The Forecasting Advisor

Commentary

Is a New U.S. Bear Market Hanging Over Our Head?
by Robert Lamy of The Forecasting Advisor, 6/9/16
The current U.S. bull stock market is now seven years old and began its eight year last April. The S&P 500 stock price index has risen by 173% (based on monthly average data) from the last bear market through of March 2009. This gain implies that the current bull market recorded a larger increase and rose for a longer period than most of the previous bull markets over the past fifty years.
Commentary

Strong U.S. Real GDP Growth in the Second Quarter of 2016
by Robert Lamy of The Forecasting Advisor, 6/6/16
Each month, the U.S. Institute for Supply Management (ISM) conducts a survey on the state of the manufacturing and non-manufacturing industries of the U.S. economy and releases data for the previous month. The data are closely followed by the financial media, economists, and wealth portfolio managers as they provide the earliest reading on the state of the economy.
Commentary

U.S. Real GDP Growth Will Rebound in the Second Quarter of 2016
by Robert Lamy of The Forecasting Advisor, 5/5/16
Each month, the U.S. Institute for Supply Management (ISM) conducts a survey on the state of the manufacturing and non-manufacturing industries of the U.S. economy and releases data for the previous month. The data are closely followed by the financial media, economists, and wealth portfolio managers as they provide the earliest reading on the state of the economy.
Commentary

U.S. Real GDP Growth Was Very Weak in the First Quarter of 2016
by Robert Lamy of The Forecasting Advisor, 4/6/16
Each month, the U.S. Institute for Supply Management (ISM) conducts a survey on the state of the manufacturing and non-manufacturing industries of the U.S. economy and releases data for the previous month. The data are closely followed by the financial media, economists, and wealth portfolio managers as they provide the earliest reading on the state of the economy.
Commentary

U.S. Real GDP is Projected to Post a Slight Decline in the First Quarter of 2016
by Robert Lamy of The Forecasting Advisor, 3/3/16
Each month, the U.S. Institute for Supply Management (ISM) conducts a survey on the state of the manufacturing and non-manufacturing industries of the U.S. economy and releases data for the previous month. The data are closely followed by the financial media, economists, and wealth portfolio managers as they provide the earliest reading on the state of the economy.
Commentary

January Data Point to a Modest Decline in U.S. Real GDP in the First Quarter of 2016
by Robert Lamy of The Forecasting Advisor, 2/4/16
Each month, the U.S. Institute for Supply Management (ISM) conducts a survey on the state of the manufacturing and non-manufacturing industries of the U.S. economy and releases data for the previous month. The data are closely followed by the financial media, economists, and wealth portfolio managers as they provide the earliest reading on the state of the economy.
Commentary

The U.S. Economy Has Slowed in the Fourth Quarter of 2015
by Robert Lamy of The Forecasting Advisor, 1/6/16
Each month, the U.S. Institute for Supply Management (ISM) conducts a survey on the state of the manufacturing and non-manufacturing industries of the U.S. economy and releases data for the previous month. The data are closely followed by the financial media, economists, and wealth portfolio managers as they provide the earliest reading on the state of the economy.
Commentary

The U.S. Economy will Grow Moderately in 2015 Q4
by Robert Lamy of The Forecasting Advisor, 12/4/15
Each month, the U.S. Institute for Supply Management (ISM) conducts a survey on the state of the manufacturing and non-manufacturing industries of the U.S. economy and releases data for the previous month. The data are closely followed by the financial media, economists, and wealth portfolio managers as they provide the earliest reading on the state of the economy.
Commentary

U.S. Economic Growth Slowed Sharply in 2015 Q3
by Robert Lamy of The Forecasting Advisor, 10/5/15
At the start of each month, the U.S. Institute for Supply Management (ISM) releases data on the state of the manufacturing and non-manufacturing industries of the U.S. economy for the previous month. The data are closely followed by economists, portfolio wealth managers, and the financial media as they provide the earliest reading on the current state of the economy.
Commentary

A Sharp Slowing in U.S. Economic Growth is Projected For 2015 Q3
by Robert Lamy of The Forecasting Advisor, 9/3/15
At the start of each month, the U.S. Institute for Supply Management (ISM) releases data on the state of the manufacturing and non-manufacturing industries of the U.S. economy. The data are closely followed by economists, stock market brokers and the media as they provide the earliest reading on the current state of the economy.
Commentary

ISM Data for July Point to Stronger U.S. Economic Growth in 2015 Q3
by Robert Lamy of The Forecasting Advisor, 8/6/15
At the start of each month, the U.S. Institute for Supply Management (ISM) releases data on the state of the manufacturing and non-manufacturing industries of the U.S. economy. The data are closely followed by economists, stock market brokers and the media as they provide the earliest reading on the current state of the economy. The ISM provides data on the current performance of a number of indicators related to the manufacturing and non-manufacturing industries such as production, employment, new orders and backlog of orders, deliveries, inventories, new exports, imports and prices.
Commentary

ISM Data for April Point to a Strong Rebound in U.S. Economic Growth In 2015 Q2
by Robert Lamy of The Forecasting Advisor, 5/5/15
At the start of each month, the U.S. Institute for Supply Management (ISM) releases data on the state of the manufacturing and non-manufacturing industries of the U.S. economy. The data are closely followed by economists, stock market brokers and the media as they provide the earliest reading on the current state of the economy. The ISM provides data on the current performance of a number of indicators related to the manufacturing and non-manufacturing industries such as production, employment, new orders and backlog of orders, deliveries, inventories, new exports, imports and prices.
Commentary

ISM Data for the First Quarter Point to Sluggish U.S. Economic Growth in Q1
by Robert Lamy of The Forecasting Advisor, 4/6/15
The value of the coincident economic index for the first quarter is used to get a forecast of the rate of growth in U.S real GDP for the first quarter of 2015. The official advance estimate of real GDP growth for the first quarter of the 2015 will be released by the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) on April 29th.
Commentary

Is a New U.S. Bear Market Hanging Over Our Head?
by Robert Lamy of The Forecasting Advisor, 3/12/15
The current bull stock market is now six years old and it will start its seventh year on March 9th. As of March 6th, the S&P 500 stock price index has risen by 206% from the last bear market through of March 9th, 2009. This gain implies that the current bull market recorded a larger increase and rose for a longer period than most of the previous bull markets over the past fifty years.
Commentary

ISM Data for January and February Point to Modest U.S. Real GDP Growth in 2015 Q1
by Robert Lamy of The Forecasting Advisor, 3/9/15
At the start of each month, the U.S. Institute for Supply Management (ISM) released data on the state of the manufacturing and non-manufacturing industries of the U.S. economy. The data are closely followed by economists, stock market brokers, and the media as they provide the earliest reading on the current state of the economy.
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