Commentary

Despite Economic Uncertainties and Wild Market Swings, U.S. Economic Fundamentals Refuse to Buckle

The U.S. economy remains resilient despite headline volatility tied to shifting trade and tariff policies. Meanwhile, we continue to see a lot of volatility in the economic data as the world adjusts to these changing policies.

Commentary

Economic Crosscurrents in 2025: Inflation, Interest Rates, and Investment Strategy

As 2025 progresses, investors and policymakers are navigating a highly complex economic landscape shaped by three powerful and interrelated forces: evolving trade policy, a cautious U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed), and growing concerns over U.S. fiscal discipline.

Commentary

Credit Markets React to Tariffs

Similar to the equity market’s response to the recently announced tariffs, the bond market responded with a widening of credit spreads. These spreads represent the difference in yield between a U.S. Treasury bond and other bonds of the same maturity but different credit quality.

Commentary

Navigating the World of Tariffs: More Uncertainty, Slower Growth, & Investment Opportunities

Recent revisions to the IMF’s World Economic Outlook reflect a sobering message: the world economy is entering a more volatile and fragmented era.

Commentary

The May 25 Dashboard: Our Three Layers of Risk Management

Our Cash Indicator methodology acts as a plan in case of an emergency. Importantly, each of these systems work together.

Commentary

Risk Management Amid Economic Uncertainty

The current market unrest over the potential for tariff increases and their impact is unpredictable. The volatility can be unnerving.

Commentary

New Headlines Overlook U.S. Economic Strength

The equity market tends to see a correction every 18 months. If it's not a recession-induced bear market, it may be a buying opportunity.

Commentary

The U.S. Housing Market: Risks, Realities, and the Road Ahead

The U.S. housing market has been a critical factor in the broader economic landscape, and its trends have profound implications.

Commentary

The March 2025 Dashboard: Our Three Layers of Risk Management

We manage risk tactically over the short-term by investing across a broad array of themes and asset classes including cash.

Commentary

The Economics of Oil Production

The decision to drill for oil is not primarily driven by government mandates or regulatory pressure, but rather by market forces.

Commentary

Do Not Let the Headlines Distract: The Private Sector Drives the U.S. Economy & Markets

Investors should not be overly distracted by the recent spate of political headlines and social media updates.

Commentary

Expect Innovation Led American Exceptionalism to Continue

Nothing is more fundamental to the current health of the economy than jobs creation and income growth.

Commentary

The January 25 Dashboard: Our 3 Layers of Risk Management

Our Cash Indicator methodology acts as a plan in case of an emergency. Investors should expect more equity market volatility ahead.

Commentary

The Beat Goes On

The U.S. economy is experiencing a remarkable period of economic stabilization and growth

Commentary

Watching China’s Economic Miracle (and Relevance) Fade Before Our Eyes

China’s economic ascent over the past four decades has been a remarkable story of growth, driven by several factors.