Sir Isaac Newton’s magnum opus, Mathematical Principals of Natural Philosophy, established the laws of motion and universal gravitation which underpinned how scientists thought about the physical universe for centuries. Newton did not cover the laws of financial gravitation, which appeared not to apply in 2017 as the stock market soared to another 22% return...
Though the seething pits of humanity at the New York Stock Exchange and Chicago Mercantile Exchange, with their traders all shouting at each other, are largely things of the past, that is still what markets basically are: a bunch of people shouting different things. A market price is the price at which the same amount of people are buying as are selling.
While it might sound obvious, we find it important to remember that knowing about the past only helps you place bets on the future to the extent that the future is like the past.
“We are not enemies, but friends. We must not be enemies. Though passion may have strained it must not break our bonds of affection. The mystic chords of memory, stretching from every battlefield and patriot grave to every living heart and hearthstone all over this broad land will yet swell the chorus of the Union, when again touched, as surely they will be, by the better angels of our nature.” - Abraham Lincoln, 1809-1865 16th President of the United States
It is relatively common knowledge that when interest rates decline stocks ought to rise, and they typically do.