Long Bonds vs. Derivative Income: The Income Dilemma

Long Bonds vs. Derivative Income: The Income Dilemma

When pursuing income in today’s market, are investors better off allocating to long-dated bond funds or derivative-income ETFs?

That question was center stage at a Future Proof panel, posed by my friend, ETF industry veteran Dave Nadig, in a debate that’s become familiar to advisors navigating client income needs.

We know from recent history why this question feels so timely. Fixed income remains a foundational portfolio building block, offering low-correlated or uncorrelated diversification and downside risk mitigation. However, holding long-dated bonds in recent years has been notoriously painful.

You may remember that Treasuries reached historic highs as recently as mid-2020, as panic drove investors toward safe-haven assets and the Federal Reserve cut rates to near 0%. During that period, long-bond yields hit record lows while bond prices surged. Today, those same long-dated Treasuries remain roughly 40% below their 2020 total-return peak, due to persistent economic resilience, massive federal budget deficits, and heavy Treasury auction supply keeping interest rates elevated.

Yet while yields underwhelmed and total returns stumbled, investor appetite for income only grew. Derivative income ETFs proliferated as a high-yielding alternative.

To be fair, bonds vs. derivative income isn’t an apples to apples comparison. But there are nuances that are important to consider if you are stacking up one choice vs the others.

First, consider the nature of bonds.