Since the dawn of time music has played a pivotal role in the defining of the times and the progression made. We would like to utilize the artistic genius of these maestros to bring some context to the current pivotal point in the economy and capital markets.
Despite the near non-stop drama of the legislative process, we ended December with the Tax Cut and Jobs Act of 2017 being signed into law. What does this mean for fixed income investors? In my opinion, the news is overwhelmingly positive for the US investment grade market; here are four reasons why.
With the US economy humming and the Fed seemingly pushing all the right buttons, it makes sense to expect more of the same in 2018. That means more rate hikes on the way. The question is: How many?
The US Senate approved a tax bill last weekend, and it now appears highly likely that final tax legislation will be passed in the next few weeks. Big changes to the tax rules will impact the economy, taxpayers and financial markets.
The business cycle is one of the most important drivers of investment performance. As the nearby chart shows, recessions lead to outsized moves across asset markets. It is therefore critical for investors to have a well-informed view on the business cycle so portfolio allocations can be adjusted accordingly.
Comprehensive, revenue-neutral tax reform could give the US economy a boost. But tax cuts alone are more likely to lead to higher budget deficits than to increased growth.
Jerome Powell, President Trump’s pick to lead the Federal Reserve, is likely to continue the central bank’s gradual retreat from unconventional policy. But the test for a Powell-led Fed will come when the economic cycle turns.
Nearly 10 years after its unprecedented response to the 2008 crisis, the Fed is finally making plans to unwind $4 trillion of fixed income investments. Other global central banks are not far behind. From interest rates to credit spreads and defaults, the impact of these actions will reach all corners of the fixed income market. Matt Toms Fixed Income CIO for Voya Investment Management will discuss: • Pitfalls and risks in the current fixed income market; • Overlooked opportunities; and • What investors should consider when building fixed income portfolios to navigate this uncharted environment.
Matt will answer attendees’ questions during the session and will be available to continue the discussion on APViewpoint.
Unprecedented changes are reshaping the financial advice industry and affecting portfolio construction for individual investors. New regulation, technological innovation, capital market trends and the prospect of lower future returns are all exerting profound effects.
US economic activity is picking up, and as a result, we’ve raised our growth forecasts for 2017 and 2018. What’s behind the good news—and how will it impact interest rates?