Investor and consumer surveys indicate that confidence is stabilizing following the initial tariff agreements, and consumers’ spending and income remain robust.
A key theme dominating global financial markets in recent weeks has been the general upward pressure on sovereign bond yields, particularly at the long end of government bond market curves.
It is certainly possible for the Federal Reserve, as the biggest player on the block, to lower money market rates over the course of the next few meetings. However, if it turns out to have been orchestrated out of political expediency rather than as stimulation for a weak economy, inflation will result. We saw a similar movie in August 1971.
Every time the mainstream declares price inflation dead and buried, new data comes out and rains on the funeral.
In the latest Money Metals Midweek Memo, host Mike Maharrey analyzed the ongoing bull markets in gold and silver, highlighting record highs, historical ratios, supply deficits, and why silver may now be poised for an even stronger run than gold.
With just a week remaining until the highly anticipated September Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, Wednesday’s wholesale inflation print and Thursday’s consumer inflation results for August are the last major hurdles lying between the expected resumption of the FOMC easing cycle.
A look inside why more Americans are turning to lifetime income.
The One Big Beautiful Bill Act offers valuable tax benefits specifically for businesses. Our Bill Cass discusses the highlights of the new law and how business owners may benefit.
While equity markets are buoyant worldwide, emerging markets stocks and bonds are the only assets that merit an 'overweight' allocation.
It’s no understatement to say this could have been the most anticipated jobs report in quite some time.
For much of its nearly 17 years on the market, bitcoin has been viewed as a volatile asset. The largest cryptocurrency’s history is chock full of dramatic price swings in both directions and extended periods of turbulence.
Last week's employment update seems likely to prompt a shift in the Federal Reserve's monetary policy. The August jobs report revealed a significant slowdown, with Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) increasing by only 22,000, well below the 75,000 expectation from economists surveyed by Dow Jones.
As summer comes to a close and life adjusts back to normal for most of us, we thought it was a great time to get back to basics and take a look at the current U.S. stock market.
We’ve received many client questions about seasonality in stocks, and specifically about the ‘September Effect’. This is the theory that investors should sell their stocks after Labor Day to avoid autumn volatility.
Assets under management (AUM) by ETFs globally closed at another month-end peak and is now just 6 percent below the all-time high reached during the pandemic.
Markets now see more than an 80% chance of a rate cut from the Fed this month, and it may be a good time to reallocate short-term cash positions to medium-term fixed income positions with maturities between 5 and 10 years.
Before you fully consider purchasing a new ETF, you need to understand what makes the fund different from what you own.
One of the standout developments in financial markets in August 2025 was the unprecedented surge in ETF inflows.
Global macro conditions remain constructive for risk assets, according to Franklin Templeton Investment Solutions. Get the team’s views across global assets in the latest “Allocation Views.”
The financial world is replete with terms and definitions, many of which overlap in concept or application. Perhaps I can simplify a familiar concept for most investors who strive to grow and preserve their wealth.
There has not been a fundamental innovation in broad-market cap-weighted indexing in decades. Until now. With the Research Affiliates Cap-Weighted Index (RACWI), we introduce a fresh approach designed to fix a costly but little-known “bug” in cap-weighted indexing.
Earnings expectations for the Magnificent Seven (or Mag Seven) mega-caps remain optimistic, but profits may face pressure as spending rises. Equity investors should carefully evaluate each of the mega-caps while searching across other sectors for solid sources of profitable growth.
Markets cheered an imminent Fed rate cut, with small caps outpacing the S&P 500, but rising unemployment, sticky inflation, and slowing job growth point to stagflation risks. Advisors face a market both buoyed by near-term catalysts and shadowed by longer-term vulnerabilities.
Making the case for potential rate cuts in his recent speech at Jackson Hole, Fed Chair Powell noted that policy is presently in restrictive territory.
This summer has been a big one for digital assets in the U.S., with major policy steps moving forward in Washington. The White House has been clear that the goal is to strengthen American leadership in digital financial technology, and the bills and executive actions we've seen over the past two months all fit under that theme.
Although the relationship between fundamental returns and total returns after a decade is solid, valuations do matter – their impact is evident in the vertical distance between each stock observation and the diagonal line on the chart.
Markets are hoping for a “Goldilocks” outcome: tariffs that don’t hurt margins, inflation under control, and just enough labor softness to justify rate cuts. It’s an appealing story, but history suggests this mix is rare, and chasing it could set investors up for disappointment.
Private equities are a growing and increasingly significant part of the investing landscape.
DoubleLine CEO/CIO Jeffrey Gundlach, widely known in the capital markets as the "Bond King," spoke at a Total Return Webcast.
Market uncertainty continues to linger in the back of fixed income investors’ minds. But that can force much-needed recalibration of portfolios as tariffs and rate cuts loom. A compelling option to consider: corporate bonds.
How should investors think about integrating private credit into their portfolios?
Progress on reducing fiscal deficits has stalled in some large economies around the world. Should investors be worried?
LPL Research sees bull market strength as stocks follow recovery trends, with AI growth, Fed cuts, and economic resilience driving upside.
Gold, digital gold (blockchain-backed gold), and critical minerals are drawing interest as money supply grows and certain resources become scarcer.
The rise of private markets has brought new attention to private investment grade (IG) credit, which can offer investors a premium over public IG for giving borrowers customized terms – though that premium comes with certain risks.
As summer fades and the first hints of fall appear, football fans have reason to celebrate – the new season officially kicked off last night. But while excitement builds on the field, the equity market may be losing steam.
The U.S. dollar is experiencing a rare volatility squeeze, indicating that a major move is near. While the most likely direction is downward, any move will have a big impact on precious metals.
Surface-level diversification is no longer enough in a market increasingly driven by passive flows and dominated by a few mega-cap names. Owning multiple funds or asset classes does not guarantee protection if the underlying exposures overlap. Investors must go deeper and look beyond labels and into the actual drivers of risk and return.
Healthcare has been the worst-performing sector in the S&P 500 so far this year.
There are many ways to describe the strong performance in large cap US stock prices this year. You could simply call it a bull market, with the S&P 500 total return index up 31.2% since its low in early April and up 11.5% year-to-date.
Over the past several years we’ve watched the S&P 500’s performance become increasingly tethered to a handful of Mega-cap technology companies.
The U.S. economy has thus far avoided recession, yet growth has decelerated and economic risks persist.
Our biggest concern today is that if the labor market is as weak today as the numbers are showing, what will happen when all the federal government workers start dropping out of the employment numbers at the end of the fiscal year and during the next several quarters.
The U.S. market has outperformed the rest of the world over the past decade but may fade, making international equities—a timely and overlooked opportunity.
On this week’s edition of Market Week in Review, Global Chief Investment Strategist Paul Eitelman discussed new records for the U.S. stock market as well as the resilience of the American economy. He also covered bond-market volatility in Japan, France and the UK.
The market got exactly what it needed last week: confirmation that the economy is slowing—not collapsing—and that the Federal Reserve has the green light to start cutting rates. Payroll gains softened, manufacturing remains weak, and broader job slack is showing up with U-6 underemployment rising to 8.1%.
Looking back over the past 20 years, airline equities have tended to outperform in the final three months of the year, with the NYSE Arca Global Airlines Index gaining over 3% on average in October; this is followed by an even stronger showing in November and a 3% increase in December on average.
Over the past twenty years, in spite of incredible new technologies, US real GDP growth has averaged just 2.0% at an annual rate. By contrast, in the twenty years prior to the most recent twenty – from the mid-1980s thru the mid-2000s – real GDP grew at a 3.2% annual rate.
Bond investors may need to look elsewhere to supplant income lost from falling yields — they may want to try heading overseas. It's not just a weaker dollar that's been diverting attention to international bonds, but U.S. debt itself.
A market-wide boom of private equity investment is turning small, local residential service providers into big business. From the outside, it's been easy to miss.
