China Stocks on Cusp of Bull Market as Year of the Tiger Ends

China’s equity benchmark is closing in on a bull market as foreign investors rush to buy local shares on bets that the nation’s economic reopening and supportive policies will accelerate the market’s rebound.

The CSI 300 Index rose 0.5% as of the midday break in Shanghai on Friday, the last trading session before weeklong Lunar New Year holidays. The gauge has surged 19% from an Oct. 31 low, led by consumer stocks and financials, as investors anticipate an outburst of retail spending and improved business environment following President Xi Jinping’s moves to exit Covid Zero and focus on growth.

Everyone from Wall Street strategists to global money managers and even some sovereign wealth funds are increasingly turning bullish as economists upgrade their forecasts for China’s expansion this year. A return of overseas buyers is supercharging mainland shares after they lagged their Hong Kong-listed peers in the reopening rally that began in November.

“Foreign investors are really materially underweight China equities, and this is material, because we don’t have to worry about investors selling the rally,” George Efstathopoulos, a portfolio manager at Fidelity International, said in an interview. “We think earnings bottomed out last quarter.”

Global funds were net buyers of shares listed in Shanghai and Shenzhen for a 13th straight day on Friday, the longest purchasing streak since May 2020. They have raised their holdings by 110 billion yuan ($16.2 billion) in January, on pace for a monthly record, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.