Advisor Perspectives, a leading publisher serving financial advisors and the financial advisory community, has announced its Venerated Voices™ awards for commentaries published in 2017. Rankings were issued in three categories: The Top 25 Venerated Voices™ by Firm, The Top 25 Venerated Voices™ by Author and The Top 10 Venerated Voices™ by Commentary.
Leading the Top 25 Venerated Voices™ by Firm category were ETF Momentum Investing of Indianapolis, followed by Guggenheim Partners of Chicago in second. In third place was Transfer Solutions.
Among individual commentators, the most-widely read were Matt Kadnar and James Montier of GMO in first place, Scott Minerd, Brian Smedley and Matt Bush of Guggenheim Partners in second place, followed by Stephen Powaga of ETF Momentum Investing in third place.
The most-widely read commentary of Q3 was The S&P 500: Just Say No by Matt Kadnar and James Montier of GMO. Published August 15th, Kadnar and Montier warn of indexing all of one’s equity exposure primarily to the S&P 500 and detail the four components of S&P valuation: dividends, earnings, margins, and P/E ratios. Over the long term, the best returns have been achieved through dividends. GMO’s current seven-year forecast point to poor S&P returns. Their advice: just say no to an indexed exposure to the S&P 500.
John Hussman of Hussman Funds took second place with The Economic Risk of Ignoring Arithmetic. Hussman’s piece was published January 9th and mentioned investor risks going into 2017, namely a probable 50-60% market retreat over the remainder of the current cycle. He discussed the arithmetic that makes up GDP growth – employment growth plus productivity growth. Hussman predicted that GDP growth will be low in the coming years given current and future labor and employment conditions. He also warned against pursuing retaliatory or corrective trade policies that would lead to a reduction in gross domestic investment and thus foreign savings. He also reminded readers of the parallels to the 1929 and 2000 market peaks.
Coming in third was Three Black Swans, published July 22nd by John Mauldin. He began by warning of the next recession, which he believes will happen by the end of 2018, and described the current state of the economy. Mauldin offered three possible “black swans” in the near future: too much Fed tightening too soon, the ECBs continuing QE and a Chinese debt meltdown. He warned that any of the three “black swans” could trigger another recession that will not end well.
Advisor Perspectives’ website currently attracts over 130,000 unique visitors per month, virtually all of them financial advisors serving high- and ultra-high net worth individuals. The company publishes economic and market commentaries submitted by fund companies, advisors and independent research firms. In 2017, over 2,200 such commentaries were published and made available through a daily newsletter, Research Perspectives, which the company emails to its subscribers.
Venerated Voices™ rankings were determined by the number of unique readers of each commentary, using data provided electronically by the third-party web analytics service Google Analytics. The data was normalized to reflect the fact that usage of Advisor Perspectives’ website grew steadily over the course of the quarter. For the annual awards for the firm and author, a minimum of three commentaries must have been submitted during the year. Any participant is eligible to receive a quarterly award. Each firm and author was assigned a relative score based on unique pageviews, with a score of 100 equal to average quarterly readership.
Advisor Perspectives was founded in 2007 and is based in Lexington, Massachusetts. In addition to Research Perspectives, it publishes a widely read weekly newsletter, Advisor Perspectives, which contains original articles on the markets, the economy and practice management.
Advisor Perspectives will continue providing quarterly updates to its rankings, as well as issuing annual Venerated Voices™ awards.
The Top 10 Venerated Voices™ by Commentary
The Top 25 Venerated Voices™ by Firm
Rank
|
Firm
|
Score
|
1
|
ETF Momentum Investing
|
1069
|
2
|
Guggenheim Partners
|
467
|
3
|
Transfer Solutions
|
467
|
4
|
Richard Bernstein Advisors
|
448
|
5
|
GMO
|
417
|
6
|
Hussman Funds
|
386
|
7
|
Mauldin Economics
|
381
|
8
|
Hoisington Investment Management
|
365
|
9
|
Janus Henderson Investors
|
365
|
10
|
Real Investment Advice
|
335
|
11
|
Oaktree Capital Management
|
294
|
12
|
Crestmont Research
|
261
|
13
|
Leuthold Weeden Capital Management
|
246
|
14
|
Charles Schwab
|
243
|
15
|
Blackstone
|
242
|
16
|
Saturna Capital
|
230
|
17
|
Absolute Return Partners
|
214
|
18
|
Anderson Griggs
|
193
|
19
|
Baird
|
176
|
20
|
Evensky & Katz / Foldes Financial Wealth Management
|
159
|
21
|
Janus Capital Group
|
156
|
22
|
Merk Investments
|
145
|
23
|
Financial Management Strategies
|
144
|
24
|
St. Joseph's Partners
|
141
|
25
|
F.A.S.T. Graphs
|
138
|
The Top 25 Venerated Voices™ by Author
Rank
|
Author
|
Firm
|
Score
|
1
|
Matt Kadnar, James Montier
|
GMO
|
1939
|
2
|
Scott Minerd, Brian Smedley, Matt Bush
|
Guggenheim Partners
|
1157
|
3
|
Stephen Powaga
|
ETF Momentum Investing
|
1069
|
4
|
Jun Zhu
|
Leuthold Weeden Capital Management
|
898
|
5
|
Ben Inker, Jeremy Grantham
|
GMO
|
842
|
6
|
James Montier, Philip Pilkington
|
GMO
|
756
|
7
|
Lucas White, Jeremy Grantham
|
GMO
|
745
|
8
|
Anna Chetoukhina, Rick Friedman
|
GMO
|
613
|
9
|
Wim Grommen
|
Transfer Solutions
|
467
|
10
|
Richard Bernstein
|
Richard Bernstein Advisors
|
448
|
11
|
James Chanos
|
AllianceBernstein
|
431
|
12
|
James Montier
|
GMO
|
411
|
13
|
Stacy Schaus, Ying Gao
|
PIMCO
|
410
|
14
|
Mary Ellen Stanek
|
Baird
|
386
|
15
|
John Hussman
|
Hussman Funds
|
386
|
16
|
Richard Clarida, Andrew Balls and Daniel Ivascyn
|
PIMCO
|
385
|
17
|
John Mauldin
|
Mauldin Economics
|
383
|
18
|
Jeremy Grantham
|
GMO
|
379
|
19
|
Lacy Hunt, Van Hoisington
|
Hoisington Investment Management
|
365
|
20
|
Lance Roberts
|
Real Investment Advice
|
335
|
21
|
Drew Carrington, Michael Doshier
|
Franklin Templeton Investments
|
332
|
22
|
Robert Arnott, Omid Shakernia, Christopher Brightman
|
PIMCO
|
314
|
23
|
Patrick Watson
|
Mauldin Economics
|
300
|
24
|
Howard Marks
|
Oaktree Capital Management
|
294
|
25
|
Bryce Fegley
|
Saturna Capital
|
271
|
Read more articles by Jill Mislinski