Investing Is Hard Enough: Here Is How to Avoid Making Obvious Mistakes
The Key to Avoiding Obvious Mistakes
Understanding how to value a business is the key to avoiding making obvious mistakes when purchasing or selling common stocks. When you know what your investment is worth, the market cannot take advantage of your gullibility. When you don’t know what your investment is worth, markets can easily influence you with fear or greed. When emotions rule, logic goes out the window. This series of articles has been focused on helping the reader understand what fair value is, how it’s calculated and how it can be used to be a smarter and more successful long-term investor.
A second key is to recognize that these principles apply to long-term investing. As Ben Graham so aptly put it “in the short run the market is a voting machine, but in the long run it is a weighing machine.” The critical aspect of Ben’s profound statement is to accept the reality that the market can and will miss price stocks over short periods of time. On the other hand, it is also a reality that the markets will improperly value stocks over several years. This often is what gets investors in trouble.
However, true prudent value investors recognize that inevitably a company’s stock price will move into alignment with its true worth valuation. It is not a matter of if, but only of when it might occur. Smart investors recognize anomalous values and are prepared to take appropriate action as they occur. This could mean being aware, and therefore, being prepared to take action, or it can also simply mean taking immediate action. Nevertheless, it’s the awareness that is the key to long-term success.
Principles of Valuation Part 4:
In this, my final installment of my series of articles on when and why to buy a stock, I will focus on how to use the principles of valuation to avoid obvious mistakes. As mentioned in previous articles, investing is never a game of perfect. The best that an investor can hope for is to make sound long-term decisions, with most of them working out to their benefit in the end.