Global equities roared out of the gate in January, notching their best start to a new year since 1994. The price of oil made an even larger jump than equities, reaching its highest price since 2014, while the U.S. dollar endured its largest monthly decline in nearly two years. Even though bond-market inflation expectations have risen to a three-year high, the Fed kept its overnight interest rate unchanged at its January meeting.
This commentary touches on the passing of Corporate tax cuts during a period of historically high corporate profits and also discusses the relationship of the unemployment rate with future market returns.
In most parts of Canada we have very distinct seasons. Some months of the year are temperate and relatively dry, while other months are cold and snowy. As a result, most Canadian towns of any size have stores that sell skis and bikes.
Wade Pfau has written an important book: How Much Can I Spend in Retirement?: A Guide to Investment-Based Retirement Income Strategies. It should be read by not just financial planners, but also all investment advisors who work with individual accounts.
Here’s a new bet with Warren Buffett based on a portfolio oriented around risk parity and factors.
Investors are struggling to achieve long-term return targets in today’s low yield environment. To close the gap, many investors feel forced into concentrated equity portfolios.
This article will tackle the “p-hacking” issue and propose a framework to help those who embrace evidence-based investing to make judicious decisions based on a more thoughtful interpretation of finance research.
Michael Edesess’ article, The Trend that is Ruining Finance Research, makes the case that financial research is flawed. In this two-part series, I will examine the points that Edesess raised in some detail.
In this article, we examine whether it pays to account for differences in the path assets take to produce their momentum. All other things equal, do investors express a short-term preference for assets that have produced their returns with less risk, where risk is measured broadly as having delivered a smoother ride?
In our last post, we covered the importance of a well-designed investment universe as a precondition for thoughtful diversification. In this second article on Dynamic Asset Allocation for Practitioners, we will explore several methods for measuring price momentum to compare and contrast their utility under different portfolio concentration and asset universe specifications.