The greatest investment risk at the moment is the inclination to confuse the length of time a bubble has persisted with proof that a bubble does not exist.
One of the bigger takeaways from the 2026 midterm elections was that people don’t like data centers. And it’s not hard to understand why. They consume enormous amounts of electricity and water. They can create persistent noise for nearby communities.
In a week that once again featured solid economic data, stocks faltered as investors continued to question the sustainability of the AI boom.
We tend to treat values-aligned investing as a knowledge problem. As long as you learn the impact investing strategies, the client conversations will follow. However, after working alongside impact investors, wealth advisors, and the families around them, I’ve come to think there’s been a misdiagnosis.
If you don’t have children, I recommend choosing your financial power of attorney, health care power of attorney, and executor. Ask each person before you name them. If you have children, I encourage you not to assume they will be willing and able to serve in these roles, but to ask them.
Rafay Farooqui, CEO and Founder of SUBSCRIBE, joins Tony Davidow to discuss the future of fintech within private markets.
Let’s start with the inverse relationship between bond price and the yield. When a bond is issued, its coupon is fixed for life. The only thing that changes is the yield that new buyers demand. Let me explain.
Nominal and real yields have risen, creating some of the most attractive opportunities investors have seen in fixed income in several years. A resilient economy, higher oil prices, sticky inflation and growing worry about the deficit have all contributed to higher yields across much of the bond market.
If you’re considering changing firms in 2027, use the remainder of 2026 to establish readiness and explore a rapidly shifting economic and geopolitical landscape. Before committing, review your restrictions, confirm client-data boundaries, assess account portability, compare the economics, and determine what your next business model requires.
Tuesday’s midterms were one for the history books. Democrats won control of both the House and Senate, and they picked up governorships in Ohio, Texas and Georgia. Kansas elected a Democrat to the Senate for the first time since 1932. Our home state of Texas did so for the first time in 38 years.
Election Day delivered a decisive shift in the political landscape. Democrats regained control of both the House and Senate and captured several key governorships. Affordability concerns, unease about the economy and dissatisfaction with the war in Iran all played a role, consistent with polling heading into the vote.
You do get rewarded for pushing duration out, with a steep increase from 30 days to one year, and a more moderate — but still substantial — increment in return for going out to five years.
Morgan Stanley struck a deal to buy a fintech to bring a key technical aspect of handling corporate stock plans in house, further beefing up the bank’s massive wealth-management arm.
The most important number in October’s inflation reports wasn’t the one that made the headlines. Everyone watched the Consumer Price Index print 3.7%. Far fewer noticed the Producer Price Index for final demand. It jumped 1.3% in a single month, the largest gain since March 2022, and the annual rate hit 6.3%.
In a recent letter to investors, Paul Singer’s Elliott Investment Management predicted a substantial bear market ahead. There might be an abrupt change from fear of missing out, or FOMO, to fear of getting obliterated, or FOGO, the $80 billion manager wrote.
The magnitude of the Democratic victories in both the Senate and gubernatorial races was surprising and exceeded what many market participants appeared to be pricing. While the outcome is politically significant, investors should resist the temptation to view it as an immediate economic regime change.
A will can name guardians for minor children, designate an executor, and direct certain assets after your death. A trust serves a different role, including managing assets during your lifetime and controlling how they pass to beneficiaries. Understanding the distinction can help you build an estate plan that reflects your family, assets, and wishes.
The strong October nonfarm payrolls report has effectively settled the debate over what the Federal Reserve (Fed) is likely to do at its December Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting. We expect the Fed to raise the federal funds rate by another 25 basis points. Beyond December, however, the outlook remains far less certain. We continue to expect the Fed to remain on hold throughout 2027.
Chris Galipeau discusses high-conviction insights that go beyond media headlines.
Portfolio Manager Denny Fish explains why the market was justified in assigning a higher level of regulatory risk to the AI ecosystem after the midterm elections. But in his view, the secular strength of this theme, along with the massive bottlenecks and geopolitical implications, mean that this historic investment cycle will likely continue.
Franklin Templeton Institute’s Stephen Dover and Larry Hatheway opine on the US stock market’s recent volatility in the wake of the US midterm elections and the path forward for investors.
The big story last week? The Federal Reserve paused despite stronger growth and persistent inflation. It was a hawkish pause, with a December hike still the base case, according to Franklin Templeton Fixed Income. Third-quarter gross domestic product showed the US economy's resilience, but also its growing dependence on artificial intelligence investment, and household purchasing power took a hit.
The most-read stories in October for Advisor Perspectives were mainly focused on two key topics: retirement and TIPS. The most-read stories in October for Advisor Perspectives were mainly focused on two key topics: retirement and TIPS.
Understanding the FAFSA process can help families navigate college financial aid. Bill Cass, director of US Wealth Planning, explores five important considerations, from income and assets to application timing and aid offers.
The 2026 midterms may have changed Washington, but they haven’t changed the macro regime. Tariffs, geopolitics, and deficits remain key forces for investors.
The votes have been cast. While control of the House and Senate has been decided, now we wait for the final tallies (and celebrate the end of the political ads — at least for another 20 months or so). We’re not political strategists, but policy does move markets, so it’s important to pay attention.
We have been writing extensively about the rapid evolution of crypto ETFs, and recent data reinforces why digital assets remain top of mind for wealth managers. According to CoinShares, financial advisors hold roughly 55% of Wall Street’s total bitcoin ETF stake at the end of the second quarter, cementing their role as primary drivers of long-term digital asset adoption.
The voters have spoken, and they’ve decided that divided government is the best path forward. Democrats have been handed a majority in the House and Senate where they’ll have to work with a Republican president to manage the country’s financial well-being. What does history tell us about markets and the economy under divided rule? Here are four things that investors should consider.
Retirement confidence is a matter of perspective. While many defined contribution (DC) plan participants believe they’re making progress toward retirement savings, relatively few are certain they’ll have what they need at the finish line. And when the conversation shifts from turning savings into the increasingly important final step of generating sustainable income, their understanding becomes even less clear, according to our latest survey.
Notwithstanding that the major U.S. equity indexes are sitting on healthy double-digit gains heading into the final two months of 2026, the calm at the index level belies a lot of churn and rotation underneath.
Taken together, these trends point to a healthier, broader economic backdrop than the AI-driven narrative alone would suggest. For us as investors, it reinforces the case for individual, fundamental stockpicking over simply riding the AI wave. There's more supporting this market than one theme, and that breadth matters for how we position portfolios.
Equity markets are caught between tighter liquidity conditions and increased geopolitical uncertainty on the one hand, and solid economic growth and corporate earnings on the other. We have consequently reduced our exposure to stocks leading into year end.
As AI tools remove friction from administrative tasks, more clients flow into the pipeline, stretching advisor capacity without fortifying the infrastructure required to support it. Every efficiency created for an advisor can generate additional work elsewhere, with much of it landing on client service and operations teams.
Although AI reasoning tools drastically speed up workflow—allowing single individuals to build complex financial platforms—they tend to produce generic consensus, overlook subtle guidance, and push inexperienced users toward crowded, high-risk strategies.
Sometimes the best lessons are the simplest ones, and right now, the market is offering a good old-fashioned lesson on the benefits of diversification. Stay invested, stay diversified, and stick to your financial plan.
We expect the rotation to continue. The earnings bar is high—very high. Any minor misstep has led to punishment, which has led to rotation. Rotation is not a bad thing, and if you are running a diversified equity portfolio, you should be in good shape.
Most of us consider the end of the year as the season of giving. While you may have put some thought into how much you’d like to give this year, have you considered the best way to do it? The biggest benefit of charitable giving is supporting an organization that holds special meaning to you. But that doesn’t mean you can’t incorporate some potential tax advantages as well.
From earlier detection and more precise treatments to smarter medical technology, the healthcare sector continues to reinvent products that improve and save lives. Yet healthcare stocks have struggled to reflect that progress, overshadowed in recent years by investor enthusiasm for AI beneficiaries.
AI shouldn’t replace a trust officer’s judgment. Together, custom prompt-driven reviews and AI assistants cover the two modes trust officers operate in most frequently: structured reviews and real-time client service.
Fear of losing disability benefits can sometimes be as much of a barrier to opportunity as the rules themselves. Even sophisticated families can find the system difficult to navigate.
When I introduce the emotional side of money to my financial planning students at Golden Gate University, the most common reaction is shock that it was never part of their formal education.
Election Day has markets watching how divided Washington will be over the coming two years. Jeff Schulze shares insights for investors based on different potential outcomes.
The broad markets experienced volatility in the 3rd quarter with concerns over the impact of energy prices on inflation as well as CapEx spending by hyperscaler companies in the AI space driving technology stocks. The price of WTI Crude oil rallied sharply during the quarter by nearly 30%.
The Bank of Japan’s decision to accelerate sales of exchange-traded funds could boost its payments to the government, potentially helping Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi finance her costly policy agenda.
A few years back, I compared two island-nations whose leaders came to power in 1959. At the time, Cuba was by far the wealthier of the two—rich in sugar, tobacco and tourism—while Singapore was a sleepy former colonial outpost with almost no natural resources.
As the days grow shorter and the nights longer, Americans will turn their clocks back, shifting from daylight saving time to standard time. But the clocks won’t be the only thing changing. Americans will also head to the polls, with the potential to reshape Congress in the 2026 midterm elections.
With the one constant being that gold fell again, this time by 6.6%, October’s price action is a mirror image of what happened in markets in September. In September, tech and momentum led the charge higher, with anything value- or rate-related leading the selloff. October was the exact opposite.
Medicare's annual enrollment period gives advisors an opportunity to revisit healthcare coverage with clients. While advisors needn't become Medicare experts, they can help identify issues that warrant a closer look or consultation with a qualified Medicare professional.
Despite the fact that digital tools such as AI advisors are becoming increasingly available, investors are still seeking out human financial advisors.
Rising U.S. Treasury yields have added fresh strain to the U.S. housing market. The average 30-year mortgage rate, which generally tracks the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield plus a mortgage spread, rose to 7.5% in October 2026, according to Mortgage Bankers Association data, worsening an affordability crunch that remains a top concern among U.S. households.
The strength of the US economy during the third quarter was hardly a surprise. We expected economic growth of 3.5%, and the first estimate came in only slightly below that at a 3.4% quarter-over-quarter, seasonally adjusted annualized rate. Consumer spending and investment tied to the AI and data center buildout remained the primary drivers of growth.
Infrastructure has long been valued for its defensive characteristics, income potential and ability to protect against inflation. Essential assets such as electricity networks, pipelines, railways, airports and toll roads typically benefit from high barriers to entry and predictable revenues.
The Fed held rates steady at its October meeting but kept the door open to further tightening, with two dissenting votes and hawkish rhetoric signaling that the pause is a skip, not a stop.
The economy appears to be settling into a new equilibrium. Economic growth has moderated to a sustainable pace. While inflation has picked up over the last few months, there does not seem to be a fundamental shift in the underlying trend.
Valid until the market close on November 31, 2026
This article provides an update on the monthly moving averages we track for the S&P 500 and the Ivy Portfolio after the close of the last business day of the month.
Investors often treat growth and dividends as opposing camps, but in practice, this means the two can complement each other.
The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) decided to keep rates unchanged, maintaining the fed funds trading range at 3.75% to 4.00%. After some early back and forth on the chances for a rate hike at this gathering, this result was largely expected. In fact, fed funds futures were pricing in more than a 90% chance that the fed funds target would remain unchanged.
Royce Investment Partners: Co-CIO Francis Gannon details why recent volatility looks like the typical pattern of a US small-cap leadership cycle.
Investors may be overlooking one of the most established drivers of long-term wealth creation: dividend yield. In his October insight, Richard Bernstein, Global Head of Macro & Customized Investing, examines the broad availability of dividend opportunities, how income-focused stocks have performed relative to growth stocks, and why dividend yield may help investors balance portfolios increasingly geared toward capital gains and higher risk.
After overshooting projections for years, AI capex is slowing down. The shift doesn’t spell the end of the AI trade but a move to a more mature, predictable cycle that favors higher-quality borrowers.
New charitable deduction rules may affect year-end giving strategies. Bill Cass examines the changes for 2026 and considerations for taxpayers looking to align charitable goals with tax planning.
The Federal Reserve decided to wait for more data rather than raise rates at its October meeting. Two policymakers dissented, favoring a rate hike of a quarter percentage point.
How many eyeball-grabbing headlines can we stuff into the next few weeks? For tech investors, AI concerns mount, with rising credit default swap prices among the hyperscalers and sagging neocloud equities.
The credit market had become more discerning. Companies with greater leverage, more uncertain cash flows, or business models requiring enormous amounts of capital appeared to be more scrutinized.
LPL Research examines three keys to earnings season: broader profit growth, margin pressures, and high expectations amid continued AI investment.
Reasonable minds can disagree about the ideal scope of government, but no one argues against nations providing for their defense. As conflicts emerge and tensions rise, defense spending will take a larger role in all nations’ budgets, with effects that will flow across the economy.
As information and AI-powered insights become more accessible, experience, judgment, and discernment are becoming increasingly valuable. The advisor's role is evolving from simply providing answers to helping clients interpret complexity, evaluate trade-offs, make decisions with confidence, and execute those decisions effectively.
Economic data that continued to show a strong U.S. economy, housing aside, took a back seat this week as investors once again focused on potential risks to future growth: rising energy prices, sticky inflation, and most importantly, questions about the sustainability of the artificial intelligence (AI) boom.
US midterm elections take place on Tuesday, November 3. Currently, the Republican party is in control of the House and the Senate. This vote will essentially be a referendum on the Republican party’s body of work. It’s likely the composition of either the House or the Senate will change.
Higher yields do not automatically make longer-duration bonds attractive, as persistent inflation, resilient growth, and heavy debt issuance could maintain upward pressure on yields in the near term.
Rick Polsinello, Christian Galipeau Discuss high-conviction insights that go beyond media headlines.
The next two weeks bring an unusually crowded lineup of potential market-moving catalysts, including a Federal Reserve (Fed) policy meeting, the busiest stretch of third-quarter 2026 earnings season, the Treasury’s Quarterly Refunding Announcement and the midterm elections.
Last year, U.S. charitable giving hit a record $617.20 billion, according to Giving USA. That’s the first time it’s ever topped $600 billion. Individuals gave $394.2 billion of that, foundations gave $117.15 billion, bequests added $62.19 billion and corporations contributed $43.67 billion.
Insurance-licensed RIAs grew fastest as fee-only firms’ asset share fell to 34%, though fiduciary clients report higher satisfaction.
At its core, a carry trade is simply borrowing where money is relatively cheap (Japan) and investing where the expected return is higher (U.S.). This strategy captures the difference in interest rates, but it also exposes investors to changes in interest rates and foreign currency exchange rates.
A few months ago, Georgina Long received a message asking her to call a collaborator at Merck & Co. She feared the worst.
Our Director and Head of Canadian Investment Strategy BeiChen Lin sees two main forces behind this week’s more cautious market tone: higher energy prices and renewed questions around artificial intelligence investment.
With several provisions of the One Big Beautiful Bill Act (OBBBA) taking effect in 2026, year-end planning may present new opportunities and considerations for taxpayers. It’s important to assess personal finances before the end of the year to determine if action is needed.
The S&P 500 has been a reliable index for building exposure to U.S. stocks for years, and for good reason. It’s a valuable barometer for investors who want to make sure they are tracking large-cap U.S. equities.
Manufacturing production began to recover in early 2026 after nearly three years in recession. Yet manufacturing employment has remained largely unchanged. In other words, a year and a half after tariffs were imposed with the goal of boosting manufacturing jobs, that objective remains elusive.
With the U.S. midterm elections mere weeks away, it can be easy to get swept up in the headlines and questions about what different outcomes might mean for markets.
Emerging markets continued to deliver strong year-to-date returns in 2026, although the third quarter served as a reminder that the path higher is rarely linear. After a powerful first-half rally led by artificial intelligence (AI), semiconductors and other growth-oriented sectors, markets experienced a broad correction in July before stabilizing through the remainder of the quarter.
The number one question we tend to receive is: Where are long-term interest rates headed from here? Right behind it is: How do I invest in the bond market, not only for right now but also for the future? In our opinion, investors should be prepared for this elevated “normal” rate setting for the foreseeable future. We wanted to address both questions by examining how to prepare a bond portfolio for a 5% world.
Markets look calm on the surface, but AI-driven shifts in capital allocation, earnings quality, and funding needs are reshaping risks and opportunities beneath the index level.
Higher bond yields may offer retirees more income potential, but a diversified approach that balances income, risk, and spending needs remains important.
The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), the policy-setting group within the U.S. Federal Reserve, meets on 27–28 October to discuss the economic outlook and appropriate monetary policy. We expect the FOMC to hold the policy rate at 3.75%–4.0% while keeping a clear tightening bias.
After years when yield was scarce and investors were pushed further out on the risk spectrum, income is investable again. High-quality bonds can once more provide meaningful cash flow, portfolio stability and a credible path to total return without requiring an aggressive call on interest rates or credit.
Last week saw a further deterioration in the inflation outlook, while the Federal Reserve (Fed) appears increasingly reluctant to tighten again immediately. The September headline Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose 0.6% month/month (m/m) and 3.7% year/year (y/y), while core inflation increased 0.3% m/m and accelerated to 2.6% y/y from 2.4%.
Being able to recognize one’s blind spots and knowing when to bring in another financial professional can be just as impactful. Identifying where those boundaries exist can help advisors continue to excel in their area of expertise while helping clients build financial plans that strengthen their future.
For the past two years, much of the conversation about artificial intelligence in wealth management has been hypothetical. Will advisors use AI? Will clients accept it? Will firms allow sensitive information to flow through large language models? Regulatory filings show that those questions are starting to be answered.
Financial Planning
The Free Money Bubble
The greatest investment risk at the moment is the inclination to confuse the length of time a bubble has persisted with proof that a bubble does not exist.
What a Slower AI Buildout May Mean for Markets
One of the bigger takeaways from the 2026 midterm elections was that people don’t like data centers. And it’s not hard to understand why. They consume enormous amounts of electricity and water. They can create persistent noise for nearby communities.
AI Worries Outweigh Strong Economic Data
In a week that once again featured solid economic data, stocks faltered as investors continued to question the sustainability of the AI boom.
The Blank-Page Problem in Values-Aligned Investing
We tend to treat values-aligned investing as a knowledge problem. As long as you learn the impact investing strategies, the client conversations will follow. However, after working alongside impact investors, wealth advisors, and the families around them, I’ve come to think there’s been a misdiagnosis.
Choosing Who Will Make Decisions for You if You Don’t Have Children
If you don’t have children, I recommend choosing your financial power of attorney, health care power of attorney, and executor. Ask each person before you name them. If you have children, I encourage you not to assume they will be willing and able to serve in these roles, but to ask them.
Solving the Operational Challenges of Private Markets
Rafay Farooqui, CEO and Founder of SUBSCRIBE, joins Tony Davidow to discuss the future of fintech within private markets.
How Bonds Work: Everything You Need To Know
Let’s start with the inverse relationship between bond price and the yield. When a bond is issued, its coupon is fixed for life. The only thing that changes is the yield that new buyers demand. Let me explain.
Outlook: A Review of the Corporate, Agency and Municipal Sectors Given Tight Spreads and Record Issuance
Nominal and real yields have risen, creating some of the most attractive opportunities investors have seen in fixed income in several years. A resilient economy, higher oil prices, sticky inflation and growing worry about the deficit have all contributed to higher yields across much of the bond market.
Advisor Year-End Checklist: Prepare for a 2027 Move
If you’re considering changing firms in 2027, use the remainder of 2026 to establish readiness and explore a rapidly shifting economic and geopolitical landscape. Before committing, review your restrictions, confirm client-data boundaries, assess account portability, compare the economics, and determine what your next business model requires.
What Stocks Have Done Under a Republican President and a Democratic Congress
Tuesday’s midterms were one for the history books. Democrats won control of both the House and Senate, and they picked up governorships in Ohio, Texas and Georgia. Kansas elected a Democrat to the Senate for the first time since 1932. Our home state of Texas did so for the first time in 38 years.
Five Questions for Markets After the Midterm Elections
Election Day delivered a decisive shift in the political landscape. Democrats regained control of both the House and Senate and captured several key governorships. Affordability concerns, unease about the economy and dissatisfaction with the war in Iran all played a role, consistent with polling heading into the vote.
Do Bond Investors Get Rewarded for Taking Duration Risk? (Part 1)
You do get rewarded for pushing duration out, with a steep increase from 30 days to one year, and a more moderate — but still substantial — increment in return for going out to five years.
Morgan Stanley to Buy Fintech Vinyl Equity in Wealth Expansion
Morgan Stanley struck a deal to buy a fintech to bring a key technical aspect of handling corporate stock plans in house, further beefing up the bank’s massive wealth-management arm.
PPI vs CPI: Are Record Profit Margins About To Get Squeezed
The most important number in October’s inflation reports wasn’t the one that made the headlines. Everyone watched the Consumer Price Index print 3.7%. Far fewer noticed the Producer Price Index for final demand. It jumped 1.3% in a single month, the largest gain since March 2022, and the annual rate hit 6.3%.
Hedge Fund FOGO Is Obliterating the FOMO Trade
In a recent letter to investors, Paul Singer’s Elliott Investment Management predicted a substantial bear market ahead. There might be an abrupt change from fear of missing out, or FOMO, to fear of getting obliterated, or FOGO, the $80 billion manager wrote.
Midterm Election 2026: What Matters for Investors Now
The magnitude of the Democratic victories in both the Senate and gubernatorial races was surprising and exceeded what many market participants appeared to be pricing. While the outcome is politically significant, investors should resist the temptation to view it as an immediate economic regime change.
Do You Need a Will, a Trust, or Both?
A will can name guardians for minor children, designate an executor, and direct certain assets after your death. A trust serves a different role, including managing assets during your lifetime and controlling how they pass to beneficiaries. Understanding the distinction can help you build an estate plan that reflects your family, assets, and wishes.
Strength in Employment Settles December Rate Debate
The strong October nonfarm payrolls report has effectively settled the debate over what the Federal Reserve (Fed) is likely to do at its December Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting. We expect the Fed to raise the federal funds rate by another 25 basis points. Beyond December, however, the outlook remains far less certain. We continue to expect the Fed to remain on hold throughout 2027.
Panic at the Disco
Chris Galipeau discusses high-conviction insights that go beyond media headlines.
Quick View: An Argument for the Long View During AI Volatility
Portfolio Manager Denny Fish explains why the market was justified in assigning a higher level of regulatory risk to the AI ecosystem after the midterm elections. But in his view, the secular strength of this theme, along with the massive bottlenecks and geopolitical implications, mean that this historic investment cycle will likely continue.
The AI Selloff and Portfolio Implications
Franklin Templeton Institute’s Stephen Dover and Larry Hatheway opine on the US stock market’s recent volatility in the wake of the US midterm elections and the path forward for investors.
Strong Growth, Emerging Cracks
The big story last week? The Federal Reserve paused despite stronger growth and persistent inflation. It was a hawkish pause, with a December hike still the base case, according to Franklin Templeton Fixed Income. Third-quarter gross domestic product showed the US economy's resilience, but also its growing dependence on artificial intelligence investment, and household purchasing power took a hit.
TIPS & Retirement Topics Dominate Advisor Perspective’s Top Views in October
The most-read stories in October for Advisor Perspectives were mainly focused on two key topics: retirement and TIPS. The most-read stories in October for Advisor Perspectives were mainly focused on two key topics: retirement and TIPS.
Five Things Families Should Know About the FAFSA
Understanding the FAFSA process can help families navigate college financial aid. Bill Cass, director of US Wealth Planning, explores five important considerations, from income and assets to application timing and aid offers.
Midterms Change Congress, Not the Macro Regime
The 2026 midterms may have changed Washington, but they haven’t changed the macro regime. Tariffs, geopolitics, and deficits remain key forces for investors.
Beyond the Ballots: What Matters for Markets
The votes have been cast. While control of the House and Senate has been decided, now we wait for the final tallies (and celebrate the end of the political ads — at least for another 20 months or so). We’re not political strategists, but policy does move markets, so it’s important to pay attention.
VettaFi Wants to Know: How Are Advisors Navigating Crypto Allocations?
We have been writing extensively about the rapid evolution of crypto ETFs, and recent data reinforces why digital assets remain top of mind for wealth managers. According to CoinShares, financial advisors hold roughly 55% of Wall Street’s total bitcoin ETF stake at the end of the second quarter, cementing their role as primary drivers of long-term digital asset adoption.
How Could the Midterm Results Impact Economic Growth?
The voters have spoken, and they’ve decided that divided government is the best path forward. Democrats have been handed a majority in the House and Senate where they’ll have to work with a Republican president to manage the country’s financial well-being. What does history tell us about markets and the economy under divided rule? Here are four things that investors should consider.
A Simpler Path to Lifetime Income: Make It Automatic
Retirement confidence is a matter of perspective. While many defined contribution (DC) plan participants believe they’re making progress toward retirement savings, relatively few are certain they’ll have what they need at the finish line. And when the conversation shifts from turning savings into the increasingly important final step of generating sustainable income, their understanding becomes even less clear, according to our latest survey.
Spinning Wheel: What Goes Up…
Notwithstanding that the major U.S. equity indexes are sitting on healthy double-digit gains heading into the final two months of 2026, the calm at the index level belies a lot of churn and rotation underneath.
Where Investors Aren’t Looking
Taken together, these trends point to a healthier, broader economic backdrop than the AI-driven narrative alone would suggest. For us as investors, it reinforces the case for individual, fundamental stockpicking over simply riding the AI wave. There's more supporting this market than one theme, and that breadth matters for how we position portfolios.
Cutting Back on Equities as Financial Conditions Offer Less Support
Equity markets are caught between tighter liquidity conditions and increased geopolitical uncertainty on the one hand, and solid economic growth and corporate earnings on the other. We have consequently reduced our exposure to stocks leading into year end.
When AI Speeds Up the Advisor, Can the Rest of the Firm Keep Pace?
As AI tools remove friction from administrative tasks, more clients flow into the pipeline, stretching advisor capacity without fortifying the infrastructure required to support it. Every efficiency created for an advisor can generate additional work elsewhere, with much of it landing on client service and operations teams.
AI Multiplies Advisor Expertise: A Computer Nerd Comes Clean
Although AI reasoning tools drastically speed up workflow—allowing single individuals to build complex financial platforms—they tend to produce generic consensus, overlook subtle guidance, and push inexperienced users toward crowded, high-risk strategies.
AI Spending Scrutiny Deepens as Markets Rotate Beyond Tech
Sometimes the best lessons are the simplest ones, and right now, the market is offering a good old-fashioned lesson on the benefits of diversification. Stay invested, stay diversified, and stick to your financial plan.
The Rotation Will Continue Until Morale Improves
We expect the rotation to continue. The earnings bar is high—very high. Any minor misstep has led to punishment, which has led to rotation. Rotation is not a bad thing, and if you are running a diversified equity portfolio, you should be in good shape.
Giving to Charity This Year? Consider the Tax Strategy Too
Most of us consider the end of the year as the season of giving. While you may have put some thought into how much you’d like to give this year, have you considered the best way to do it? The biggest benefit of charitable giving is supporting an organization that holds special meaning to you. But that doesn’t mean you can’t incorporate some potential tax advantages as well.
Healthcare Stocks Deserve a Second Opinion
From earlier detection and more precise treatments to smarter medical technology, the healthcare sector continues to reinvent products that improve and save lives. Yet healthcare stocks have struggled to reflect that progress, overshadowed in recent years by investor enthusiasm for AI beneficiaries.
AI Is Building Better Systems for Trust Officers & Their Clients
AI shouldn’t replace a trust officer’s judgment. Together, custom prompt-driven reviews and AI assistants cover the two modes trust officers operate in most frequently: structured reviews and real-time client service.
When Protecting Benefits Gets in the Way of Building Independence
Fear of losing disability benefits can sometimes be as much of a barrier to opportunity as the rules themselves. Even sophisticated families can find the system difficult to navigate.
Teaching Financial Advisors the Depth Behind Tools & Recipes
When I introduce the emotional side of money to my financial planning students at Golden Gate University, the most common reaction is shock that it was never part of their formal education.
The Big Picture Beats Politics
Election Day has markets watching how divided Washington will be over the coming two years. Jeff Schulze shares insights for investors based on different potential outcomes.
A Volatile Quarter, and Where We See It Heading
The broad markets experienced volatility in the 3rd quarter with concerns over the impact of energy prices on inflation as well as CapEx spending by hyperscaler companies in the AI space driving technology stocks. The price of WTI Crude oil rallied sharply during the quarter by nearly 30%.
BOJ’s Faster ETF Sales May Help Takaichi’s Spending Plan
The Bank of Japan’s decision to accelerate sales of exchange-traded funds could boost its payments to the government, potentially helping Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi finance her costly policy agenda.
Venezuela Was Richer Than Poland in 1990. Now Poland Is Six Times Richer
A few years back, I compared two island-nations whose leaders came to power in 1959. At the time, Cuba was by far the wealthier of the two—rich in sugar, tobacco and tourism—while Singapore was a sleepy former colonial outpost with almost no natural resources.
What Midterm Election Results Could Mean for the Market Outlook
As the days grow shorter and the nights longer, Americans will turn their clocks back, shifting from daylight saving time to standard time. But the clocks won’t be the only thing changing. Americans will also head to the polls, with the potential to reshape Congress in the 2026 midterm elections.
QuantStreet November 2026 Letter: AI Worries
With the one constant being that gold fell again, this time by 6.6%, October’s price action is a mirror image of what happened in markets in September. In September, tech and momentum led the charge higher, with anything value- or rate-related leading the selloff. October was the exact opposite.
Medicare Decisions Are Becoming a Financial Planning Blind Spot
Medicare's annual enrollment period gives advisors an opportunity to revisit healthcare coverage with clients. While advisors needn't become Medicare experts, they can help identify issues that warrant a closer look or consultation with a qualified Medicare professional.
Why RIAs Are Booming in the Era of AI Advice
Despite the fact that digital tools such as AI advisors are becoming increasingly available, investors are still seeking out human financial advisors.
Policy Options Are Available Now to Lower U.S. Mortgage Rates
Rising U.S. Treasury yields have added fresh strain to the U.S. housing market. The average 30-year mortgage rate, which generally tracks the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield plus a mortgage spread, rose to 7.5% in October 2026, according to Mortgage Bankers Association data, worsening an affordability crunch that remains a top concern among U.S. households.
Strong But Concentrated Economic Growth
The strength of the US economy during the third quarter was hardly a surprise. We expected economic growth of 3.5%, and the first estimate came in only slightly below that at a 3.4% quarter-over-quarter, seasonally adjusted annualized rate. Consumer spending and investment tied to the AI and data center buildout remained the primary drivers of growth.
Infrastructure’s Essential Assets Have Expanding Ambitions
Infrastructure has long been valued for its defensive characteristics, income potential and ability to protect against inflation. Essential assets such as electricity networks, pipelines, railways, airports and toll roads typically benefit from high barriers to entry and predictable revenues.
October FOMC Recap—No Hike But Hawk Talk Persists
The Fed held rates steady at its October meeting but kept the door open to further tightening, with two dissenting votes and hawkish rhetoric signaling that the pause is a skip, not a stop.
Confluence Asset Allocation Quarterly
The economy appears to be settling into a new equilibrium. Economic growth has moderated to a sustainable pace. While inflation has picked up over the last few months, there does not seem to be a fundamental shift in the underlying trend.
Moving Averages of the Ivy Portfolio and S&P 500: October 2026
Valid until the market close on November 31, 2026
This article provides an update on the monthly moving averages we track for the S&P 500 and the Ivy Portfolio after the close of the last business day of the month.
Pairing Quality Growth & High Yields: A Blueprint for All-Weather Portfolios
Investors often treat growth and dividends as opposing camps, but in practice, this means the two can complement each other.
Holding the Line
The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) decided to keep rates unchanged, maintaining the fed funds trading range at 3.75% to 4.00%. After some early back and forth on the chances for a rate hike at this gathering, this result was largely expected. In fact, fed funds futures were pricing in more than a 90% chance that the fed funds target would remain unchanged.
The US Small-Cap Bull Market: A Correction, Not a Conclusion
Royce Investment Partners: Co-CIO Francis Gannon details why recent volatility looks like the typical pattern of a US small-cap leadership cycle.
The Opposite of Narrow Breadth: Yield is Everywhere!
Investors may be overlooking one of the most established drivers of long-term wealth creation: dividend yield. In his October insight, Richard Bernstein, Global Head of Macro & Customized Investing, examines the broad availability of dividend opportunities, how income-focused stocks have performed relative to growth stocks, and why dividend yield may help investors balance portfolios increasingly geared toward capital gains and higher risk.
The AI Soft Landing Scenario
After overshooting projections for years, AI capex is slowing down. The shift doesn’t spell the end of the AI trade but a move to a more mature, predictable cycle that favors higher-quality borrowers.
Year-End Charitable Giving: Understanding the New Tax Rules
New charitable deduction rules may affect year-end giving strategies. Bill Cass examines the changes for 2026 and considerations for taxpayers looking to align charitable goals with tax planning.
Divided Fed Chooses Patience, Leaves Rates Unchanged
The Federal Reserve decided to wait for more data rather than raise rates at its October meeting. Two policymakers dissented, favoring a rate hike of a quarter percentage point.
Anthropic IPO on Tap, NVIDIA Updates, & Other Investor Days Shaping Markets
How many eyeball-grabbing headlines can we stuff into the next few weeks? For tech investors, AI concerns mount, with rising credit default swap prices among the hyperscalers and sagging neocloud equities.
Bonds, AI, and a Bull Market That Has Kept Going
The credit market had become more discerning. Companies with greater leverage, more uncertain cash flows, or business models requiring enormous amounts of capital appeared to be more scrutinized.
Big Numbers, Big Expectations: Three Keys to Earnings Season
LPL Research examines three keys to earnings season: broader profit growth, margin pressures, and high expectations amid continued AI investment.
Some Benefits of Defense Spending
Reasonable minds can disagree about the ideal scope of government, but no one argues against nations providing for their defense. As conflicts emerge and tensions rise, defense spending will take a larger role in all nations’ budgets, with effects that will flow across the economy.
When Information Is Free, Sound Judgment Becomes Priceless
As information and AI-powered insights become more accessible, experience, judgment, and discernment are becoming increasingly valuable. The advisor's role is evolving from simply providing answers to helping clients interpret complexity, evaluate trade-offs, make decisions with confidence, and execute those decisions effectively.
Strong Economic Data Meets Rising AI Concerns
Economic data that continued to show a strong U.S. economy, housing aside, took a back seat this week as investors once again focused on potential risks to future growth: rising energy prices, sticky inflation, and most importantly, questions about the sustainability of the artificial intelligence (AI) boom.
The Midterm Market Effect
US midterm elections take place on Tuesday, November 3. Currently, the Republican party is in control of the House and the Senate. This vote will essentially be a referendum on the Republican party’s body of work. It’s likely the composition of either the House or the Senate will change.
When is Duration Worth Owning Again?
Higher yields do not automatically make longer-duration bonds attractive, as persistent inflation, resilient growth, and heavy debt issuance could maintain upward pressure on yields in the near term.
AI Wobbles. Treasuries Step Up.
Rick Polsinello, Christian Galipeau Discuss high-conviction insights that go beyond media headlines.
Key Catalysts for Markets in the Weeks Ahead
The next two weeks bring an unusually crowded lineup of potential market-moving catalysts, including a Federal Reserve (Fed) policy meeting, the busiest stretch of third-quarter 2026 earnings season, the Treasury’s Quarterly Refunding Announcement and the midterm elections.
AI Is Proving Yet Again That Americans Are the Most Generous People on Earth
Last year, U.S. charitable giving hit a record $617.20 billion, according to Giving USA. That’s the first time it’s ever topped $600 billion. Individuals gave $394.2 billion of that, foundations gave $117.15 billion, bequests added $62.19 billion and corporations contributed $43.67 billion.
Hybrid RIAs Outpace Fee-Only Fiduciary Firms, Cerulli Finds
Insurance-licensed RIAs grew fastest as fee-only firms’ asset share fell to 34%, though fiduciary clients report higher satisfaction.
A Crowded Exit? A Discussion on the Yen Carry Trade
At its core, a carry trade is simply borrowing where money is relatively cheap (Japan) and investing where the expected return is higher (U.S.). This strategy captures the difference in interest rates, but it also exposes investors to changes in interest rates and foreign currency exchange rates.
How Melanoma Became the Proving Ground for a Personalized Cancer Vaccine
A few months ago, Georgina Long received a message asking her to call a collaborator at Merck & Co. She feared the worst.
There’s More Behind this Week’s Market Nerves
Our Director and Head of Canadian Investment Strategy BeiChen Lin sees two main forces behind this week’s more cautious market tone: higher energy prices and renewed questions around artificial intelligence investment.
A Checklist May Help Taxpayers Navigate Year-End Planning
With several provisions of the One Big Beautiful Bill Act (OBBBA) taking effect in 2026, year-end planning may present new opportunities and considerations for taxpayers. It’s important to assess personal finances before the end of the year to determine if action is needed.
Seeking to Outpace the S&P 500? Give Dividends a Shot
The S&P 500 has been a reliable index for building exposure to U.S. stocks for years, and for good reason. It’s a valuable barometer for investors who want to make sure they are tracking large-cap U.S. equities.
Manufacturing Production Is Improving, Manufacturing Employment Is Not
Manufacturing production began to recover in early 2026 after nearly three years in recession. Yet manufacturing employment has remained largely unchanged. In other words, a year and a half after tariffs were imposed with the goal of boosting manufacturing jobs, that objective remains elusive.
Three Themes That Matter More Than the Midterms
With the U.S. midterm elections mere weeks away, it can be easy to get swept up in the headlines and questions about what different outcomes might mean for markets.
Q3 2026 CIO Review and Outlook
Emerging markets continued to deliver strong year-to-date returns in 2026, although the third quarter served as a reminder that the path higher is rarely linear. After a powerful first-half rally led by artificial intelligence (AI), semiconductors and other growth-oriented sectors, markets experienced a broad correction in July before stabilizing through the remainder of the quarter.
Investing in a 5% Bond World: The Barbell
The number one question we tend to receive is: Where are long-term interest rates headed from here? Right behind it is: How do I invest in the bond market, not only for right now but also for the future? In our opinion, investors should be prepared for this elevated “normal” rate setting for the foreseeable future. We wanted to address both questions by examining how to prepare a bond portfolio for a 5% world.
Calm on the Surface, Steady as She Goes?
Markets look calm on the surface, but AI-driven shifts in capital allocation, earnings quality, and funding needs are reshaping risks and opportunities beneath the index level.
What Do Higher Yields Mean for Retirement Income?
Higher bond yields may offer retirees more income potential, but a diversified approach that balances income, risk, and spending needs remains important.
October Fed Meeting Preview: A Pause Is Still a Recalibration
The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), the policy-setting group within the U.S. Federal Reserve, meets on 27–28 October to discuss the economic outlook and appropriate monetary policy. We expect the FOMC to hold the policy rate at 3.75%–4.0% while keeping a clear tightening bias.
The Return of Income: Bonds Reclaim Their Role
After years when yield was scarce and investors were pushed further out on the risk spectrum, income is investable again. High-quality bonds can once more provide meaningful cash flow, portfolio stability and a credible path to total return without requiring an aggressive call on interest rates or credit.
Resilient Growth, Sticky Inflation
Last week saw a further deterioration in the inflation outlook, while the Federal Reserve (Fed) appears increasingly reluctant to tighten again immediately. The September headline Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose 0.6% month/month (m/m) and 3.7% year/year (y/y), while core inflation increased 0.3% m/m and accelerated to 2.6% y/y from 2.4%.
Understanding Your Limits Can Make You a Better Financial Advisor
Being able to recognize one’s blind spots and knowing when to bring in another financial professional can be just as impactful. Identifying where those boundaries exist can help advisors continue to excel in their area of expertise while helping clients build financial plans that strengthen their future.
RIA AI Adoption Is Showing Up in the Filings
For the past two years, much of the conversation about artificial intelligence in wealth management has been hypothetical. Will advisors use AI? Will clients accept it? Will firms allow sensitive information to flow through large language models? Regulatory filings show that those questions are starting to be answered.