Forecasting the Market: A Thought Experiment Revisited
With Q3-14 reported earnings just beginning, here is the latest update of my ongoing "thought experiment" for forecasting the S&P 500 price based on earnings fundamentals. The chart below is based on the latest trailing twelve-month earnings (TTM) data published on the Standard & Poor's website as of October 9th, 2014. The numbers are from the spreadsheet maintained by senior analyst Howard Silverblatt. See dshort's monthly valuation update for instructions on downloading the spreadsheet.