Private Credit Boom

Private lenders are increasingly meeting borrowers' needs.

Financial flows have shifted this year. In the credit arena, bank lending has been moribund throughout the year, as standards tightened and interest rates rose. But borrowers still need capital, and private lenders are increasingly meeting their needs.

Private debt assets under management nearly doubled during the course of the pandemic. From a starting point of $831 million in December 2019, assets surged to nearly $1.5 trillion at the end of 2022. This is more than half the size of bank commercial and industrial lending. 2023 has almost certainly seen further growth of private lending.

The asset class is not new; private lenders have typically served smaller, more complex or less profitable borrowers who may have struggled to qualify for conventional financing. More recently, the category has grown as more borrowers seek the flexible underwriting and repayment plans that private lenders can offer.

Unlike an actively traded bond, private debt is not marked to market, avoiding the stress of volatile valuations and unrealized losses. If a loan underperforms, the parties can negotiate to extend the loan, restructure the debt or arrange a workout plan, with a greater range of options than the borrower could expect from a publicly-traded vehicle. The lender and borrower are in a closer relationship than an arm’s-length market transaction, creating more openness to alternative arrangements. Indeed, some of this market’s growth has been fueled by refinancing bank loans.

That optionality comes at a cost: private loans are reputed to be more costly than public debt, though the specifics are kept confidential. The private market is opaque and lightly regulated. Private credit funds do not need to disclose their investors, their borrowers, nor any terms of their funding or deals. These arrangements make it difficult to compare the performance and returns of private debt against other markets. And importantly, we cannot know the extent of investments in the sector to gauge whether any losses could be the beginnings of a systemic shock.