Join VettaFi and Fidelity for a product due diligence session exploring the expansion of active management and a deep dive into Fidelity’s enhanced equity ETFs.
Join Fidelity Investments to explore the forces behind the industry's expansion, how advisors are incorporating active ETFs into portfolios, and where Fidelity's enhanced active equity ETF strategy fits into the evolving opportunity set.
The S&P 500 hit a new record high in 3Q as strong earnings offset headwinds from oil returning to $100/bbl, the Fed hiking rates, and the 10-year Treasury crossing 5%.
SpaceX investors are finally getting some reprieve after months of being whipsawed by volatility as the Elon Musk-led company’s stock breaks above the level it’s been stuck below since July.
Emerging markets (EMs) have historically been associated with commodity exports and low-cost manufacturing. Those characteristics remain relevant in parts of the investable universe, but the sources of competitive advantage have broadened materially.
The yield on the 10-year note finished October 9, 2026 at 5.24% while the 2-year note ended at 4.80%.
Active ETF flows offer a window into where the ETF ecosystem is going, and what its shifts and changes might mean for broader ETF innovation.
September ETF launches highlighted active strategies and an AI hardware ETF as year-to-date inflows reached a record $1.54 trillion.
Wall Street’s biggest banks are expected to unveil a quarterly stock-trading haul of nearly $19 billion when the firms report earnings next week.
Gold advanced as oil fell and an auction of 30-year US debt on Thursday drew solid demand, helping to pull long-dated yields from the highest levels in more than two decades.
The bull market in US stocks is showing few signs of stress as it approaches its fourth anniversary: Corporate profits are rock-solid, the S&P 500 Index is near a record and volatility appears subdued.
Advisors choosing between two similar ETFs often let the lower expense ratio decide, but that fee says little about a fund’s liquidity. It may not even point to the cheaper fund to own, according to State Street Investment Management research.
The important thing — the key to coming to a reasoned evaluation — is to understand the math of declines and advances.
In 1954, golfer Tommy Bolt won the inaugural Rubber City Open at Firestone Country Club in Akron. Four years later, he returned to Akron as the reigning US Open champion, where in the third round he was paired with an 18-year-old amateur making his tour debut.
The U.S. economy is handing investors a muddled picture. Housing is stuck, hiring is lopsided, and households feel worse than the jobs data suggest. Add a string of geopolitical shocks and a Federal Reserve (Fed) under new leadership still establishing its reaction function, and the signals markets rely on are harder to read. Investors will have to adjust to this market, where clarity is scarce.
Investment performance is often measured by what a portfolio earns. But for investors with substantial assets across taxable, tax-deferred, and tax-free accounts, what they keep after taxes can be just as important.
ClearBridge Investments: With the economy still resilient, a gradual Federal Reserve hiking cycle could help broaden market leadership beyond the Magnificent Seven.
Sometimes, there’s safety in size. Semiconductor Goliath Nvidia (NVDA) is proving as much. Already one of the world’s largest companies by market capitalization, Nvidia is up 29.5% year-to-date. That extends a five-year run in which the stock surged 1,066%.
Broadly speaking, when advisors and investors consider adding focused industry exposure to a portfolio, there needs to be a strong justification for doing so. Take the AI industry, for example, where sustained buildout has driven many to target key tech players for exposure.
Here is a summary of the four market valuation indicators we update on a monthly basis.
Based on September's S&P 500 average of daily closes, the Crestmont P/E of 44.5 is 188% above its arithmetic mean, 217% above its geometric mean, and is in the 100th percentile of this 14-plus-decade series.
The Q Ratio is the total price of the market divided by the replacement cost of all its companies. As of September 2026, the latest Q-ratio is at 2.11.
The inflation-adjusted S&P Composite Index was 214% above its long-term trend at the end of September.
Wall Street’s biggest banks are set to extend a months-long borrowing binge and issue more bonds than usual in the fourth quarter, raising funds to meet the insatiable financing needs fueling the artificial intelligence boom.
Amid heated discussion of the astonishing (and also rather worrying) capabilities of artificial intelligence, investors are realizing that the underlying computing and energy infrastructure relied upon by OpenAI, Anthropic PBC and their ilk is much harder to construct than a chatbot prompt.
Interest rates are on the rise, and, according to market expectations, the ascension may not be over quite yet.
The economist Robert Solow’s famous 1987 adage about the computer age — it can be seen everywhere except the productivity statistics — also applies to generative artificial intelligence.
On the surface, the municipal bond market may not check the “dynamic” box. After all, individual muni bonds and ETFs such as the ALPS BBH Intermediate Municipal Bond ETF (MNBD) are positioned, rightly so, as conservative, income-bearing investments.
Stocks chopped this summer as high hopes for AI product and infrastructure development were offset by rising inflation and an increasingly hawkish Federal Reserve.
For decades, investors have used growth and value allocations as a foundational block of equity portfolio construction. The distinction has been intuitive and practical. Investors expected growth to provide exposure to faster-growing companies, often with higher valuation multiples and greater sensitivity to earnings expectations.
There are many reasons to own bonds, but for many investors, one of the most important is principal preservation. Years of saving, investing, and market growth may help build wealth. Bonds can then play a different role, helping preserve that wealth while providing a predictable stream of income and cash flow.
The U.S. economy remained resilient in Q3, with 2.2% real GDP growth, 4.1% unemployment, and inflation easing to 3.4%. Rising interest rates reflect persistent inflation concerns. The AI boom continues despite growing skepticism, while tariff uncertainty persists. The Iran war remains unresolved, supporting higher oil-price risks. Muhlenkamp added oil, software, and animal-health investments at attractive valuations.
After a nine-month rally in equity markets and a recent spike in bond yields, some investors may see fit to reduce their exposure to stocks. On the surface at least, bonds appear to offer better value than equities. The gap between stocks' earnings yields, the inverse of the price-to-earnings ratio, and bond yields is narrower than it has been in two decades.
AI's labor-market impact remains limited but uneven, as productivity and profits outpace hiring and import-heavy investment dampens U.S. job growth.
Rising interest rates can affect more than investment portfolios. Explore how changing IRS interest rates may influence several estate, charitable and tax-planning strategies.
U.S. equities ended the week with mixed results. The S&P 500 declined less than one per cent to 7,722, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average declined more than one per cent to 51,177. The tech-heavy NASDAQ rose a half per cent, owing to the stability of the AI trade.
As globalization recedes, governments and businesses have stronger incentives to invest in building more resilient societies and supply chains. That imperative has coincided with the emergence of artificial intelligence, creating a powerful interaction between technological innovation and economic security.
International stock funds outpaced U.S. large caps in September, as ETF inflows cooled and investors leaned toward defensive sectors.
Market participants have been conditioned to expect clear Forward Guidance from Fed Chairs and Ben Bernanke, Janet Yellen, and Jay Powell provided it continuously, especially after the Financial Crisis. Chairman Warsh has made it clear that Forward Guidance will be less under his leadership, but he has offered a very important qualifier that many have yet to grasp.
The discipline of running a succession-ready firm makes every aspect of a business stronger, not just the eventual transaction. Advisors who operate this way attract better talent, serve clients more consistently, and create businesses that hold their value regardless of market conditions.
When Parthenon Capital Partners set out to extend its control of Kroll Bond Rating Agency, the private equity firm also sought a higher share of profits — known as “super carry” — to manage a new fund that would hold the prized portfolio company.
In a world defined by rampant energy demand and electrification, battery tech is one of the more intriguing places to invest. While attention has turned to the big AI narratives and debates in the market, tech categories like battery innovation have plenty of opportunities.
Inflation progress remains uneven: The latest Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index showed some improvement after revisions, but several measures suggest price pressures remain sticky and above the Federal Reserve’s target
This year has marked another remarkable chapter for the global economy and financial markets. Investors have navigated no shortage of challenges, from geopolitical conflicts and trade tensions to elevated energy prices and shifting interest rate expectations. Yet despite these headwinds, the economy continues to expand, corporate earnings remain resilient and markets have steadily climbed the proverbial wall of worry.
The new iPhone Pro range has been out for nearly three weeks, and from the get-go analysts noted somewhat flat consumer interest compared with last year’s Pro models.
The latest employment report was softer on the headline numbers, but I thought the underlying details were quite constructive. Payroll growth came in below expectations and the prior two months were revised downward, yet labor-force participation increased and the workweek stabilized rather than declining as expected.
In this month’s issue, AI, energy and robotics are creating new opportunities in emerging markets, but selectivity remains key as policy, cost and execution risks evolve.
Industrials are supported by increased capital spending in electricity capacity, construction around the artificial intelligence-related (AI) infrastructure buildout, defense, and energy, although higher costs and possible delays in data center construction could temper growth.
Diversifying your portfolio across the globe will not completely insulate you from a bad year in equities, because global markets tend to rise and fall together. However, that diversification can help shield your retirement resources from the decline of any single country.
We understand that you can’t forecast the sequence of returns, but we CAN build a plan that survives a bad one. As Howard Marks puts it, you can’t predict, but you can prepare. These are the rules of engagement once you’ve crossed from saving into spending.
While the majority of advisors, 62%, still use an AUM-based fee model to charge clients, a growing number have said they now charge a retainer fee. In 2023, only 14% of advisors offering financial planning services said their compensation model was an annual retainer, while 38% said the same in the 2026 State of Financial Planning Fees study.
If you only looked at the price of gold in September, you’d be forgiven for believing the bull market had run out of steam. The yellow metal fell 6.3% during the month, and some in the financial press were quick to say it had failed as a safe haven.
Today’s employment report reinforced a trend that has been evident across several labor market indicators: conditions in the goods-producing sector continue to improve after several difficult years, while hiring across the much larger service sector continues to soften.
Nvidia Corp. is on the verge of becoming the first company with a $6 trillion market capitalization as investors rotate back into the artificial-intelligence chipmaker after a disappointing start to the year.
Paramount Skydance Corp. closed its $110 billion acquisition of Warner Bros. Discovery Inc. on Tuesday, completing one of the biggest media mergers of all time after engaging in a bruising battle for control with Netflix Inc. and fending off antitrust lawsuits.
Societal angst about AI continues to grow. Whether it’s concern about misalignment or potentially misdirected investment, the AI-may-be-bad narrative is gaining traction. In stark contrast, the AI trade in financial markets was alive and well in September of 2026.
Google parent Alphabet Inc. agreed to buy nuclear power from Constellation Energy Corp. in a deal that will spur the addition of 890 megawatts of new reactor capacity. The power producer’s stock soared.
The S&P 500 rose 0.6%, reaching its first record high in two months, buoyed by resilient corporate profits and a pullback in oil prices.
Our real gross domestic product (GDP) forecast for 2026 is 2.5% (based on our Global Investment Management Survey) versus the Federal Reserve’s (Fed's) forecast of 2.2% and the Wall Street consensus of around 2%.
Long viewed as an emergency brake for macroeconomic panic, gold is starting to prove itself as much more than a crisis asset.
Executives enter the earnings season with a bit of a swagger. They won't say it out loud, of course, but consider all the headwinds CEOs of companies big and small have faced in the last few years. First, it was imminent recession fears; then it was looming tariffs (followed by the shock of April 2025).
Global equities advanced in the third quarter as market returns broadened away from technology. But AI’s disruptive impact is spreading across sectors and industries—transforming the very nature of investment diversification.
September’s fixed income sell-off marked a watershed moment for muni bond markets, delivering the steepest drawdown since the 2008 Great Financial Crisis. As benchmark yields spiked, prices across muni ETFs fell in tandem, and the volatility has not let up. This week, both 10-year and 30-year Treasury yields climbed to their highest levels since 2002.
The latest employment report showed that 29,000 jobs were added in September, compared to August's 133,000 gain. This figure was significantly lower than the projected addition of 89,000 jobs. Meanwhile, the unemployment rate increased slightly from 4.1% to 4.2%.
Five of the nine indexes on our world markets watch list posted year-to-date gains through October 5, 2026.
How much one needs for retirement is both a mathematical and emotional equation to solve. For both my clients and myself, enough is never enough because we fear a stock market plunge, inflation, or both (stagflation). But these four practical uses of TIPS provide near certainty of having enough to enjoy the rest of one’s life. Rarely do math and emotion each arrive at the same solution.
Today, TINA logic is less compelling. Risk-free five-year and longer Treasury notes and bonds yield over 5%, and investment-grade corporate bonds yield even more. At the same time, stock valuations sit near record levels, implying weak forward returns. The acronym that best describes today's market is TIGA (there is a good alternative).
Wall Street has spent weeks trying to make peace with the great bond selloff. Friday offered some short-lived relief — along with a warning about the damage from stubbornly high yields across investment strategies of all stripes.
Larger asset managers including Goldman Sachs Group Inc. have been looking to snap up CLO management businesses as they hunt for lucrative fee streams in the $1 trillion US market.
Remember when near-zero interest rates squeezed retirees on fixed incomes and left pensions with huge shortfalls? I suspect they’re happy to see US interest rates returning to normal.
VettaFi has experienced strong growth as a differentiated index provider in 2026. This momentum continues with today’s acquisition of The SPADE® Defense Index. The deal adds a popular, high-conviction thematic sector strategy to a global platform. More than $260 billion in index-based assets is tied to VettaFi.
The bond market took center stage through September with inflation, oil supply chains and the Federal Reserve performing as an ensemble.
Neither a borrower nor a lender be,” wrote William Shakespeare, who was one of history’s greatest authors but obviously ill-versed in economics. Without lending or borrowing, our modern economic society wouldn’t grow very much, AI or not.
T. Rowe Price has announced the launch of the T. Rowe Price Dynamic Emerging Markets Bond ETF (TDEM) on the Nasdaq today, the company said.
Recent bond market repricing has pushed municipal yields to levels not seen in decades and improved the potential risk-reward profile for fixed income. Here, we examine why municipals stand out, how supportive credit fundamentals shape the opportunity and why investors may benefit from extending maturities to lock in attractive tax-exempt income.
The Fed’s latest 25 basis point hike might represent a recalibration rather than tightening. Instead of focusing on the next hike, investors should watch broader financial conditions and the long-term trajectory for interest rates.
Few investors would naturally put artificial intelligence data centers and US shale oil in the same frame. One is built on advanced semiconductors and software; the other on rock, steel and drilling rigs. But the economic pattern is familiar. A breakthrough changes what is possible, demand outruns supply, attractive profit pools emerge and capital floods in.
Investors who have owned securities for many years can accumulate significant unrealized gains. Selling those investments to reposition a portfolio can trigger capital gains taxes.
Emerging markets have significantly evolved in recent years and offer a more compelling risk/reward setup than in the past. From deeper local markets to world-leading companies, Emerging markets presents a stronger opportunity than geopolitical volatility suggests.
The S&P 500 wrapped up the week with a fractional loss of 0.3%, following a Jobs Friday rally.
Softer U.S. inflation and labor data as well as more cautious comments from Federal Reserve officials shifted the rates outlook this week.
Municipal bond asset managers are finding opportunities in the rout that tore through markets this month, with cheaper valuations and the highest yields in years drawing investors.
In September, Vanguard ETFs overall recorded a mix of steady market performance, some volatility, and significant dividend distributions, with investors pouring substantial capital into its funds.
Broadcom Inc.’s Wall Street syndicate is starting to gather $60 billion of fresh AI chip financing to benefit Anthropic PBC and other companies, according to people with knowledge of the matter.
With Microsoft Corp.’s best quarter for decades in the books, Wall Street is betting the stock can keep rallying as the tech giant’s standing in the artificial intelligence landscape continues to improve.
Tesla Inc. shares have tumbled in 2026, but Wall Street analysts are increasingly reluctant to tell investors to sell.
An important decision in special needs planning isn’t necessarily one that can be found in textbooks, determined by a formula in a spreadsheet, or governed by laws or regulations. It’s the choice of the people who will surround your loved one when you can no longer.
Chuck Carnevale explains the Rule of 72 and shows how earnings growth can compound over time. Using FAST Graphs and real stock examples, he explores how growth and valuation affect long-term returns.
Franklin Equity’s Grant Bowers discusses why a higher cost of capital does not change the capital expenditure outlook.
Markets await a possible Fed rate hike as Congress weighs Trump's dividend proposal, a limited fall session, and a Senate vote on crypto regulation.
Capital Growth
The Fidelity Factor: Why Fidelity for active ETFs?
Join VettaFi and Fidelity for a product due diligence session exploring the expansion of active management and a deep dive into Fidelity’s enhanced equity ETFs.
Active ETFs are capturing investor attention - here’s why
Join Fidelity Investments to explore the forces behind the industry's expansion, how advisors are incorporating active ETFs into portfolios, and where Fidelity's enhanced active equity ETF strategy fits into the evolving opportunity set.
Q3 2026 Market Recap & Q4 Outlook: Rates, Oil and the Midterms
The S&P 500 hit a new record high in 3Q as strong earnings offset headwinds from oil returning to $100/bbl, the Fed hiking rates, and the 10-year Treasury crossing 5%.
SpaceX’s $750 Billion Rally Breaks Stock Out of Post-IPO Funk
SpaceX investors are finally getting some reprieve after months of being whipsawed by volatility as the Elon Musk-led company’s stock breaks above the level it’s been stuck below since July.
From Scale to Innovation
Emerging markets (EMs) have historically been associated with commodity exports and low-cost manufacturing. Those characteristics remain relevant in parts of the investable universe, but the sources of competitive advantage have broadened materially.
Treasury Yields Snapshot: October 9, 2026
The yield on the 10-year note finished October 9, 2026 at 5.24% while the 2-year note ended at 4.80%.
The Numbers Are In: Active ETF Innovation Pulling Big Flows
Active ETF flows offer a window into where the ETF ecosystem is going, and what its shifts and changes might mean for broader ETF innovation.
Active Strategies & AI Hardware Take Center Stage in September ETF Launches
September ETF launches highlighted active strategies and an AI hardware ETF as year-to-date inflows reached a record $1.54 trillion.
Goldman Set to Lead Wall Street’s $19 Billion Stock-Trading Haul
Wall Street’s biggest banks are expected to unveil a quarterly stock-trading haul of nearly $19 billion when the firms report earnings next week.
Gold Advances as Strong Auction Demand Lowers Treasury Yields
Gold advanced as oil fell and an auction of 30-year US debt on Thursday drew solid demand, helping to pull long-dated yields from the highest levels in more than two decades.
AI Powered Bull Market in S&P, Now It Needs More Building Blocks
The bull market in US stocks is showing few signs of stress as it approaches its fourth anniversary: Corporate profits are rock-solid, the S&P 500 Index is near a record and volatility appears subdued.
3 ETF Liquidity Myths That Can Raise Client Costs
Advisors choosing between two similar ETFs often let the lower expense ratio decide, but that fee says little about a fund’s liquidity. It may not even point to the cheaper fund to own, according to State Street Investment Management research.
Have Stocks Reached a Permanently High Plateau?
The important thing — the key to coming to a reasoned evaluation — is to understand the math of declines and advances.
Bond Sell-Off
In 1954, golfer Tommy Bolt won the inaugural Rubber City Open at Firestone Country Club in Akron. Four years later, he returned to Akron as the reigning US Open champion, where in the third round he was paired with an 18-year-old amateur making his tour debut.
Gloom in the Living Room
The U.S. economy is handing investors a muddled picture. Housing is stuck, hiring is lopsided, and households feel worse than the jobs data suggest. Add a string of geopolitical shocks and a Federal Reserve (Fed) under new leadership still establishing its reaction function, and the signals markets rely on are harder to read. Investors will have to adjust to this market, where clarity is scarce.
Strategies for a More Tax-Smart Portfolio
Investment performance is often measured by what a portfolio earns. But for investors with substantial assets across taxable, tax-deferred, and tax-free accounts, what they keep after taxes can be just as important.
Love at First Hike? It Could Be
ClearBridge Investments: With the economy still resilient, a gradual Federal Reserve hiking cycle could help broaden market leadership beyond the Magnificent Seven.
Nvidia Rally May Not Be Over; That’s Good for This ETF
Sometimes, there’s safety in size. Semiconductor Goliath Nvidia (NVDA) is proving as much. Already one of the world’s largest companies by market capitalization, Nvidia is up 29.5% year-to-date. That extends a five-year run in which the stock surged 1,066%.
Why Invest in Defense? The Case for Targeted Exposure
Broadly speaking, when advisors and investors consider adding focused industry exposure to a portfolio, there needs to be a strong justification for doing so. Take the AI industry, for example, where sustained buildout has driven many to target key tech players for exposure.
Market Valuation: Is the Market Still Overvalued?
Here is a summary of the four market valuation indicators we update on a monthly basis.
Crestmont P/E and Market Valuation: September 2026
Based on September's S&P 500 average of daily closes, the Crestmont P/E of 44.5 is 188% above its arithmetic mean, 217% above its geometric mean, and is in the 100th percentile of this 14-plus-decade series.
Q-Ratio and Market Valuation: September 2026
The Q Ratio is the total price of the market divided by the replacement cost of all its companies. As of September 2026, the latest Q-ratio is at 2.11.
Regression to Trend: S&P Composite 214% Above Trend in September
The inflation-adjusted S&P Composite Index was 214% above its long-term trend at the end of September.
Big Banks Seen Keeping Up Torrid Borrowing Pace to Fund AI Boom
Wall Street’s biggest banks are set to extend a months-long borrowing binge and issue more bonds than usual in the fourth quarter, raising funds to meet the insatiable financing needs fueling the artificial intelligence boom.
The AI Giants Are Facing a Severe Case of Financial Indigestion
Amid heated discussion of the astonishing (and also rather worrying) capabilities of artificial intelligence, investors are realizing that the underlying computing and energy infrastructure relied upon by OpenAI, Anthropic PBC and their ilk is much harder to construct than a chatbot prompt.
Beating Rising Rates With Equity ETFs Designed for the Task
Interest rates are on the rise, and, according to market expectations, the ascension may not be over quite yet.
AI Is Eating Software and Investors Have Noticed
The economist Robert Solow’s famous 1987 adage about the computer age — it can be seen everywhere except the productivity statistics — also applies to generative artificial intelligence.
Stay Atop Muni Market Changes With This ETF
On the surface, the municipal bond market may not check the “dynamic” box. After all, individual muni bonds and ETFs such as the ALPS BBH Intermediate Municipal Bond ETF (MNBD) are positioned, rightly so, as conservative, income-bearing investments.
Economic/Market Commentary: 6 Charts We’re Watching in Q4 2026
Stocks chopped this summer as high hopes for AI product and infrastructure development were offset by rising inflation and an increasingly hawkish Federal Reserve.
AI is Taking Over the Value Style Too
For decades, investors have used growth and value allocations as a foundational block of equity portfolio construction. The distinction has been intuitive and practical. Investors expected growth to provide exposure to faster-growing companies, often with higher valuation multiples and greater sensitivity to earnings expectations.
Remember Why You Buy Bonds
There are many reasons to own bonds, but for many investors, one of the most important is principal preservation. Years of saving, investing, and market growth may help build wealth. Bonds can then play a different role, helping preserve that wealth while providing a predictable stream of income and cash flow.
Muhlenkamp Quarterly Market Commentary – October 2026
The U.S. economy remained resilient in Q3, with 2.2% real GDP growth, 4.1% unemployment, and inflation easing to 3.4%. Rising interest rates reflect persistent inflation concerns. The AI boom continues despite growing skepticism, while tariff uncertainty persists. The Iran war remains unresolved, supporting higher oil-price risks. Muhlenkamp added oil, software, and animal-health investments at attractive valuations.
Barometer: Stocks to Power on Despite Lofty Valuations
After a nine-month rally in equity markets and a recent spike in bond yields, some investors may see fit to reduce their exposure to stocks. On the surface at least, bonds appear to offer better value than equities. The gap between stocks' earnings yields, the inverse of the price-to-earnings ratio, and bond yields is narrower than it has been in two decades.
Inside Job(s): AI's Labor Market Impact
AI's labor-market impact remains limited but uneven, as productivity and profits outpace hiring and import-heavy investment dampens U.S. job growth.
Rising Interest Rates: What They Mean for Wealth Planning
Rising interest rates can affect more than investment portfolios. Explore how changing IRS interest rates may influence several estate, charitable and tax-planning strategies.
Can AI Strength Continue to Offset Deteriorating Market Breadth?
U.S. equities ended the week with mixed results. The S&P 500 declined less than one per cent to 7,722, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average declined more than one per cent to 51,177. The tech-heavy NASDAQ rose a half per cent, owing to the stability of the AI trade.
Growth Holds, Risks Widen
As globalization recedes, governments and businesses have stronger incentives to invest in building more resilient societies and supply chains. That imperative has coincided with the emergence of artificial intelligence, creating a powerful interaction between technological innovation and economic security.
Foreign ETFs Draw Nearly Double U.S. Large-Cap Flows
International stock funds outpaced U.S. large caps in September, as ETF inflows cooled and investors leaned toward defensive sectors.
Behind the Shift Within the FOMC
Market participants have been conditioned to expect clear Forward Guidance from Fed Chairs and Ben Bernanke, Janet Yellen, and Jay Powell provided it continuously, especially after the Financial Crisis. Chairman Warsh has made it clear that Forward Guidance will be less under his leadership, but he has offered a very important qualifier that many have yet to grasp.
Build Long-Term Wealth: The 2026 Case for Independence
The discipline of running a succession-ready firm makes every aspect of a business stronger, not just the eventual transaction. Advisors who operate this way attract better talent, serve clients more consistently, and create businesses that hold their value regardless of market conditions.
When 20% of Profits Won’t Do, Fund Managers Seek ‘Super Carry’
When Parthenon Capital Partners set out to extend its control of Kroll Bond Rating Agency, the private equity firm also sought a higher share of profits — known as “super carry” — to manage a new fund that would hold the prized portfolio company.
Is Now the Time to Capitalize on Battery Tech?
In a world defined by rampant energy demand and electrification, battery tech is one of the more intriguing places to invest. While attention has turned to the big AI narratives and debates in the market, tech categories like battery innovation have plenty of opportunities.
Markets Navigate Uncertainty as Inflation and Rates Remain in Focus
Inflation progress remains uneven: The latest Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index showed some improvement after revisions, but several measures suggest price pressures remain sticky and above the Federal Reserve’s target
Market Opportunities and Risks That Could Shape the Months Ahead
This year has marked another remarkable chapter for the global economy and financial markets. Investors have navigated no shortage of challenges, from geopolitical conflicts and trade tensions to elevated energy prices and shifting interest rate expectations. Yet despite these headwinds, the economy continues to expand, corporate earnings remain resilient and markets have steadily climbed the proverbial wall of worry.
Apple’s Year Hinges on the Foldable iPhone Duo
The new iPhone Pro range has been out for nearly three weeks, and from the get-go analysts noted somewhat flat consumer interest compared with last year’s Pro models.
Softer Jobs Data Gives Fed Room to Pause
The latest employment report was softer on the headline numbers, but I thought the underlying details were quite constructive. Payroll growth came in below expectations and the prior two months were revised downward, yet labor-force participation increased and the workweek stabilized rather than declining as expected.
AI, Energy and Robotics
In this month’s issue, AI, energy and robotics are creating new opportunities in emerging markets, but selectivity remains key as policy, cost and execution risks evolve.
Monthly Stock Sector Outlook
Industrials are supported by increased capital spending in electricity capacity, construction around the artificial intelligence-related (AI) infrastructure buildout, defense, and energy, although higher costs and possible delays in data center construction could temper growth.
What a Less Dominant America Might Mean for Your Money
Diversifying your portfolio across the globe will not completely insulate you from a bad year in equities, because global markets tend to rise and fall together. However, that diversification can help shield your retirement resources from the decline of any single country.
Sequence Of Return Risk: The Math That Breaks Retirements
We understand that you can’t forecast the sequence of returns, but we CAN build a plan that survives a bad one. As Howard Marks puts it, you can’t predict, but you can prepare. These are the rules of engagement once you’ve crossed from saving into spending.
More Advisors Choosing Annual Retainers as Industry Focuses on Planning
While the majority of advisors, 62%, still use an AUM-based fee model to charge clients, a growing number have said they now charge a retainer fee. In 2023, only 14% of advisors offering financial planning services said their compensation model was an annual retainer, while 38% said the same in the 2026 State of Financial Planning Fees study.
Gold Stumbled in September, but Gold Miners Beat Every Sector in the S&P 500
If you only looked at the price of gold in September, you’d be forgiven for believing the bull market had run out of steam. The yellow metal fell 6.3% during the month, and some in the financial press were quick to say it had failed as a safe haven.
A Small, Temporary Win for the Doves, Us Included
Today’s employment report reinforced a trend that has been evident across several labor market indicators: conditions in the goods-producing sector continue to improve after several difficult years, while hiring across the much larger service sector continues to soften.
Nvidia Soars Near $6 Trillion Market Cap With Stock Back at High
Nvidia Corp. is on the verge of becoming the first company with a $6 trillion market capitalization as investors rotate back into the artificial-intelligence chipmaker after a disappointing start to the year.
Paramount Closes Warner Merger in Historic Hollywood Deal
Paramount Skydance Corp. closed its $110 billion acquisition of Warner Bros. Discovery Inc. on Tuesday, completing one of the biggest media mergers of all time after engaging in a bruising battle for control with Netflix Inc. and fending off antitrust lawsuits.
QuantStreet October 2026 Letter: Interest Rate Worries
Societal angst about AI continues to grow. Whether it’s concern about misalignment or potentially misdirected investment, the AI-may-be-bad narrative is gaining traction. In stark contrast, the AI trade in financial markets was alive and well in September of 2026.
Google, Constellation Energy Strike Deal for Nuclear Power
Google parent Alphabet Inc. agreed to buy nuclear power from Constellation Energy Corp. in a deal that will spur the addition of 890 megawatts of new reactor capacity. The power producer’s stock soared.
S&P 500 Sets First Record Since August as Bulls Downplay Risk
The S&P 500 rose 0.6%, reaching its first record high in two months, buoyed by resilient corporate profits and a pullback in oil prices.
Will the Real Yield Please Stand Up?!
Our real gross domestic product (GDP) forecast for 2026 is 2.5% (based on our Global Investment Management Survey) versus the Federal Reserve’s (Fed's) forecast of 2.2% and the Wall Street consensus of around 2%.
The Case for Gold as an ‘All-Weather’ Investment
Long viewed as an emergency brake for macroeconomic panic, gold is starting to prove itself as much more than a crisis asset.
How AI, the Midterms, and Consumer Shifts Shape the Outlook
Executives enter the earnings season with a bit of a swagger. They won't say it out loud, of course, but consider all the headwinds CEOs of companies big and small have faced in the last few years. First, it was imminent recession fears; then it was looming tariffs (followed by the shock of April 2025).
AI, Higher Rates Raise the Bar for Diversification
Global equities advanced in the third quarter as market returns broadened away from technology. But AI’s disruptive impact is spreading across sectors and industries—transforming the very nature of investment diversification.
Muni Bond ETFs: Unlocking Robust Returns
September’s fixed income sell-off marked a watershed moment for muni bond markets, delivering the steepest drawdown since the 2008 Great Financial Crisis. As benchmark yields spiked, prices across muni ETFs fell in tandem, and the volatility has not let up. This week, both 10-year and 30-year Treasury yields climbed to their highest levels since 2002.
Employment Report: 29K Jobs Added in September, Worse Than Expected
The latest employment report showed that 29,000 jobs were added in September, compared to August's 133,000 gain. This figure was significantly lower than the projected addition of 89,000 jobs. Meanwhile, the unemployment rate increased slightly from 4.1% to 4.2%.
World Markets Watchlist: October 5, 2026
Five of the nine indexes on our world markets watch list posted year-to-date gains through October 5, 2026.
4 Practical Uses of TIPS in the Portfolio
How much one needs for retirement is both a mathematical and emotional equation to solve. For both my clients and myself, enough is never enough because we fear a stock market plunge, inflation, or both (stagflation). But these four practical uses of TIPS provide near certainty of having enough to enjoy the rest of one’s life. Rarely do math and emotion each arrive at the same solution.
From TINA To TIGA: Diversification Pays Again
Today, TINA logic is less compelling. Risk-free five-year and longer Treasury notes and bonds yield over 5%, and investment-grade corporate bonds yield even more. At the same time, stock valuations sit near record levels, implying weak forward returns. The acronym that best describes today's market is TIGA (there is a good alternative).
Wall Street Tries to Live With 5% Yields as Market Cracks Grow
Wall Street has spent weeks trying to make peace with the great bond selloff. Friday offered some short-lived relief — along with a warning about the damage from stubbornly high yields across investment strategies of all stripes.
Goldman’s Bid for CLO Manager Highlights Wall Street’s Fee Hunt
Larger asset managers including Goldman Sachs Group Inc. have been looking to snap up CLO management businesses as they hunt for lucrative fee streams in the $1 trillion US market.
The Bond Market’s Balancing Act Is Perfectly Normal
Remember when near-zero interest rates squeezed retirees on fixed incomes and left pensions with huge shortfalls? I suspect they’re happy to see US interest rates returning to normal.
VettaFi Locks In SPADE Defense Index Acquisition
VettaFi has experienced strong growth as a differentiated index provider in 2026. This momentum continues with today’s acquisition of The SPADE® Defense Index. The deal adds a popular, high-conviction thematic sector strategy to a global platform. More than $260 billion in index-based assets is tied to VettaFi.
September Review: Bond Market in Focus as Treasury Yields Climb
The bond market took center stage through September with inflation, oil supply chains and the Federal Reserve performing as an ensemble.
Don’t Own Bonds and be Cautious With Stocks
Neither a borrower nor a lender be,” wrote William Shakespeare, who was one of history’s greatest authors but obviously ill-versed in economics. Without lending or borrowing, our modern economic society wouldn’t grow very much, AI or not.
T. Rowe Price Launches Active Emerging Markets Bond ETF
T. Rowe Price has announced the launch of the T. Rowe Price Dynamic Emerging Markets Bond ETF (TDEM) on the Nasdaq today, the company said.
A Historic Opportunity in Municipals
Recent bond market repricing has pushed municipal yields to levels not seen in decades and improved the potential risk-reward profile for fixed income. Here, we examine why municipals stand out, how supportive credit fundamentals shape the opportunity and why investors may benefit from extending maturities to lock in attractive tax-exempt income.
Recalibrating Rates, Not Tightening Policy
The Fed’s latest 25 basis point hike might represent a recalibration rather than tightening. Instead of focusing on the next hike, investors should watch broader financial conditions and the long-term trajectory for interest rates.
Chips and Frack: How the AI Boom Rhymes with the US Shale Cycle
Few investors would naturally put artificial intelligence data centers and US shale oil in the same frame. One is built on advanced semiconductors and software; the other on rock, steel and drilling rigs. But the economic pattern is familiar. A breakthrough changes what is possible, demand outruns supply, attractive profit pools emerge and capital floods in.
What Is a 351 Exchange? How Section 351 Exchanges Work and Their Potential Benefits
Investors who have owned securities for many years can accumulate significant unrealized gains. Selling those investments to reposition a portfolio can trigger capital gains taxes.
Why Waiting for Certainty Could Be Costly
Emerging markets have significantly evolved in recent years and offer a more compelling risk/reward setup than in the past. From deeper local markets to world-leading companies, Emerging markets presents a stronger opportunity than geopolitical volatility suggests.
S&P 500 Snapshot: Stocks Rally to Close Out Flat Week
The S&P 500 wrapped up the week with a fractional loss of 0.3%, following a Jobs Friday rally.
The Case for a Fed Pause Strengthens
Softer U.S. inflation and labor data as well as more cautious comments from Federal Reserve officials shifted the rates outlook this week.
Muni Managers Tout Equity-Like Returns After Historic Selloff
Municipal bond asset managers are finding opportunities in the rout that tore through markets this month, with cheaper valuations and the highest yields in years drawing investors.
Yields & Global Value: Inside Vanguard’s Top 8 ETFs for September
In September, Vanguard ETFs overall recorded a mix of steady market performance, some volatility, and significant dividend distributions, with investors pouring substantial capital into its funds.
Blackstone, Banks Amass $60 Billion for Broadcom’s AI Chip Deal
Broadcom Inc.’s Wall Street syndicate is starting to gather $60 billion of fresh AI chip financing to benefit Anthropic PBC and other companies, according to people with knowledge of the matter.
Microsoft’s Trillion-Dollar Quarter Powered by Ravenous AI Trade
With Microsoft Corp.’s best quarter for decades in the books, Wall Street is betting the stock can keep rallying as the tech giant’s standing in the artificial intelligence landscape continues to improve.
Tesla Sell Ratings Slide as Street Says ‘Don’t Bet Against Musk’
Tesla Inc. shares have tumbled in 2026, but Wall Street analysts are increasingly reluctant to tell investors to sell.
How to Select Trustees, Guardians, and Care Team
An important decision in special needs planning isn’t necessarily one that can be found in textbooks, determined by a formula in a spreadsheet, or governed by laws or regulations. It’s the choice of the people who will surround your loved one when you can no longer.
How the Power of Compounding Shapes Stock Investing Returns
Chuck Carnevale explains the Rule of 72 and shows how earnings growth can compound over time. Using FAST Graphs and real stock examples, he explores how growth and valuation affect long-term returns.
The Next Phase of AI is an Earnings Story
Franklin Equity’s Grant Bowers discusses why a higher cost of capital does not change the capital expenditure outlook.
Washington: What to Watch Now
Markets await a possible Fed rate hike as Congress weighs Trump's dividend proposal, a limited fall session, and a Senate vote on crypto regulation.