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Results 401–441 of 441 found.
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The Rate at Which Foreigners are Dumping Japanese Stocks is Slowing
by
Team
of
GaveKal Capital
,
4/25/14
Foreigners have been net sellers of Japanese stocks in 2014 but that trend may have seen its climax. Data released today showed that foreigners were actually net buyers of stocks for the week ending April 18th, which marks the second week of net buying out of the last three.
Apple: Can't Buy My Love
by
Team
of
GaveKal Capital
,
4/24/14
Yesterday Apple announced a whopping $90 billion stock buyback, to be completed by the end of 2015. This means they will be buying roughly $45 billion in stock this year and next. By way of comparison, this is $5-7 billion more than earnings that are expected this year or next. So, Apple will be using over 100% of its earnings to finance stock repurchases
New Home Sales Plunge In March
by
Team
of
GaveKal Capital
,
4/23/14
New home sales dropped by 14.5% in March and are now down over 13% year-over-year. All four regions are now negative on a year-over-year basis. Meanwhile, median price rose over 11% to a all-time new high of $290K as months' supply spiked to its highest level since October 2011.
First Stock Market Crash on NYSE Reminds Us What Can Happen At A 25x CAPE
by
Team
of
GaveKal Capital
,
4/22/14
The panic of 1901 was the first crash on the New York Stock Exchange, brought on by a battle for control of the Northern Pacific Railway. June 1901 marked the peak in valuations for 27 years, only to be eclipsed in the months preceding the September 1929 peak in stock prices. Between June 1901 and December 1920, the 10 year real P/E (Shiller CAPE) fell from 25x to 5x.
North American Energy Sector Fuels Stock Indexes Higher
by
Team
of
GaveKal Capital
,
4/21/14
In North American, the energy sector is the best performing sector so far this quarter. Energy stocks, on average, have outperformed the MSCI World index by almost 5% this month.
US Econ Roundup - Initial Claims Improve To 6 1/2 Year Lows and Philly Fed Accelerates
by
Team
of
GaveKal Capital
,
4/17/14
While initial jobless claims were just a bit higher this week than last (304K vs 302K), the widely watched 4-week moving average slid down to 312K which is its lowest level since October 2007. Continuing claims fell to 6-year low as well. Finally, the less looked non-seasonally adjusted initial claims series remains firmly negative on a year-over-year basis. This is important because increases in this series tend to signal higher future levels in the seasonally adjusted series.
Back-to-Back 1% Down Days?
by
Team
of
GaveKal Capital
,
4/7/14
Beginning the year, there had only been five 1% down days over the previous six months. With Friday's decline, the total has edged up to nine 1% down days over the previous six months. If the SP500 were to closes at its current level (1846), this would be the tenth 1% down day in the last six months.
A Fixer-Upper?
by
Team
of
GaveKal Capital
,
4/2/14
As noted yesterday, March was not an exceptionally positive month for European equities.
March Was A Tough Month for MSCI Europe
by
Team
of
GaveKal Capital
,
3/31/14
The only sector in MSCI Europe with positive performance for the month of March is Utilities, while Health Care stocks took quite a beating.
US Economic Round-Up - Pending Home Sales Decline Again
by
Team
of
GaveKal Capital
,
3/27/14
Quite a bit of US data was released this morning. The major releases were GDP 3rd revision, Corporate Profits, Initial Jobless Claims, & Pending Home Sales. Let's take a quick look at each.
Durable Goods Orders: The Disconnect Continues
by
Team
of
GaveKal Capital
,
3/26/14
This morning durable goods orders were released, and while the headline index exhibited a good bounce from January, the rest of the report was more mixed.
US Housing Round-Up
by
Team
of
GaveKal Capital
,
3/25/14
We had three US housing related economic releases today: FHFA House Price Index, S&P Case-Shiller, and new home sales. The two price series both slightly beat consensus while new home sales came in exactly at consensus.
Only One Industry Is Green In March
by
Team
of
GaveKal Capital
,
3/24/14
March has been relatively rough month for equities so far. Of the 24 industries that we track, 23 are negative! The only industry that is currently positive MTD is the Semiconductor & Semiconductor Equipment industry.
World Industrial Production Finished 2013 At An All-Time High
by
Team
of
GaveKal Capital
,
3/21/14
The CPB Netherlands Bureau for Economic Policy Analysis publishes a monthly report called "World Trade Monitor". This report tries to quantify the seemingly unquantifiable; world industrial production and world trade volume and prices. Either later today or early next week the CPB should come out with the first statistics for 2014. Today, however, we are going to take a look at world industrial production for 2013.
Foreign Investors Dump Japanese Stocks by Largest Amount on Record
by
Team
of
GaveKal Capital
,
3/20/14
For the week ending March 14th, foreign investors in Japanese stocks were net sellers by the largest single-week amount since weekly records began in 2001.
Utilities And Health Care: This Year's Odd Couple
by
Team
of
GaveKal Capital
,
3/19/14
Quick name the two best performing sectors YTD in the MSCI World...
Earning Estimates Plunging Around The World
by
GaveKal Capital
,
3/10/14
Earnings estimates (and sales estimates to an extent) have taken a beating over the past three months. On average, EPS growth estimates are down 5.3% for the next fiscal year during this time. Not a single industry group out of the 24 MSCI classifications have seen their earning estimates rise and only four industries have seen their sales growth estimate increase.
ECB Officials' Inflation Forecasts
by
GaveKal Capital
,
3/7/14
The ECB announced that interest rates would be maintained at current levels earlier today, citing staff macroeconomic projections for the euro area, which foresee annual HICP inflation at 1.0% in 2014, 1.3% in 2015, and 1.5% in 2016. Though few economists predicted a rate cut, there were rumors that Europe's central bank might discontinue the sterlization of bond purchases under its Securities Markets Program (SMP)-- an action consistent with the adoption of a more accomodative and active policy.
Pharma and Biotech This Year's Big Winners
by
GaveKal Capital
,
3/6/14
Year-to-date, the pharmaceutical and biotech industry group is leading all other industry groups in the MSCI World index, up 11.21% on average.
Drug Retail On A Roll
by
GaveKal Capital
,
2/28/14
While the MSCI World consumer staples sector is not the source of scorching growth, there are some decent growth opportunities. Let's start by calibrating the drug retail industry within the consumer staples sector.
Meanwhile, Across the Channel...
by
GaveKal Capital
,
2/27/14
As we saw yesterday, Germany's Q4 GDP release was neither surprising nor very exciting. A similar look at today's release of output in the U.K. reveals a more constructive picture.
Another Disappointing US Housing Data Release
by
GaveKal Capital
,
2/24/14
Existing home sales fell by -5.1% month-over-month in January. Existing home sales have now declined five of the past six months are now down on a year-over-year basis (5.13%).
Abenomics is Failing on Multiple Fronts
by
GaveKal Capital
,
2/20/14
With each passing month it is becoming more clear that Abenomics is, at least so far, failing to meet one of its critical goals, which is to stimulate exports and bring the country back to a trade surplus. Indeed, the latest trade statistics revealed the largest single month trade deficit ever.
Are US Housing Prices About To Drop?
by
Team
of
GaveKal Capital
,
2/18/14
This morning the NAHB Housing Market Index showed a large 10-point drop in January. This is, in fact, the largest decline on record for the Housing Market Index.
Dr. Copper: Prognosis Negative
by
Team
of
GaveKal Capital
,
2/3/14
Dr. Copper, aptly named for the metals ability to gauge the strength of the global economy, is not giving the most upbeat prognosis at the moment. In fact, with todays weakness the intermediate term trendline is being tested. A decisive breach of this important trendline would likely lead to a testing of the low made last June and would probably be accompanied by rising concerns of deflation and slow global growth.
US Pending Home Sales Falls Off A Cliff In December
by
Team
of
GaveKal Capital
,
1/30/14
Pending Home Sales Index fell by 8.7% month-over-month compared to expectations of only a -0.5% decline. Pending home sales have now dropped every month since making a four year high in May.
Fundamentals Suggest Yen Could Strengthen in 2014
by
Team
of
GaveKal Capital
,
1/24/14
Weve noted on several occasions over the past few weeks the fact that trader positioning and sentiment towards the yen is pushing the most extreme negative levels in a decade.
TIPS And Inflation Reality
by
Team
of
GaveKal Capital
,
1/17/14
By decomposing a US Treasury bond, we can get a sense of the markets expectations for real rates and inflation expectations. The inflation component is easy to flesh out by just subtracting the TIPS yield, for the same maturity, from the nominal bond interest rate. From there, we can compare the implied breakeven inflation rate embedded in long bonds to actual measures of inflation.
Positive Economic Surprises Are Back
by
Team
of
GaveKal Capital
,
1/15/14
Recently each day, especially in the US, it has felt as if the economic data has been a bit better than expected. The Citi Economic Surprise Index corroborates that feeling as it has now reached its highest level since February 2012.
Spanish Banks Start the New Year on a Positive Note
by
Team
of
GaveKal Capital
,
1/10/14
Government bond yields in Europe have declined rather rapidly in the new year-- and Spain is no exception.
European Sector Overview
by
Team
of
GaveKal Capital
,
1/7/14
Though we primarily use our point-and-figure methodology when assessing attributes of individual stocks, we are also able to look at broader sets of data (such as sectors) to get a quick sense of price performance.
Fiat's Stock Rises 16% Today, After Closing a $4.35B Deal For Chrysler
by
Team
of
GaveKal Capital
,
1/3/14
While none of the European automakers manage to pass our knowledge leaders screen, todays news prompted us to take a closer look at the group.
Who Won and Loss The Holiday Week
by
Team
of
GaveKal Capital
,
12/31/13
Lets take a quick tour of who had the best and worst performance in the light trading week last week. We will start bottom-up and work our way up to the aggregates (and as usual all aggregate data is equal-weighted).
Is 2% Growth The New Normal For Consumption?
by
Team
of
GaveKal Capital
,
12/24/13
From 1960 to November 2007 (the 2007-2009 recession started December 2007 according to NBER), real personal consumption expenditures grew at just about 3.5% trend growth. In this recovery, consumption as only mustered a growth rate just above 2%. Is this another permanent downshift in consumption growth or will consumption ratchet back up? Something we will be keeping an eye on.
Housing Market Index Is Up, Should Help Buoy CPI
by
Team
of
GaveKal Capital
,
12/17/13
The NAHB Housing Market Index increased to 58 to post the highest number since August, which is also the highest level of the recovery. The HMI correlates pretty well with house prices.
Investors Are Happy About Adobe's Subscription Adoption
by
Team
of
GaveKal Capital
,
12/13/13
Adobe is up over 10% today after releasing their financials for the fiscal 4Q after the bell yesterday. Adobe has made a strategic shift from a licensing model to a subscription model.
This Bull Market Is Narrowings As It Advances...Market Breadth Continues Deteriorating
by
Team
of
GaveKal Capital
,
12/11/13
The advance-decline ratio is a market breadth indicator that compares the number of stocks that closed higher with the number of stocks that closed lower than their previous days closing prices. Its a useful tool to understand whether there is broad participation in a market move or if a few very large cap stocks are driving indices one way or another.
Debt Crisis Recovery: Bell Curves and Balance Sheets
by
Team
of
GaveKal Capital
,
12/9/13
The purchasing power parity (PPP) theory basically states that the exchange rate between two countries should adjust so that a basket of goods in Country X costs the same as it does in Country Y when priced in the same currency. It is a useful theory in understanding the relative strength of a currency, especially for a reserve currency such as the USD. It is important to keep in mind that over/under valuation based on PPP can remain in place for years and that this is not at all a timing tool.
To Taper Or Not To Taper? Digging In To Today's Employment Report
by
Team
of
GaveKal Capital
,
12/6/13
Todays employment and personal income and outlays reports may be strong enough for the Fed to begin tapering later this month. November employment came in at 203k jobs and the unemployment report dipped to a 5-year low (7%). The net revisions for September and October were also 8k higher.
US Corporate Profit Margins Increase Again In The 3Q
by
Team
of
GaveKal Capital
,
12/5/13
US corporate profit margins are at their second highest level ever at 10.14%. The highest level was reached in the 4Q11 when profit margins spiked to 10.27%.
US Economic Data Round-Up
by
Team
of
GaveKal Capital
,
12/4/13
ADP payroll data surprised to the upside today (215k vs 185k expected). It was the highest reading so far this year. Perhaps most encouragingly the gain was lead by small businesses.
Results 401–441 of 441 found.
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