The Income Channel

Money, Money Everywhere, Not an Asset to Buy

During the next two decades, an estimated 76 million baby boomers – the bulge of the Western population born between 1946 and 1964 – will begin the process of going from growing and accumulating earnings to retiring and distributing their wealth.

Understanding the CFNAI Components

The Chicago Fed's National Activity Index, which we reported on yesterday morning, is based on 85 economic indicators drawn from four broad categories of data:

  • Production and Income
  • Employment, Unemployment, and Hours
  • Personal Consumption and Housing
  • Sales, Orders, and Inventories

Credit Risk? Interest-Rate Risk? Both Are Critical

Investors often ask us which of the two primary bond market risks—interest rate or credit—they should focus on in 2017. Our answer? Both of them—and the interaction between the two.

5 Charts That Show 2017 Could Be a Banner Year for Retailers

Thursday morning, Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin told CNBC that we could expect “significant” tax reform by August, including tax cuts for middle-income Americans and corporations. Like clockwork, the major stock indices rallied to all-time highs in intraday trading.

ECRI Weekly Leading Index: "How Reliable Are GDP Consensus Forecasts?"

Today's release of the publicly available data from ECRI puts its Weekly Leading Index (WLI) at 144.6, up just 0.1 from the previous week. It is currently just below its all-time high. Year-over-year the four-week moving average of the indicator is now at 12.32%, up from 12.17% the previous week, and at an interim high. The WLI Growth indicator is now at 10.5, down slightly from the previous week.

Michigan Consumer Sentiment: February Final Inches Up, Better Than Forecast

The University of Michigan Final Consumer Sentiment for February came in at 96.3, down from the January Final reading of 98.5, but inched up from the February preliminary of 95.7. Investing.com had forecast 96.0.

5 Fairly Valued MLPs: Is the Dilution Worth the Yield and How Do You Value Them?

The 5 MLPs covered in this article offer yields ranging from 5.7% to 10.7%. Additionally, each of these MLPs appears reasonably valued given their high yields and prospects for growth. However, two of these MLPs are currently in the process of merging.

Life After Beta: Are You Asking the Right Questions About Alternatives?

Investors have had mixed experiences with alternative investments lately, as the market landscape has made it hard for managers’ skills to shine. It’s time to ask some pointed questions to get the right fit.

Long-End of US Yield Curve Is Flattening, Short-End SteepeningThe spread between 30-year US treasuri

The spread between 30-year US treasuries and 10-year US treasuries has fallen to just 60 bps which is the smallest spread in about 2 years.

The Administration Now Faces the Hurdles of Reality

There has rarely been a new presidential administration in the history of the United States that has tried to get so much done in its first ten days as the current one.

K2 Advisors : Why We Like Activist Hedge Strategies

Given the unpredictability of today’s financial markets, many investors are looking to reduce the impact of market volatility on their portfolios. Hedge-fund strategies—a type of alternative investment strategy—may help by potentially offering additional diversification, new sources of return and reduced risk.

Center Stage…

While politics and the new government's agenda is still very much in the news, investor interest last week shifted to the bigger picture.

Lost & Found: Fixed Income Purchase Premiums on Maturing Bonds

Why worry about paying a premium for bonds? While cash flows may differ, income from premium and par bonds is equivalent, all other variables being equal. Purchase premiums aren’t lost when the bonds mature.

Boosting South Africa’s Diversity Dividend

South Africa will need much more than improved economic governance if it is to reduce inequality and achieve strong growth. In particular, the private sector must deepen its efforts to improve economic inclusion, and capitalize on the well-known benefits of greater diversity in the workforce and the boardroom.

We Are Growing Less Positive (But Not Negative) Toward Equities

Equity markets have increased since the U.S. elections for two principal reasons: optimism over a pro-growth legislative agenda from Donald Trump and improving U.S. and global economic and earnings growth.