A wealth tax “crosses the line and is unnecessary,” according to Ray Dalio.
The strong economic recovery will not be interrupted by inflation or a credit crunch, according to Ed Yardeni, and the S&P 500 will soon reach 4,500.
We are about to see “non-transitory inflation,” according to Bianco. His words were chosen carefully to oppose Fed Chair Jay Powell’s statement on April 28 that the U.S. would face only “transitory” inflation.
The consensus is that U.S. equities will deliver strong performance as the economy recovers, and that higher inflation will drive rising interest rates. All of that is wrong, according to David Rosenberg.
The Fed is under the misconception that it controls events, according to James Grant. It is overconfident in its belief it can accurately calibrate and attain a 2% inflation target.
On April 20, we hosted our first ever virtual Market Outlook Summit. Here is a recap of each session with a link to watch the replay.
What value should we place on economic analysis from someone with antisemitic views?
Data has shown that investment strategies that address ESG issues constitute a third of professionally managed U.S. assets. That has led some to claim that asset prices have been driven up to the point where investors should expect poor performance going forward. That narrative is false.
Headline CPI inflation is almost certain to rise above 3% in June and July, according to Jeffrey Gundlach. It could even top 4%, he said, which would “really spook the bond market.”
U.S. stocks have the highest CAPE ratio of any global equity market, but they are still the place to invest. But the inventor of that metric, Robert Shiller, says that stocks are indeed risky.
The decade-long onslaught inflicted by growth stocks on value investors is due to end, according to Gerard O’Reilly. But the data is too “noisy” for him to say when that will happen.
This video explores the mindsets of those who support and oppose President Trump. It was recorded on November 24, six weeks before the rioting at the Capitol building.
In his forecast for 2021, Jeffrey Gundlach predicted a “regime change.” Investors should prepare for themes that reverse prior trends: U.S. equities will underperform the rest of the world, inflation will rise, volatility will be higher, and the dollar will weaken.
We’ve posted the 10 most-widely read practice management articles for the past year. Below are another 10 that you might have missed, but I believe merit reading:
As is our custom, we conclude the year by reflecting on the 10 most-read practice management articles over the past 12 months.
Great articles don’t always get the readership they deserve. Below are another 10 that you might have missed, but I believe merit reading.
As is our custom, we conclude the year by reflecting on the 10 most-read investment and planning articles over the past 12 months.
Special-purpose acquisition companies (SPACs) should be illegal, according to Jeremy Grantham. This article explains the misaligned incentives that will destroy the wealth of SPAC investors.
Investors should brace for a deflationary shock that will drive 10-year Treasury yields to zero or below, according to Albert Edwards.
Economic indicators suggest that the 10-year Treasury yield could double to nearly 2%, according to Jeffrey Gundlach, and the U.S. could face higher inflation over the next several years.
Special-purpose acquisition companies (SPACs) should be illegal, according to Jeremy Grantham, as they escape regulatory oversight and encourage the “most obscene type of investing.”
Amid historically low rates, the income solutions of yesterday are not going to cut it. Global X ETFs has recognized and reacted to this paradigm shift by developing alternative, higher-yielding strategies.
“I predict the bull market will continue next year,” says Jeremy Siegel. “Stocks are not overpriced.”
In a market ruled by historically low bond yields, income-seeking investors are being driven to products that carry risks, many of which are hard to identify or evaluate.
He is not sure when it will happen, but David Rosenberg is confident investors will face another big correction in the stock market.
A multilateral framework is needed to reverse the effects of secular stagnation and should be the primary focus of President-elect Biden’s administration, according to Larry Summers.
The world is smaller and people are poorer as a result of the COVID-19 crisis, from which it will take five to six years to recover, according to Martin Wolf.
Reflecting on the post-election landscape, Jeffrey Gundlach expects a split government to emerge, with a Biden presidency, Democratic House and Republican Senate. That outcome explains the gains in U.S. equities this week, but stocks are now “really overvalued.”
Jeffrey Gundlach, who famously predicted Trump’s victory in 2016, says the president will secure another term. David Rosenberg acknowledged that possibility, but is not so sure of the outcome. Both offered their predictions for the post-election economy and markets.
Jeremy Grantham has made a science of studying asset bubbles, correctly predicting the path of the Japanese, dot-com and housing overvaluations. Today’s bubble in U.S. equities is unlike any other, he says, but it will burst in months, if not weeks.
As devastating and disruptive as the pandemic has been for so many, it has also shined light on the industries and sectors that are best poised to innovate and keep our markets moving. From biotech to cybersecurity to AI and Robotics to Semiconductors and more, thematic tech ETFs are some of the best performing funds of the year. These groupings of industry-related securities are an effective way to gain exposure to companies in particular industries with growth potential. Learn how thematic tech ETFs may fit into your clients' portfolios from some of the biggest names in the business.
As we all navigate a crisis that’s dramatically changed our lives, one of the best-known commentators on the advisory profession takes a longer view on what it will take for your business to not just survive — but thrive. In an informative Q&A with Bob Huebscher, Veres will explore the many transitions facing advisors and offer advice on building deeper connections in a world where every other advisor can be your competitor.
Uncertainty. There is plenty. Climate change, human rights and social justice, and (of course) the coronavirus pandemic, are just a few of the sources of uncertainty today. COVID-19 has disrupted the way we work. Advances in healthcare are improving both outcomes and access. Social justice issues are evolving behavioral norms. Broader access to the internet has changed the way we connect and will continue to do so.
From the environment to social justice reform to healthcare improvements, small-cap companies lead the charge through innovation that can truly change the world. Please join expert small-cap growth portfolio manager Granahan Investment Management as they discuss how companies in their portfolios have an eye on transforming our tomorrows.
With the U.S. election nearing and economies around the world still grappling with the effects of the pandemic, investors need to weigh the latest developments carefully. Join David Rosenberg, one of the world’s best-known economists and investment strategists, for a Q&A with AP CEO Robert Huebscher in a far-reaching discussion on the markets, economics and politics. CFP and IWI CE credits pending.
In this exclusive interview, world-renowned economist Woody Brock explains how Fed policy is engendering a “fragility loop” that is destabilizing the economy and markets.
Passive bond funds – particular those that track the popular Barclay’s AGG index – offer the worst risk-return profile ever, according to Jeffrey Gundlach’s DoubleLine Capital.
The legendary fund manager, Bob Rodriguez, doesn’t like either stocks or bonds, but he explains the particular strategy he is pursuing for buying hard assets.
The Absolute Capital Opportunities Fund (CAPOX) uses a flexible approach to value investing. It is sub-advised by a team at Chicago-based Kovitz, led by Mark C. Rosland and Joel D. Hirsh. As of May 31st, 2020 its cumulative return was 29.49% versus 1.03% for the HFRX equity hedge index.
Jeffrey Gundlach, who famously predicted Donald Trump’s victory in 2016, said that the president will defeat the presumptive Democratic nominee, Joe Biden, in November. He also dimmed the expectations of fixed-income investors when he said to avoid short- and long-term bonds.
Since 2009, the U.S. stock market has outperformed the rest of the world by a factor of nearly three. But that “American exceptionalism” may transition to a movement to break up monopolies, according to Jeffrey Gundlach.
Bruce Bond is co-founder and CEO of Innovator Capital Management. Having cofounded PowerShares Capital Management in 2003, he is recognized as one of the pioneers of the ETF industry. I spoke with him about the explosive growth in flows to defined-outcome ETFs.
This is a statement by Robert Huebscher, CEO of Advisor Perspectives, on the killing of George Floyd and related events.
Robo-advisors faced their first big challenge with the bear market in the first quarter of 2020. They lost, and that is an ominous sign for the future of automated advice.
On April 9, Memphis-based Southeastern Asset Management announced that it was re-opening its Longleaf Partners Small-Cap Fund (LLSCX). It had closed the fund to new investors in August 1997. I interviewed two of the fund’s managers, Staley Cates and Ross Glotzbach.
If rates stay low, the returns on stocks will be better than for bonds, according to Leon (“Lee”) Cooperman. “Bonds are the high-risk investment,” he said.
Neil Howe foresaw a global crisis that would upend society. He didn’t know it would be a pandemic, but, throughout his career, he has been predicting a “fourth turning” – an event that would reshape societal norms and usher in a new generation of leaders.
Wall Street will proclaim that any increase in economic activity is a good sign. But, according to Jim Bianco, even a recovery to 90% of pre-crisis levels will be terrible.
This year marks the 100th anniversary of the renowned investment firm Tweedy Browne. The firm was originally a broker, and one of its clients was Benjamin Graham. I interviewed six members of Tweedy, Browne’s investment committee.
The conventional wisdom is that U.S. stocks are overvalued and the only uncertainty is the timing of the inevitable correction. But Robert Shiller says his CAPE ratio, when considered alongside low bond yields, is not giving “much of a sell signal” for U.S. stocks.
We are past the worst, according to Matt Ridley, and can begin to think about how we can put the world back together. But we need innovation.