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Inside the Consumer Price Index: October 2026

Inflation affects everything from grocery bills to rent, making the Consumer Price Index (CPI) one of the most closely watched economic indicators. The Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) tracks this by categorizing spending into eight categories, each weighted by its relative importance.

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Consumer Price Index: Inflation Rose 0.4% MoM in October

Inflation rose 0.4% month-over-month in October, down from September's print of 0.6%. The headline figure for the Consumer Price Index (CPI) was also higher than economist estimates of 0.3%.

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The S&P 500, Dow, and Nasdaq: Real Returns Since 2000 Peak (October 2026)

Here is a look at real (inflation-adjusted) charts of the S&P 500, Dow 30, and Nasdaq composite since their 2000 highs. We've updated this through the October 2026 close.

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Secular Bull and Bear Market Trends: October 2026

The S&P 500 real monthly averages of daily closes reached a its all-time high in October 2026. Let's examine the past to broaden our understanding of the range of historical bull and bear market trends in market performance.

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Treasury Yields Snapshot: November 6, 2026

The yield on the 10-year note finished November 6, 2026 at 4.86% while the 2-year note ended at 4.51%.

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Market Valuation: Is the Market Still Overvalued?

Here is a summary of the four market valuation indicators we update on a monthly basis.

  • The Crestmont Research P/E ratio
  • The cyclical P/E ratio using the trailing 10-year earnings as the divisor
  • The Q ratio, which is the total price of the market divided by its replacement cost
  • The relationship of the S&P composite price to a regression trendline
dshort: AP Charts & Analysis

Consumer Sentiment Recovers Significantly in November

Consumer sentiment rises in November to the highest level in three months. The preliminary November reading for the University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index came in at 51.0. This marks a 6.3% (3.0 points) increase from October.

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Q-Ratio and Market Valuation: October 2026

The Q Ratio is the total price of the market divided by the replacement cost of all its companies. As of October 2026, the latest Q-ratio is at 2.35.

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Crestmont P/E and Market Valuation: October 2026

Based on October's S&P 500 average of daily closes, the Crestmont P/E of 44.6 is 189% above its arithmetic mean, 217% above its geometric mean, and is in the 100th percentile of this 14-plus-decade series.

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Regression to Trend: S&P Composite 213% Above Trend in October

The inflation-adjusted S&P Composite Index was 213% above its long-term trend at the end of October.

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The Big Four Recession Indicators: Employment

There is a general belief that there are four big indicators that the NBER Business Cycle Dating Committee weighs heavily in their cycle identification process. This commentary focuses on one of these indicators: nonfarm employment. In October, total nonfarm payrolls increased by 165,000 while the unemployment rate decreased to 4.1%

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Employment Report: 165K Jobs Added in October, Better Than Expected

The latest employment report showed that 165,000 jobs were added in October, compared to September's 60,000 gain. This figure was significantly higher than the projected addition of 65,000 jobs. Meanwhile, the unemployment rate decreased slightly from 4.2% to 4.1%.

Article

TIPS & Retirement Topics Dominate Advisor Perspective’s Top Views in October

The most-read stories in October for Advisor Perspectives were mainly focused on two key topics: retirement and TIPS. The most-read stories in October for Advisor Perspectives were mainly focused on two key topics: retirement and TIPS.

Commentary

Why Advisors Are Using High-Yield ETFs

Municipal bonds posted their best month since 2023. See how high-yield muni ETFs help advisors capitalize on the municipal market recovery.

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10-Year Treasury Yield Long-Term Perspective: October 2026

The 10-year Treasury yield has experienced dramatic fluctuations, ranging from a peak of 15.68% in October 1981, during the height of the Volcker era, to a historic low of 0.55% in August 2020, amidst the economic uncertainty of the pandemic. At the end of October 2026, the weekly average stood at 4.99%.