Predictably Irrational
Commentary
Murder's Morality
by Dan Ariely of Predictably Irrational,
There are plenty of things that might upset Johnny “The Basin Street Butcher” Martorano. Perhaps having murdered 20 people in the course of his career as a mob hitman doesn’t sit so well decades later. Well, no, this is not it, Martorano recently recounted his murders as part of Whitey Bulger’s trial with a perfectly flat affect, much to the displeasure of his victims’ families. It seems guilt doesn’t keep him up at night.
Commentary
Looming Integrity Crisis
by Dan Ariely of Predictably Irrational,
Apparently, Britons are becoming less honest. At least according to a study conducted at the University of Essex, where several thousand respondents filled out an online survey that repeated questions from a study on citizenship and behavior conducted ten years earlier. According to researcher Paul Whiteley, the purpose of the study was to try to gain an idea of the level of dishonesty in British society, and moreover, whats considered acceptable and whether that has altered over time.
Commentary
Green Consumption: Its Not All Positive
by Dan Ariely of Predictably Irrational,
There was a time when farmers markets, eco products, recycling, and renewable energy were squarely in the tree huggers domain. Then, somewhere along the line, green went mainstream, turning environmental awareness into a socially desirable trait and a mark of morality.
Commentary
Disclosure? Not Good Enough.
by Dan Ariely of Predictably Irrational,
Several studies have shown that when professionals disclose their conflicts of interest, this only makes the problem worse. This is because two things happen after disclosure: first, those hearing the disclosure dont entirely know what to make of it were not good at weighing the various factors that influence complex situations and second, the discloser feels morally liberated and free to act even more in his self-interest.
Commentary
Religion and Research
by Dan Ariely of Predictably Irrational,
You may recall that we carried out a study on cheating that assessed the value of moral reminders. We asked participants to complete a test, told them theyd receive cash for every correct answer, and made sure they knew they had ample room to cheat. Prior to starting, we had half the participants list ten books off their high-school reading list, and the other half to recall the Ten Commandments, a manipulation that turned out to have a marked effect on the results.
Commentary
Social Power and Morality
by Dan Ariely of Predictably Irrational,
Dan Ariely quotes the graduation speech of Michael Lewis at Princeton in 2012 that discusses an experiment exploring the relationship between power and morality. There is a great deal of research concerning the link between social power and morality, and most of it suggests that absolute power is not required to change peoples morals; sadly it tends to show that more power leads to less care for others, and less moral behavior.
Commentary
A Year in the Life of a City Bike.
by Dan Ariely of Predictably Irrational,
At one point the people who run Hudson Urban Bikes, a bike rental company in the West Village, wondered what would happen to a bike if it was left chained to a post in the city for one year, and they took a picture of it each day to document its progress. The bicycle began its experimental journey equipped with all necessary equipment plus a basket, water bottle, splashguard and a few other goodies.
Commentary
Women, Men, and Math Problems.
by Dan Ariely of Predictably Irrational,
In the experiments my colleagues and I have run on cheating, weve used a task in which pride about personal performance and ability has no part. Recent graduate Heidi Nicklaus of Rutgers University was interested in the opposite; she wondered how peoples pride about their perceived and imputed abilities would affect their dishonesty. Specifically, she was interested in gender stereotypes. So the question was, if men are more proud of their mathematic ability and women of verbal, it might cause them to cheat more.
Commentary
Why We Lie
by Dan Ariely of Predictably Irrational,
We like to believe that a few bad apples spoil the virtuous bunch. But research shows that everyone cheats a littleright up to the point where they lose their sense of integrity. Not too long ago, one of my students, Peter, locked himself out of his house. After a spell, the locksmith pulled up in his truck and picked the lock in about a minute. The purpose of locks, the locksmith said, is to protect you from the 98% of mostly honest people who might be tempted to try your door if it had no lock.
Commentary
The Facebook IPO: A Note to Mark Zuckerberg; or, With Friends Like Morgan Stanley, Who Needs Enemi
by Dan Ariely of Predictably Irrational,
I just received this letter from a friend in the banking industry. Dear Mark, Theres been a lot of ballyhoo recently about your IPO and your choice of investment bankers. Indeed, a war was fought by the banks to win your deal of the decade. As reported in the press, the competition was so intense banks slashed their fees in order to win your business. Facebook is only paying a 1% commission for its IPO rather than the 3% typically charged by the banks. Congratulations, Mr. Zuckerberg! On the surface it appears your pals in investment banking have given you a quite a deal!Or have they?
Commentary
Turning the Tables: FDR, Tom Sawyer, and me
by Dan Ariely of Predictably Irrational,
Before television and the internet, political candidates had two primary means of getting their image out into the public: live appearances and campaign posters. And given the limited reach of the former, posters were a crucial element in political strategy. So when Franklin D. Roosevelt ran for governor of New York in 1928, his campaign manager had thousands of posters printed with Roosevelt looking at the viewer with serene confidence. There was just one problem. The campaign manager realized they didnt have the rights to the photo from the small studio where it had been taken.
Commentary
New Cure All!
by Dan Ariely of Predictably Irrational,
Im excited to announce an innovative new therapy that will be released in tandem with my new book The Honest Truth About Dishonesty. I developed it with a team of medical doctors and behavioral economists to treat a broad spectrum of disorders. Cureall (Fixeverything) works to combat the tendency toward self-deception and dishonesty, which, like bacteria in the human body, affect everyone (some more than others).
Commentary
Finance, Meet Pharma
by Dan Ariely of Predictably Irrational,
I think we need an FDA-like entity and process for financial products, because if we dont have a counterfactual, we cant compare and measure the value of their products. We could call it the FPA, for Financial Product Administration. One example of a financial tool that the FPA could test is high frequency trading. Companies are going all out to profit by being the fastest to buy and sell stocks, owning them for fractions of a second; they even go so far as to buy buildings closer to the stock market to make trading faster.
Commentary
Celebrating April 15th (17th)
by Dan Ariely of Predictably Irrational,
Our attention is directed toward ending the irritating procedure. So how can we fix this problem? The first step is to simplify and clarify the tax code to make the process less confusing. The process of figuring and filling out tax forms is so exasperating its hard not to direct that feeling toward someone or somethingand generally speaking, that something is the agency that seems responsible for your suffering, which in this case is the IRS. After all, its difficult to maintain a cheerfully civic-minded outlook, or even an even-keeled neutral outlook, in the face of such frustration.
Commentary
Taxes and Cheating
by Dan Ariely of Predictably Irrational,
Will Rogers once said that The income tax has made liars out of more Americans than golf and I worry that he was correct. During his confirmation hearing to become the Treasury Secretary, it was revealed that Tim Geithner failed to pay Medicare, Social Security, and payroll taxes for several years while he worked for the IMF. When asked by Senator John Kyl during the hearing about the $40,000 mistake, which Geithner blamed on the tax software he was using it was very clear that this was an avoidable mistakeI had many opportunities to see it. But he didnt, apparently, and that was that.