“A Season of Pain”

Membership is now required to use this feature. To learn more:

Key Takeaways:

The Fed’s aggressive posture will likely lead the stock market to further declines.
The neutral rate will come down as the economy cools down, meaning the Fed will overshoot.
To bring down inflation, the Fed will likely induce a recession.
The next recession could come as soon as the second half of next year.