S&P 500 Snapshot: Down Again

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The S&P 500 declined four out of five days this week, ending Friday higher than all but Monday's close. The index is down 19.7% YTD and is 20.25% below its record close - that makes four consecutive "bear" days and twelve of the last 19.

The U.S. Treasury puts the closing yield on the 10-year note as of July 1 at 2.98% which is above its record low (0.52% on 8/4/2020). The 2-year note is at 2.92%. See our latest Treasury Snapshot here.

Here's a snapshot of the index going back to 2012.

A Perspective on Drawdowns

Here's a snapshot of record highs and selloffs since the 2009 trough. Note the recent selloffs in 2022.

Here's a table with the number of days of a 1% or more change in either direction and the number of days of corrections (down 10% or more from the record high) going back to 2013.

Here is a more conventional log-scale chart with drawdowns highlighted.

Here is a linear scale version of the same chart with the 50- and 200-day moving averages.

A Perspective on Volatility

For a sense of the correlation between the closing price and intraday volatility, the chart below overlays the S&P 500 since 2007 with the intraday price range. We've also included a 20-day moving average to help identify trends in volatility.