The Northern Trust Economics team shares its outlook for growth, inflation and interest rates.
The availability of goods and cost of shipping are improving.
What drove the U.S. dollar's surge, and can it last?
Shinzo Abe's policies had a substantial impact both in Japan and around the world.
Markets are expecting lower gasoline prices ahead.
Revenue above expectations, pandemic federal aid and reserves have strengthened states' financial outlook. But states will need to prepare as pandemic aid winds down and the economy slows.
Inflation, China, Russia, Central Banks, Labor, Recession: It's been quite a year thus far.
The Northern Trust Economics team shares its outlook for key markets in the month ahead.
Sustainable investing needs to adapt to new realities without compromising its core principles.
What will be the Fed's next steps after a rapid course correction?
A cooler housing market isn't a bad outcome.
Wedding costs reflect the myriad forces that have driven inflation upward.
Policymakers and forecasters were slow to change their mindset about inflation.
The Fed will need some luck on its side to deliver another soft landing.
The dollar is not as dominant as it was two decades ago, but is still the leading global currency.
The yield curve's movements are unlikely to change the Fed's course.
The war in Ukraine will weigh on the rest of Europe.
The Northern Trust Economics team shares its outlook for growth and interest rates in a context of high inflation.
Russia's actions will have immediate and long-term ramifications.
Inflation in the housing market will continue to build.
The Northern Trust Economics team shares its outlook for inflation and how the Federal Reserve will react.
The size and timing of QT will depend on financial conditions and the evolution of inflation.
Ongoing labor market shifts are a risk to economic growth.
The Northern Trust Economics team shares its outlook for the Federal Reserve and the U.S. economy.
Excess cash has accumulated in every corner of the economy.
A legislative impasse raises bigger questions about public finances.
The Fed has made a sharp pivot by accelerating the tapering of its asset purchases.
The economics teams reflects on six themes that defined an extraordinary year.
The Northern Trust Economics team shares its outlook for the U.S. economy.
The new variant will test our ability to live with COVID-19
Once started, wage-price spirals are hard to stop.
Boosting confidence in public health is essential to a durable economic recovery.
The phrase “behind the curve” originates from aviation. The “power curve” maps an airplane’s speed to the thrust applied by the engine. This relationship varies with conditions; being behind the power curve can risk stalling or damaging the plane.
There is no one-size-fits-all approach to dealing with COVID-19.
Global themes we are tracking: public health, de-globalization, policy retreat, technology and the East and West divide.
The outlook for the fourth quarter and beyond is positive, but the recovery remains uneven. The Northern Trust Economics team shares its outlook for key markets in the month ahead.
Personal trading could undermine public trust in the Federal Reserve.
The Delta variant’s impact on supply chains and domestic spending slowed economic activity in the third quarter. Consumer confidence dipped noticeably, and businesses’ outlook dimmed somewhat. Rising inflation, the product of goods and labor shortages, has been a concern.
Several events will have major influences on the global economy in the months ahead.
The spillover from the property sector to the broader economy could be significant.
The Fed governors will soon decide when and how to taper asset purchases.
Evergrande is an example of the risk of debt defaults to China's financial stability.