Weekly Unemployment Claims: Up 11K from Last Week
This morning's seasonally adjusted 222K new claims, up 11K from the previous week's figure, was worse the Investing.com forecast of 215K. From the release: "The claims taking procedures in Puerto Rico and in the Virgin Islands have still not returned to normal."
Directed Versus Delegated Trusts: What Advisors Should Know
As you evaluate advisor-friendly trust providers, begin with a comprehensive understanding of the associated risks of the directed and delegated options.
Forecasting the Next Recession: Updating Our Outlook for Recession Timing
New developments in fiscal policy, the labor market, and the neutral interest rate suggest that the expansion could extend into the latter half of our recession range.
Five Takeaways from Hundreds of Advisors
I recently completed an extensive speaking tour across the U.S., Canada and Australia. I presented to hundreds of advisors and met personally with many of them. Here are five takeaways from those experiences.
The Ratio of Part-Time Employed: April 2018
Let's take a close look at Friday's employment report numbers on Full and Part-Time Employment. Buried near the bottom of Table A-9 of the government's Employment Situation Summary are the numbers for Full- and Part-Time Workers, with 35-or-more hours as the arbitrary divide between the two categories. The source is the monthly Current Population Survey (CPS) of households. The focus is on total hours worked regardless of whether the hours are from a single or multiple jobs.
Rewiring the Financial Planning Profession
To serve the needs of our evolving consumers, a more comprehensive fiduciary mindset needs to be adopted in order to survive.
SEC Broker Conduct Rules
Last week, the SEC issued proposed rules governing broker-dealer and investment advisor conduct. The rules serve as a counterpoint to the fiduciary rules issued by the Department of Labor.
High-Yield and Bank Loan Outlook
As the Federal Reserve (Fed) tightens monetary policy further, we expect to see default rates higher next year. Loan recovery rates averaged 70 percent between 1990 and 2017 as a result of their secured status and seniority in the capital structure. Senior secured bond recovery rates averaged 58 percent over the same period, while senior unsecured bond recovery rates averaged 43 percent. We are concerned about distressed exchanges as the risk of re-default is high. About 7 percent of high-yield corporate bond issuers have defaulted in the past.
Seeking a Return on Sustainable Development
The Western Pennsylvania of my youth was a magical place, with bucolic parklands and architectural gems like Frank Lloyd Wright’s Fallingwater. The decline of the steel industry over subsequent decades has left this beautiful countryside scarred with abandoned mills and rife with the toxins and refuse of a dying industry. This experience informs my perspective when I think about how to tackle the problem of funding the estimated $2.5 trillion gap in annual global infrastructure needs: How can future development avoid the mistakes of the past?
Six More Phrases Advisors Should Never Use
The previous article I wrote on this subject was so popular that I had to continue my tirade. Toss these six marketing buzzwords in the never-to-be-used jargon dumpster, in reverse order from the least to most offensive.
NewsLetter – April 2018
Read Harold Envensky's most recent Newsletter
The Future of the FPA, the CFP Board and the Organizations that Run the Planning Profession
Last month, I asked readers of Advisor Perspectives to help me think through some complicated issues regarding the future of the profession. Should the professional associations (like the FPA and NAPFA) consolidate in order to create more scale and unity, or should we maintain a healthy competition between them? Today we look at the responses I received.
Implications of DOL Fiduciary Rule Decisions and RESA Legislation
Some new developments in Washington and recent court rulings have implications for those saving and investing for retirement. Drew Carrington, head of Institutional Defined Contribution at Franklin Templeton Investments, along with Michael Doshier, head of retirement marketing, examine the status of the Retirement Enhancement and Savings Act (RESA) and what it might mean for both plan sponsors and participants.
The ESG Conundrum: Environmental, Social and Governance Factors for the Fixed Income Investor
Implementing the use of Environmental, Social and Governance (ESG) factors into the investment process presents different challenges for fixed income and equity investors.
Why Nassim Taleb Thinks Leaders Make Poor Decisions
Why do experts, CEOs, politicians, and other apparently highly capable people make such terrible decisions so often? Is because they’re ill-intentioned? Or because, despite appearances, they’re actually stupid? Nassim Nicholas Taleb, philosopher, businessman, perpetual troublemaker, and author of, among other works, the groundbreaking Fooled by Randomness, says it’s neither.