Asian Regional Banks Sheltered from Global Maelstrom

While Asian financial companies have by no means been safe from the recent banking turmoil scything through other developed economies, regional banks have had a far less punishing month in terms of sales and earnings estimates than their peers in other markets. The financials sector is one of the least negatively-revised in developed Asia, making it a standout in the region with net positive guidance changes over the past month.

Regional banks, led by Japanese companies, are now forecasted to maintain a stable level of sales this year, with larger banks and more widely-exposed financial companies taking a far greater hit to sales from broader banking uncertainty. As detailed below, Asia’s regionals appear to be standing a bit above the chaos and expected to be able to protect their sales for the next two years.

Change in FY1 and FY2 Sales Estimates (%) – DM Asia, current fiscal year:

Earnings per share, as seen in the table below, is a slightly different story. Though still subject to a drop in estimated earnings, regional banks in the region still stand well above other financial companies for projected earnings. Their US peers fall at the bottom of this list.