The Northern Trust Economics team shares its outlook for U.S. growth, employment, interest rates and inflation.
Measuring, anticipating and controlling the cost of healthcare are all difficult.
Higher yields on cash have allowed some de-risking.
A hard landing in China would rattle Asian economies.
Restricting the money supply will help contain inflation.
Credit balances are not the only consumer indicator running high.
The Fed's asset portfolio is on an uncharted course.
The Northern Trust Economics team shares its outlook for major markets in the months ahead.
Volatile rates are adding to the cost of residential debt.
Disrupted global trade is weighing on Germany's performance.
Holding expectations low will help the battle against high prices.
Workers are finding a fresh enthusiasm for organizing.
Supply chains are realigning, to China's dismay.
Better productivity is easing employers' burden of higher wages.
Return to office mandates are growing, but workers are hesitant to give up flexibility.
Young workers are struggling to find jobs, despite labor shortages.
Geopolitics is driving new interest in industrial policy.
Public and private projects are fueling a new building boom.
The common currency has not led to common outcomes.
The nation's complex and contentious fiscal processes are deemed a credit risk.
The outlook for the British economy is sub-par.
How will we tell if the mythical soft landing is happening?
A change in Turkey's economic policies was long overdue.
A favorable inflation report is just one step in a long journey.
China's re-opening surge did not last.
El Niño will test the resilience of both infrastructure and food supply chains.
Corporate profits are being challenged by market forces, diminishing pricing power.
Japan may uniquely benefit from a wage-price spiral.
An upturn in residential activity may be the next inflation challenge.
Income-driven repayment will ease the burden of resuming student loan payments.
Low commodity prices are containing inflation in emerging markets.
There is renewed anxiety among central bankers in the face of sticky inflation.
Economies are struggling to shake off effects of COVID.
We review the key themes of the first half of a busy year.
The Northern Trust Economics team shares its outlook for U.S. growth, employment, interest rates, and inflation.
Volatile input prices have been a major inflationary force.
Sunsetting a core benchmark rate is no small feat.
A perennial challenge faced by all big or small, developed or developing economies is achieving sustainable economic growth that boosts standards of living and financial stability. Globalization has been the road that brought economies to that destination.
In many respects, COVID-19 was not a temporary disruption.
Inflation is one way the U.K. is paying for leaving Europe.
A debt ceiling deal is within sight.
Transit has not made a complete recovery from the pandemic.
Hong Kong’s currency and financial stability are not under immediate threat.
Both domestic and external forces may limit China's growth prospects.
The worst may be over for residential investment.
Macroeconomic and geopolitical hurdles are slowing the full recovery of tourism.