European ETFs: Back in the Game

European ETFs: Back in the Game

European equities have long been written off as the ultimate value trap — a sleepy, slow-growth market living in the shadow of Wall Street’s tech-fueled mega-rally. But a massive shift in market dynamics is unfolding across the Atlantic. Backed by accelerating corporate earnings and a favorable macroeconomic backdrop, European benchmarks are no longer sitting on the sidelines; they are actively keeping pace with — and in many cases outrunning — major U.S. indices.

Key Takeaways

  • Large core funds like VGK are keeping pace with global rallies, backed by a $32 billion asset base.
  • Core offerings IEUR and BBEU pull in billions in fresh capital as advisors strategically rebalance into international developed markets.
  • Smart-beta strategies like OPPE (up 19% YTD) demonstrate that moving beyond standard market-cap weighting can yield substantial excess returns.

Behind the Global Rotation

The core driver comes down to stark valuation disparities and expanding fundamentals:

  • Outperformance: The Euro STOXX 600 has outshone the S&P 500 since 2025 despite facing tariff concerns and energy supply friction. In fact, European banks have outpaced the “Magnificent Seven” since 2022. First-half earnings growth for the STOXX 600 is tracking at 14% year-over-year — its strongest pace in three years — and higher energy prices have actually bolstered earnings due to heavy sector weightings in energy and utilities, while pass-through pricing and elevated interest rates continue to support bank profitability.
  • Compelling Valuation: U.S. equities trade at stretched forward P/E multiples near 29 times, whereas European benchmarks trade at attractive mid-teens P/E ratios. Long-term metrics like the Shiller CAPE project significantly higher 10-year annualized returns for MSCI Europe relative to the U.S. Crucially, Europe’s return on equity (ROE) has improved meaningfully as corporate margins expand and buybacks accelerate.
  • Record Inflows: Driven by foreign buying, aggressive share buybacks, and record M&A activity, European equities are attracting their strongest capital inflows in a decade (excluding 2021), with foreign inflows reaching five-year highs. According to EPFR data (shown below), cumulative flows are back to their strongest levels since almost 2021.