Many of us have our favorite economic and financial indicators. I’m referring to those indicators that don’t get a lot - if any - attention from the television channels geared toward finance and markets and yet can provide important insights. One of my favorites - the divergence between key US and German fixed-income benchmarks - is at a notable level.
The Great Wealth Transfer sounds like a heist film or a game show. It’s neither.
As a retirement economist — not to be confused with a retired economist, which are rare — I often find myself talking to Wall Street types who happen to be in charge of a lot of other people’s money.
A rough start to the year for bond traders just got worse as data showed a buoyant US labor market with few of the stresses that could prompt the Federal Reserve to lower interest rates.
Shares in Google-parent Alphabet Inc. have lagged competitors so far this year. There is worry its faltering progress in artificial intelligence means the outlook’s not so hot for its core business of selling ads alongside search results. But one part of its empire, minimally detailed on the company’s filings like some side hustle, shows no sign of being knocked from its throne.
The global investment landscape is set to be transformed in the months ahead as the trajectories of major economies diverge more noticeably.
A favorite Mark Twain aphorism states, “It ain’t what you don’t know that gets you into trouble. It’s what you know for sure that just ain’t so.”
We are normally reluctant to use trendy phrases to explain either our good and/or bad calls regarding the U.S. economy. However, saying that ‘this time is different’ is more than fitting today to understand what has happened to the U.S. economy since the recovery from the COVID-19 pandemic.
In this video Chuck Carnevale, Co-Founder of FAST Graphs, a.k.a. Mr. Valuation is going to share a surefire method or strategy to beat the overvalued S&P 500 in both a total income basis as well as a total return basis.
While China obviously needs to boost private-sector confidence and revive growth with a more sustainable economic model, it is not clear that Chinese leaders fully appreciate the challenges they face. The shift back to state capitalism over the last decade is plainly incompatible with President Xi Jinping’s development goals.
Japan is finally experiencing much needed inflation, and the subsequent wage gains could be a catalyst for stock involvement.
A flurry of investor interest is taking place in the corporate bond market as investors scramble for yield before rate cuts.
Emerging-market local-currency bonds have rallied sharply since last October, along with other risky segments of the global bond market. However, navigating the market can be challenging.
Financial markets and the US Federal Reserve remain in disagreement on a subject crucial to asset prices and economic growth: how low interest rates will eventually go.
Market rally driven by a broadening of the market and optimism that the Federal Reserve will deliver rate cuts later this year.
Investors have been selling inflation protection in the mistaken belief that it’s no longer needed. They’ve helped create a unique opportunity.
In 1983 Bonnie Tyler's ‘Total Eclipse of the Heart’ rocked the FM airwaves, reaching number 1 on the Billboard chart. My father, who couldn't get enough of the tune and played it over and over.
Two applications, TikTok and Temu, are subjects of increasing concern over privacy practices.
When a spouse dies, many women face severe financial hardship despite being part of a married couple for decades. This "widowhood penalty" results from men failing to ensure their wives are financially secure if tragedy strikes.
Inflation looks to still be trending lower, but a relatively stubborn decline will likely inspire the Fed to start cutting rates later (and slower) than expected.
With technology changing the way we live, we are taking a trip down memory lane to look back at a piece of technology that has entertained generations: classic video games.
Evidence of overstretched households is emerging, which could threaten the soft landing scenario.
Several years ago some politicians started demanding that the Federal Reserve get audited. We think the idea has some merits but also some drawbacks, as well.
VettaFi’s Todd Rosenbluth walks through the latest advisor polling data from their recently held Equity Symposium, highlighting several equity ETF categories. Troop’s Felix Tabary explains how the firm is making it easier to build and apply custom proxy voting policies across portfolios. Alpha Architect’s Jess Bost offers her unique framework on model portfolio construction and selecting ETFs.
Innovation only gets hindered when AI startups find themselves on an assembly line to Big Tech. Here’s hoping the open-source movement continues to thrive.
For a brief moment last week, the market and the Federal Reserve were on the same page about the pace of monetary easing. It didn’t last long, and Treasuries investors are paying the price.
The artificial intelligence craze has driven Nvidia Corp. to a $2.3 trillion market value from about $360 billion at the beginning of last year, which means the chipmaker is trading at a price that’s 75 times higher than earnings. It is also taking some industrial companies along for the ride with a lot of room to run.
As investors scour the globe for under-valued stocks, one increasingly popular destination is actively managed exchange-traded funds that focus on emerging markets.
I will explain what AI is and how it’s impacting the financial services industry; some regulatory and legal concerns with respect to the use of AI; and how RIAs can take their first steps to utilizing AI in their practice responsibly.
Over the past 70 years, rising government debt generally has been accompanied by weaker economic activity. But it's not a simple relationship.
Bond investors who are overly focused on individual data points may lose sight of the bigger opportunity picture.
For lack of a better word, the fixed-income mantra is getting stale. Interest rates have peaked, and they remain at elevated levels, allowing investors to take advantage of higher income and ample cash flow opportunities.
Quarterly commentary giving an overview of the markets and the importance of having and implementing a strategy when investing in the markets.
Bond traders priced in less monetary policy easing by the Federal Reserve this year — and briefly set the odds of a first move in June to less than 50% — after a gauge of US manufacturing activity showed expansion for the first time since 2022.
What an impressive start to the year for US stocks! Not only did the S&P 500 Index achieve its largest first-quarter gain since 2019, it did so amidst significant challenges.
Implementing the TIPS ladder is clunky, so I challenged the fund industry to simplify and improve with a TIPS ladder Fund. Stone Ridge Asset Management has done just that with its new LifeX Inflation Protected mutual funds.
Advisors can help retirees mitigate sequence risk – and successfully navigate market swings.
By taking a few key steps, you will find many practical ways to prepare financially for the college education of your children.
Dynasty 529 plans allow savvy families with significant means to potentially fund college costs forever.
We need a much more conservative approach to projecting budget outcomes.
More investors are willing to take on credit risk in order to attain yield, but there are other ETF options to consider.
One of the most interesting conundrums is the surging wealth gap in America. Despite two of the largest bull markets in history since 1980, most Americans struggle with making ends meet and are unprepared for retirement. Such a reality starkly differs from the belief that rising asset prices benefit the masses.
Leaders take a lot of criticism. In fact, that’s part of the job. Presidents, governors, CEOs, football coaches, other top decision makers and even your humble analyst all have to answer for what happens on their watch—even when it’s not their fault.
Gold staged a blinding comeback this week, surging to fresh all-time highs above $2,200 an ounce.
After many years of low and negative interest rates, the Bank of Japan has changed course, creating opportunities for Japanese investors and implications for global markets. Templeton Global Investments outlines the positives and the risks.
Our outlook is still positive, but it may be difficult to replicate the strong returns of the past few quarters.
In this Primer On Valuation, Part 1 of 3, Chuck Carnevale, Co-Founder of FAST Graphs, a.k.a. Mr. Valuation will cover slow growing companies, and discuss why value investing is so important no matter what your investment strategy is, no matter what your goals or objectives are.
Guessing the direction of interest rates is no easier than any other tactical or market timing decision. The yield on the benchmark 10-year Treasury note is just under 3.9%. That is about 100 basis points less than it was a few months ago. Fed policy is uncertain, inflation has not been fully controlled, and fiscal deficits loom as a long-term risk for yields to go higher.
Those factors argue in favor of an allocation to floating-rate notes. My guest today will help us explore this asset class, its opportunities and its risks.
When it comes to the private real estate sector, the mention of the U.S. commercial office sector scares many investors away. While the office sector may give some investors pause, it's also prudent to look at the bigger picture.
With India's development continuing to gain steam, one of the biggest challenges will be to avoid the mistake that others have made when they failed to recognize their newly acquired global systemic influence and adapt accordingly. Both China and Big Tech show that it is never too early to start managing one's own rise.