It Matters
To better understand the growth mindset as it applies to your practice, look at some common misunderstandings, contrasting them with the outlook predicated by the proper mindset.
The Top Five Strategies for Working with Small Business Owners
Rather than reacting to financial challenges and opportunities as they arise, local entrepreneurs are embracing new perspectives on change management by preparing for change beforehand.
How to Stand Out in an Inbox
How do you stand out in the crowded inbox and get more email opens?
Seller Financing of Real Estate is Back
Rising interest rates are giving sellers an opportunity to broaden their opportunity set.
Locking in Target Returns
If held until the bond is redeemed (either by call or maturity), the annual yield earned for the life of a bond is known upfront at the time of purchase. Knowing the return on an investment upfront makes long-term financial planning a much easier task.
Median Household Income by State: 2022 Update
The median US income in 2022 was $74,580, up from $22,420 in 1984 — a 233% rise over the 38-year time frame. However, if we adjust for inflation chained in 2022 dollars, the 1984 median is $56,780, and the increase drops to 31%.
The Importance of Debt Management
Incorporating debt planning into your services helps your clients achieve a more comprehensive and sustainable financial future.
Little Known Financial Phobias
Many advisors aren’t familiar with financial phobias. They are common and can be debilitating.
Median Household Incomes by Age Bracket: 1967-2022
Our commentary on household income distribution focuses on average household incomes over the 50+ year history of this data series. The analysis offers some fascinating insights into U.S. household incomes, but misses the implications of age for income. In this update, we examine household income from a different perspective with a focus on age bracket.
The Magnetic Power of Client Feedback
Why has there been a reluctance within the advisory profession to actively collect, much less leverage client experience feedback?
What is a Practice Growth Multiplier?
Understanding and managing your firm’s practice growth multiplier is your ticket to enduring success, higher profits, and a more rewarding practice.
RILAs: Buffers are Still Much Better than Floors
The benefits of RILAs vary significantly by design, and buffer RILAs have historically been a more attractive addition to a portfolio than floor RILAs.
Five Mistakes Advisors Make During Open Enrollment (And How to Avoid Them)
It’s an important time for Medicare beneficiaries to optimize their healthcare coverage and costs, and financial advisors are in the perfect position to guide clients through this crucial planning opportunity.
U.S. Workforce Analysis: August 2023 Update
I've updated our monthly workforce analysis to include the latest employment report for August. The unemployment rate rose to 3.8% and the number of new non-farm jobs (a relatively volatile number subject to extensive revisions) came in at 187K.
In Memory of My Dad, Alfred Munro Flaxington
I lost my dad, Alfred Munro Flaxington, this past weekend.
The Total Return Roller Coaster
Here's an interesting set of charts that will especially resonate with those of us who follow economic and market cycles. Imagine that five years ago you invested $10,000 in the S&P 500. How much would it be worth today, with dividends reinvested but adjusted for inflation? The purchasing power of your investment has increased to $14,122 for an annualized real return of 6.92%.
10 Medicare Mistakes Financial Advisors
In this article, I shed light on 10 common pitfalls and provide strategies to avoid them, ultimately helping you add more value to your client relationships.
ABLE Accounts for the Disability Community
One of the hardest parts of planning for our loved ones with disabilities is getting started. It’s overwhelming. Thinking of who will care for your child when you or your partner cannot is not easy. While we realize no one will care for your child like you do, you need to plan for the day when you no longer can.
In this session, we talk about one tool that may help with some of the financial responsibilities for supporting your loved one while helping them stay qualified for means-tested benefits supplemental security income (SSI) and Medicaid. My guest will introduce the importance of planning ahead and maintaining eligibility for public benefits whether the family is wealthy or has limited means.
Details Matter
Sometimes things sound the same, look the same, or feel the same – but they are not. It doesn’t necessarily mean one is better or worse than another but uniquely dissimilar and serving, unlike purposes.
A Key Criticism of Monte Carlo is Unfounded
The next time someone suggests that nonnormal returns are a problem with Monte Carlo, tell them that their concern is a nonissue.
Transitioning Into Retirement: Financial Strategies For The Final Stretch
You’re nearly there! You’re nearing the age when you can finally stop working and enjoy some well-earned rest. But there are a few more steps you should take before officially retiring, which will ensure greater financial stability and peace of mind in your later years.
Six Building Blocks for Creating Viral Content
Here are the six things you can do to create stellar content and increase your odds of going viral.
I Don’t Have the Guts to Raise My Fees
Why is it so hard to gain the confidence with my existing clients that I have with prospects and raise their fees?
To Deliver More Value, Simplify Your Financial Plans
Dropping a 100-page financial plan in favor of a simplified one-page plan delivers massive value to clients and wins over prospects.
The Evolving Dance of AI and Financial Advisors
AI is a tool to elevate and redefine job duties. Here are strategies for how AI can augment the work of fiduciary advisors while helping them stay relevant and competitive.
What's Worse Than Having No Will? Ask Aretha Franklin’s Family
Recently, I came across an example of something worse than having no will…
Don’t Buy an Indexed-Universal Life Policy Until You Read This
So-called “finfluencers” are preying on naïve investors, promising unrealistic returns while generating excessive commissions for themselves. Their bait is an indexed-universal life (IUL) policy. Read this to avoid making a costly mistake.
The Wisdom Capture Project
Applying planning expertise is a very complicated art form, a skill that is acquired over time, but which can be accelerated if there were a way to capture many of things that soon-to-be-retired advisors have learned through years of practice.
Women Are Under-Utilizing Self-Directed Brokerage Accounts
Despite the increasing popularity of self-directed brokerage accounts (SDBAs) within 401(k) plans, recent data reveals that women are under-utilizing this investment tool.
A Sound Idea: Use a Podcast to Build Your Business
Let’s look at the keys to creating a successful podcast.
Three Tools to Master Your EQ Game
There are tools to help you level up in client behavior, experience, and engagement.
Workplace Retirement Voice: Adding the Two “P”S to the Three “F”S
The advisor of the future needs to embrace a new value proposition, according to John Kutz, Head of Workplace Retirement Distribution at Franklin Templeton. This means moving beyond the “three F’s” and taking a more holistic approach to changing client needs.
How to Grow Your Firm Through Referrals
How do you cultivate a successful referral program?
From Rainmaker to Thought Leader
I’ll outline content ideas to help your top sellers, C-suite leaders, or founders emerge as thought leaders.
How Well Does Tax-Loss Harvesting Work?
Investors have access to multiple personalized indexing products, a key benefit of which is to allow for tax-loss harvesting (TLH). I analyze when TLH works and how helpful it is to returns.
Are Fixed Indexed Annuities More Efficient Than Bonds?
When adjusting for more realistic assumptions and considering the fact that the insurance company can change return caps and that inflation is both an unknown and deep risk, an FIA, along with most annuities, is not on the efficient frontier in either accumulation or decumulation phases.
What Insurance Agents Don’t Tell You About Indexed Universal Life (IUL)
IUL is a popular investment, thanks to aggressive marketing. Before your clients succumb to high-pressure sales tactics, here’s a cautionary tale based on another lifetime purchase decision – buying an engagement ring.
Harold Evensky’s NewsLetter Vol. 16, No. 3 – August 2023
I thought I’d lead with some really impressive statistics. I just finished reading our latest ADV Part 2 (the SEC disclosure document provided annually to clients) describing the firm.
Student Loan Repayments Restart Soon: What You Need to Know
After an unprecedented pause that started in March 2020, student loan repayments will finally resume in October 2023.
Ask Brad: Do Broker/Dealers or RIAs Have Better Technology?
Twenty years ago, the answer to this question was obvious. Wirehouses had better technology compared to any other firm or affiliation model.
Do You Have the Courage to Simplify Your Clients’ Portfolios?
Why don’t more advisors recommend simple portfolios?
How Can I Make a Suggestion Without Getting Shut Down?
I’m having a hard time helping the senior advisor see that I have insights and ideas.
Will Sweden’s Woes Shake Europe’s Real Estate Markets?
Investors are taking fright at commercial real estate risks in Sweden. But we think the situation is less threatening than feared.
Partnering With an Insourced CIO Can Serve as a Launchpad for Growth
Advisors are increasingly turning to OCIOs to differentiate their firms, increase profitability and scale their businesses through gained efficiencies.
Dr. Preston Cherry on Financial Psychology
Evan Harp sat down with Dr. Preston Cherry to discuss financial psychology, how it differs from behavioral finance, and how advisors can benefit from incorporating it into their practices.
Digital Marketing Tactics that Deliver More Prospects
What is the secret to digital marketing that drives website traffic and leads?
Back to the 1990s? Bank of England Rate Hikes May Pinch London’s First-Time Homebuyers
Bank of England raises interest rates again as expected. Rate hike likely to hurt first-time homebuyers in London. UK gilt curve appears to be pricing in a "higher rates for longer" scenario.
Bill Ackman’s Treasury Short May Be Right for Wrong Reasons
Admittedly, I’ve glossed over the other catalysts in Ackman’s thesis — including the aforementioned supply-demand issues and the fiscal and governance challenges that Fitch underscored in its recent downgrade — but the inflation call seems to be the linchpin to his argument, at least going by the math in the post.
AI Has a Limited Role in Investing — That Could Change
While younger investors have taken a growing interest in artificial intelligence, advisors are cautioning individuals against using AI. They’ll use a do-it-yourself approach in hopes of gaining an investing edge.
Most People Don’t Care About Stocks
I am a Wall Street guy, and, being a Wall Street guy, sometimes I forget that 99.9% of the planet has no clue what the stock market is doing on any given day. Or cares. It has zero bearing on their lives whatsoever.
Fitch Downgrades U.S. Credit Rating
The surprise move takes the rating to AA+ from AAA.
Strategist Short Squeeze Is On. Investors Beware.
The only constant in life is change — and Wall Street strategists trying in vain to divine the stock market’s future. After collectively missing the lion’s share of the year-to-date rally in the S&P 500 Index, the Street’s macro soothsayers appear to be getting modestly more bullish again.
Share Buybacks Get the Boot as Corporate America Reinvests in Itself
Of all the signs out there that the US will manage to dodge a recession once deemed inevitable, perhaps none is more convincing than this: CEOs across the country are opting to reinvest more of their profits in expansion projects rather than handing the money back to shareholders.
FOMC Scorecard: Dotplot-Dependent 1, Data-Dependent 0
The question many economists, as well as market participants, asked themselves after the June Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting was why the Federal Reserve (Fed) paused its federal funds rate hike campaign if they were going to increase it again in July anyway.
The Debt Ceiling Is Raised, but the Debt Problem Persists
A member of Putnam's Fixed Income team since 2007, Onsel Gulbiten analyzes macroeconomic issues, including inflation, interest rates, and policy developments.
A Major Source of Miscommunication
You need to pay attention to the role of emotions to effectively communicate with your clients.
Stocks Are Pricey Even Without Magnificent Seven
After a strong resurgence from last year’s bear market, the S&P 500 Index looks stretched. By at least one valuation measure, the leading gauge of the US stock market has rarely been more expensive during the past three decades.
Bitcoin Turns Less Volatile Than S&P 500, Tech Stocks and Gold
Bitcoin trading volume tumbled last month amid waning volatility and little notable price swings in a market that speculators traditionally gravitate to for its turbulence.
Hedge Fund Managers Scored Big. Investors? Not So Much.
Cynics often say about hedge funds are a compensation scheme masquerading as an asset class. If the critics are looking for ammunition to make their case, they need to look no further than Sculptor Capital Management Inc., the firm formerly known as Och-Ziff Capital Management.
US Treasury Boosts Quarterly Borrowing Estimate to $1 Trillion
The US Treasury boosted its estimate for federal borrowing for the current quarter as it addresses a deteriorating fiscal deficit and keeps replenishing its cash buffer.
Smaller Recession Risk Suggests Stronger Cyclicals
Russ Koesterich CFA, JD, Managing Director, and Portfolio Manager discusses how improving economic expectations may suggest adding to cyclical areas of the market.
Balanced Portfolios for a More Realistic Term
While the equity allocation of portfolios should increase for longer investment horizons, the adjustment should be less than implied by the historical evidence, and it should be based on each investor’s unique situation and preferences.
Investors Are Happy to Pay Premium for Tech, But Not for AI
Investors on Wall Street and beyond are betting that the great tech rally of 2023 has staying power, even as they appear skeptical that the artificial intelligence era will live up to the hype.
New Risks Shadow Bond Market as Fed’s Rate-Hike Cycle Nears End
Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell on Wednesday appeared to give traders the positive signal they’ve been waiting for — that the central bank may finally be wrapping up its steepest interest-rate hikes since the early 1980s.
How to Prepare for Market Volatility Before It Strikes Again
When markets are rising, investors don’t always prepare for turbulence. Yet we think the best time to build a defensive plan for an equity allocation is before volatility strikes.
Why Work With a Financial Advisor?
A professional advisor can craft a tailored, holistic financial plan that supports your needs, goals and intentions for the future.
Korea: Innovation, Improving Corporate Governance and a Pop Culture Powerhouse
Korea has emerged as a global powerhouse in many industries. Read Portfolio Managers Elli Lee and Sojung Park’s latest on how Korea continues to create new opportunities for investors.
Quick Thoughts: Artificial intelligence—A Primer
Looking at the potential benefits, risks and societal changes of artificial intelligence from an investment lens with Stephen Dover, Head of Franklin Templeton Institute.
Q2 2023 CIO Review and Outlook
CIO Robert Horrocks, Ph.D., says peaking interest rates may strengthen the case for quality growth stocks in emerging markets.
Investment-Grade Municipal Income in Intermediate to Long Maturities
High-quality investment grade municipal bonds provide growth-like returns for investors in a relatively more conservative investment vehicle than equities. Have your financial advisor assess the opportunity as it pertains to your specific goals.
Unsettled Foundations of the Housing Market
Mortgage rates are the highest they’ve been in over 30 years, keeping home affordability in unprecedented territory. However, mortgage rates above 7% aren’t the only factor keeping home prices high.
Secretive Chatbot Developers Are Making a Big Mistake
While on the surface its argument is about the principle of copyright, what the clash reveals is just how little we know about the data behind breakthrough tech like ChatGPT.
JPMorgan Gains Ground as BlackRock’s Grip on ETF Market Loosens
A stellar year for JPMorgan Asset Management is proving to be an unusually tepid one for the world’s largest asset manager BlackRock Inc., shaking up the leaderboard in the $7.6 trillion US exchange-traded fund industry.
Central Bank Inflation Fight To Carry On
Central banks are set to hike policy rates this week. Markets expect rate cuts to soon follow due to cooling inflation, whereas we see central banks holding tight.
Michael Wilson Confirms There’s No Crystal Ball
Howard Marks’ classic investing book The Most Important Thing has more nuggets of wisdom than I can count, but my personal favorites are his reflections on the futility of forecasting.
A Radical Take on Power
There’s another side to power, reflecting a more nuanced view. It can improve communication, convert more prospects and deepen relationships with existing clients.
Deep Recession to Force Full Percentage-Point Fed Cut, DoubleLine Warns
Markets should brace for a deep US recession that warrants a dramatic one percentage-point interest-rate cut by the Federal Reserve, warned DoubleLine Capital’s Jeffrey Sherman.
TCW to Buy Engine No. 1’s ETF Unit in First Deal for CEO Katie Koch
TCW Group, the asset manager with a long history of managing bond funds, is expanding into exchange-traded funds with an agreement to buy an ETF business from activist investor Engine No. 1.
Air Pockets, Free Falls, and More Cowbell
There is a particular “setup” that we’ve historically found to be associated with abrupt “air pockets” and “free falls” in the S&P 500. It combines hostile conditions in all three features most central to our investment discipline: rich valuations, unfavorable market internals, and extreme overextension.
ESG-Labeled Bonds: Are Greeniums Doomed to Dwindle?
Investors in ESG-labeled bonds expect well-structured issues with strong green or social credentials to command higher prices than the same issuer’s conventional bonds.
The Fed Shouldn’t Settle for Above-Target Inflation
The Fed needs to resolve this disagreement — by making clear that it’s committed to getting inflation all the way back down to the 2% target.
‘We Were Wrong’: Morgan Stanley’s Wilson Offers Stocks Mea Culpa
Last year’s plunge in the S&P 500 made uber bear Mike Wilson the most celebrated stock forecaster on Wall Street. It’s a role he has failed to reprise in 2023.