2017 Sector Teams' Outlook
We’re modestly optimistic about 2017, but there are a host of unknowns as we become acquainted with our new President Trump, what policies he may pursue, and how they will impact the world body politic. Loomis Sayles' sector teams weigh in on potential opportunities in the year ahead.
Outlook 2017: Faster Growth Likely as Recovery Accelerates
2016 was the year that the U.S. economy continued to normalize despite considerable turmoil, both political and economic. Now, as we look ahead to the new year under a newly elected president, what can we expect from the economy and market?
Uncertainty was a major theme in 2016, which had a pronounced impact on the financial markets. In times like these, it’s important to work with investment managers who are experienced at navigating these markets. In this outlook, Pacific Funds investment managers discuss insights, themes, and trends that may shape the market in 2017.
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Equity Market Review and Outlook: Q4 2016
For the first time in quite a while, Washington could prove to be a source of positive earnings catalysts in the months ahead.
Top Five Macro Themes for 2017
What a difference a few months can make. The world economy now looks to be on sounder footing, with economic data surprising to the upside, developed and emerging market economic momentum improving, global manufacturing recovering and the US profits recession ended.
Under Control: How a Disciplined Approach Can Keep Investors Focused
Investing for the long term is not a new concept, yet an increasingly large body of research suggests that investors are prone to short-term thinking. Although behavioral finance has identified the importance of taking emotion out of investing, for many this is easier said than done. While behavioral modifications can help, we believe that a risk-controlled investment approach can help limit rash decisions, while keeping investors focused on the long term.
Bond Market Review and Outlook - Q4 2016
Markets were in reflation mode during the final weeks of 2016, sending the 10-year US Treasury yield to its highest level in more than two years. While economic indicators have shown modest improvement, most of the rise in yields is built on lofty expectations. In the coming years, we think a strengthening macro backdrop may support modestly higher yields.
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Reshuffling the Deck: Industry Impacts of a Trump White House
A Trump White House: Potential Market Impacts of the US Election
Donald Trump’s presidential upset has stunned financial markets, which had heavily discounted a Clinton victory. What might Trump’s policy proposals mean for markets and key components of the US economy going forward?
Managed Futures: How to Diversify with Trend Following
With the Fed poised to raise rates and equities trading close to historical valuation peaks, the prospect of lower returns and higher correlations between asset classes has left many investors seeking sources of return which are not correlated to traditional stock and bond performance.
Trend following is one strategy that has the potential to profit from rising rates without depending upon positive equity market performance, however, allocating to the space does present some unique challenges. In a new whitepaper, CSAM seeks to address key implementation questions regarding allocating to trend following, including why now might be an appropriate time to invest and how to fund and size an allocation.
Equity Market Review and Outlook
We expect equities to continue their slow uptrend into next year.
When does active beat passive in small-cap?
Can the shift to value account for the improved relative results for many small-cap active managers in the last year?
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