The Commodities Channel

Equity Investment Outlook

In a nutshell, we believe that the slow growth, low inflation trajectory will continue a while longer and, as a result, the Fed can maintain a very measured pace unwinding its unprecedented monetary ease.

Calm Before The Storm

In light of the 30-year anniversary of the Black Monday Crash in 1987 (when the Dow lost more than 20% in "one day", we should be reminded that investor anxiety usually increases when markets get to extremes.

Quarterly Strategy Update: Dynamic Undercurrents

Since the start of this year, the US Treasury market is signaling a scenario of rising growth expectations and falling inflation expectations, as reflected by the various components that comprise interest rates.

The Metamorphosis of Emerging Markets

The relative performance of emerging markets has been unremarkable over the past decade, however meaningful changes have taken place in the fundamental and financial construct of the asset class that are relevant for asset allocators. Most notably, the composition of the index has seen dramatic shifts in sector, country, and stock constituents...

5 Things to Know About Emerging Markets

Emerging markets debt and equity have many overlapping traits, but also differ in their exposure to countries and risks. The MSCI Emerging Markets Index contains 27 countries, with the five largest accounting for 70% of market value. Three countries in Asia - China, South Korea and Taiwan - comprise more than 50% of the index.

Global Economic Perspective: October

Recent data have supported our view that the drivers of the US economy’s solid expansion remain in place, and should allow the US Federal Reserve (Fed) to move further toward its goal of normalizing interest rates. Some data releases have clearly been skewed by the recent major hurricanes, but we feel any negative impact on the economy is likely to be transient and outweighed by demand arising from reconstruction.

Weekly Heating Oil Prices

The latest price of home heating oil nationwide is $2.66, down less than a penny from last week. Supply is also down from last week.

Ten Investor Takeaways From the IMF/World Bank Meetings

Global central bankers, ministers of finance and representatives from the private sector and civic groups gathered in Washington, D.C., last week for the Annual Meetings of the IMF (International Monetary Fund) and the World Bank Group.

Can Momentum Investing Be Saved?

Momentum is one of the most compelling factors in theoretical long–short paper portfolios, but live results of momentum strategies fall short of theoretical returns. Thoughtful implementation, a careful sell discipline, and an avoidance of stocks with stale momentum can narrow the gap between paper and live results.

Trump Packing Federal Courts With Conservative Judges

While the mainstream media remains obsessed with President Trump’s tweets and other controversial statements, the Commander-in-Chief is quietly packing the federal courts with conservative, originalist judges who are not only very smart but also relatively young.

10 Illustrated Truths About Investing & The Markets

This morning, as I was catching up on my reading, I stumbled onto this gem from Business Insider of an interview with the founder of Robinhood, a mobile app to let individuals trade stocks with no commissions.

The Big Four Economic Indicators: Industrial Production Up 0.3% in September

Today's report on Industrial Production for September shows a 0.3% increase month-over-month, which was at the consensus. Industrial Production peaked in November 2014, only one point higher than its pre-recession peak in November 2007. The year-over-year change is 1.60 percent, up from last month's YoY increase.

Third Quarter 2017: I’m All Right … Don’t Nobody Worry About Me

The reports of the coming economic demise continue to prove premature. For much of the past few years, we have filled these pages with our data-driven retort to the constant noise about the next impending economic and market downturn.

Should You Invest with the Fund Manager of the Year?

Morningstar’s Fund Manager of the Year is one of the most coveted awards in the mutual fund industry. Indeed, fund companies devote enormous resources to promoting award recipients. But should advisors invest their clients’ funds with those winners?

Weekly Gasoline Price Update: Regular and Premium Down Two Cents

It's time again for our weekly gasoline update based on data from the Energy Information Administration (EIA). The price of Regular and Premium were down two cents each from last week. According to, Hawaii has the highest average price for Regular at $3.07 and Santa Barbara, CA is the most expensive city, averaging $3.20. Arkansas has the cheapest at $2.19. The WTIC end of day spot price closed at 51.87, a 1.8% increase from this time last week.