“Mother of All Bubbles” Keeps Gold in Focus
Today I want to discuss reports that global debt levels are at all-time highs, and what this means for your investment decisions going forward.
Revisiting the Traditional Emerging Market Equities Allocation Framework
Bhartia, a portfolio manager on GMO’s Emerging Markets Equities team, and his colleague Mehak Dua, explore the benefits of combining a risk-based approach with valuation in an asset class that has grown considerably more complex over the last three decades.
Market Overview Q217: Shaping up for a New Investment Environment
After a long period of “riding the wave” of central bank liquidity, investors are now confronted with much more difficult decisions. Andrew Lo’s new book, Adapative Markets, provides an excellent framework from which to analyze the current situation, evaluate market risks and prepare for changes.
Emerging Markets Second-Quarter 2017 Recap: The Streak Continues
Here, I share the team’s overview of what happened in the emerging-markets universe in the second quarter of 2017, including some key events, milestones and data points to offer some perspective.
Federal Spending to Top a Record $4 Trillion in FY2017
Both the Congressional Budget Office and the White House Office of Management and Budget announced last week that federal spending will top $4 trillion for the first time ever in fiscal 2017, which began on October 1, 2016 and ends on September 30.
Weighing the Week Ahead: A Seinfeld Market?
It is a Seinfeld market. The story is about nothing, but must be described along the way. With nothing better to discuss, people will be asking what should we expect for the rest of 2017.
Challenges in the ESG Environment
Responsible investing is a topic of increasing interest, particularly among certain profiles of investors. Yet, proposed legislative rollbacks on corporate governance and climate change have roused concerns about the impact on environmental, social and governance (ESG) investing.
We believe, however, that investors have many reasons to remain confident and, while it is always hard to predict how changes will ultimately play out, the future of ESG investing continues to look promising for investors. Our latest investment commentary explains why.
One-Third of Millennials Are Living With Parents
As the father of two Millennials (ages 27 and 25), I pay a great deal of attention to articles and studies on this largest generation of 75.4 million Americans. Given the sheer size of this generation and its vast effect on the economy for decades to come, we should all be paying attention to trends within this massive group.
China: Building Roads to the Future
China is forging new global connections and expanding trade and market access in many ways. The country does seem to be opening its capital markets and working to become more transparent. We have seen the success of stock linkages between mainland China and Hong Kong, and recently, a new bond market connection has been announced.
10 Reasons ESG Investing Is Growing
According to the Global Sustainable Investment Alliance, over $22 trillion of assets were managed under responsible investment strategies globally in 2016, up 25% from two years before. This is one of many statistics showing Environmental, Social and Governance (ESG) investing moving into the mainstream. We see 10 major trends contributing to the rise.
What We Can Learn from Andrew Lo’s Adaptive Markets
Is the market efficient? Of course not – not exactly, or not even close, depending on your point of view. However, the efficient market hypothesis has remained surprisingly resistant. The reason is that, as MIT professor Andrew W. Lo says repeatedly in his new book, Adaptive Markets, “it takes a theory to beat a theory.” And, up to this point, there has been no alternative theory.
Brexit One Year Later, in Five Charts
Although the British economy is showing signs of slowing down, the country has not contracted or imploded as many Brexit opponents had predicted. In fact, certain British sectors such as exports and manufacturing continue to expand.
Exploring Routes to China After MSCI A-Shares Move
MSCI has announced that China A-shares will be included in its emerging-market (EM) index next year, as we anticipated. Now, global equity investors need to consider how to access the vast universe of stocks traded onshore in China.
Does Coal Stand a Chance Against Renewable Energy?
You might have heard the news that the first new coal mine in a decade opened this month in a small Pennsylvania town called Friedens. The Acosta Mine—the output from which will be used in the production of steel—is expected to employ between 70 and 100 people over 15 years, with salaries ranging between $50,000 and $100,000.
Weekly Market Summary
NDX has opened a noteworthy crack in US equities. NDX has fallen 4.5% in the past week. In the past 7 years, falls of more than 4% in NDX have preceded falls in SPY of at least 3%. That doesn't sound like much, but it would be the largest drop so far in 2017. A key watch out now is whether NDX weakens further and breaks both its 50-d as well as its mid-May low; if so, then SPY is likely to follow with its first 5% correction since the US election.