Investors Turn to Actively Managed Bond ETFs in March

Tariff mayhem continues to cause volatility in markets as investors attempt to make sense of continuous changes. In a tumultuous environment, investors increasingly turned to actively managed bond ETFs this year according to JPMAM research.

The onset of blanket and country-specific tariffs the week of April 7th, followed by a roll-back of tariffs targeted at specific countries 12 hours later sent equities plummeting and then soaring briefly. Increases to China tariffs the same day (at a rate of 145%) were followed over the weekend with announcements of tariff exemptions for smartphones, computers, chips, and other electronics. However, lack of clarity on the exemptions, and threats of either impending or a resumption of tariffs on these categories only add to uncertainty.

Confusion remains pronounced around U.S. economic and trade policy, but the perception of U.S. instability appears to be growing. While equities went for a rollercoaster ride last week, bonds largely sold off at a time when the safe haven asset would traditionally prove most appealing. This in turn sent yields skyrocketing, as bond prices and yields move inverse. Yahoo Finance reported the 10-year Treasury logged its largest surge in yields (on a weekly basis) the week of April 11 since November 2001.

A number of potential factors may have gone into selling. These include investors moving from bonds to cash, international investors fleeing U.S. markets, and even the unwinding of the basis trade. The basis trade is a leveraged strategy used by hedge funds to make money on price differences between a Treasury futures contract and a Treasuries security as the future nears expiry.

Navigating Challenging Markets With Active Strategies

At the same time that tariffs went into effect and bonds prices plummeted, the ICE U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) dropped, and continues to fall. DXY is down over 8% as of April 11, 2025 according to Y-charts data. Dollar devaluation carries much larger potential implications for U.S. debt and as the global reserve currency. Much remains unknown for now, but advisors and investors should keep a close eye to these trends.