So much for the Santa Claus rally. The red sled never even left the garage. Why were the last two weeks of 2016 a dud?
As we head into the final stretch of 2016, the U.S. dollar has taken control of the markets. As the incoming Trump administration continues to promise fiscal spending and tax cuts, the Fed is now positioning to do a bit more tightening—all while the U.S. and global economic datapoints move higher.
Well that was unexpected. I don't think anyone had Hillary Clinton winning Minnesota by ONLY 1.4%, much less the GOP sweeping two branches of the U.S. Government and looking to line up the third branch (i.e., Supreme Court). So now what? What I wrote on Sunday still holds true today: "the markets like nothing more than certainty."