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The Big Four Recession Indicators: Real Personal Income

Personal income (excluding transfer receipts) was up 0.23% in August and was up 4.25% year-over-year. However, when adjusted for inflation using the BEA's PCE Price Index, real personal income (excluding transfer receipts) was down 0.08% month-over-month and up 0.80% year-over-year.

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Cryptocurrencies: Bitcoin Down 3% This Week

Bitcoin's closing price was down 3.0% this week. BTC is currently down approximately 4% year-to-date and sits about 33% below its October 2025 record high.

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Consumer Confidence Falls Significantly in September

The Conference Board's Consumer Confidence Index® fell significantly more than expected in September, falling 6.7 points to 81.9. The index was far below the forecast of 89.2.

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Two Measures of Inflation: August 2026

Inflation remains a hot topic, directly impacting everything from your grocery bill to interest rates. As of the latest data, two key inflation gauges — the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index and the Consumer Price Index (CPI) — show that prices are still above the Federal Reserve's 2% target, with the core PCE at 3% and core CPI at 2.5%.

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Core PCE Inflation at 3% in August, Unchanged from July

The Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation gauge, the core PCE price index, climbed 3% year-over-year in August. This marks no change from July's reading. On a monthly basis, core prices rose 0.2%.

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Moving Averages of the Ivy Portfolio and S&P 500: September 2026

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Q2 GDP Third Estimate: Real GDP Revised Upward to 2.2%

Real GDP rose 2.2% in Q2 for the third estimate from the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis, which was a 0.7% increase from the previous Q2 advance and second estimates.

Commentary

How to Prepare for Decumulation in Retirement

A recent VettaFi webcast explored advice on navigating retirees' behavioral tendencies in decumulating assets in retirement.

Commentary

The 'Funflation' Effect: What It May Mean for Retail Stocks

"Funflation" is on the rise, and it could bode quite well for the retail sector if the trend remains persistent.

Commentary

Northern Trust to Convert $33 Billion in Mutual Funds to ETFs

Northern Trust Asset Management will move six mutual funds with $33 billion in assets into ETFs in early 2027, its first such conversions.

Commentary

The Private-Market Liquidity Gap Advisors Can Close

Asset owners want private-market exposure, but liquidity remains their biggest hurdle, an opening advisors can meet with public alternatives.

dshort: AP Charts & Analysis

Treasury Yields Snapshot: September 25, 2026

The yield on the 10-year note finished September 25, 2026 at 5.17% while the 2-year note ended at 4.81%.

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Consumer Sentiment Falls Again in September

Consumer sentiment falls in September for two consecutive months. The final September reading for the University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index came in at 48.1. This marks a 7.0% (3.6 points) decrease from August.

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World Markets Watchlist: September 21, 2026

Six of the nine indexes on our world markets watch list posted year-to-date gains through September 21, 2026.

dshort: AP Charts & Analysis

The Big Four Recession Indicators: Industrial Production

Industrial production grew 0.02% in August after July's 0.2% growth. This was lower than the expected 0.3% growth and marks a 1.4% increase compared to one year ago.