Washington: What to Watch Now

Washington: What to Watch Now is a regular column that analyzes only those political and regulatory issues that could potentially affect investors. For more, listen to the WashingtonWise podcast on Apple Podcasts.

Congress managed to avoid a government shutdown last week, passing a "continuing resolution" that extends government funding through the end of the fiscal year, September 30. But the result exposed huge fissures in the Democratic party. The legislation includes a $6 billion increase in defense spending and a $13 billion reduction in non-defense spending. It was approved in the House on March 11th on a 217-213 vote, with one Republican voting against it and one Democrat voting for it—a surprising outcome given that many conservative Republicans in the House typically vote against temporary funding measures. That put the issue in the hands of the Senate, where House Democrats expected their colleagues to block the bill. But on Friday, Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer (D-NY) and nine other Democrats joined all but one Republican on a procedural vote, ensuring that it had the necessary 60 votes to overcome a filibuster. The final bill then passed 54-46. President Donald Trump signed the measure into law on Saturday.

While a government shutdown is off the table until this fall, the Democratic frustration could not be higher. Some Democrats, eager to show more resistance to Trump and Capitol Hill Republicans, were ready for a shutdown and are livid at Schumer's decision. Some have called for him to step down as leader. But Schumer faced a true Hobson's choice—there were no good options. Schumer believed that shutting down the government would give too much power to the president and businessman Elon Musk to determine who was an "essential" government worker, and potentially permanently sideline those they deemed not essential. Democrats will be debating whether he made the right decision for weeks to come.

Other legislative action

The Senate Banking Committee advanced a stablecoin bill. It marks the first time a congressional committee has approved a regulatory structure for a cryptocurrency, though it is limited to stablecoins, which are digital assets pegged to assets like the U.S. dollar. Notably, the bill received the support of five Democrats on the committee—a clear sign not only of the growing desire in both parties to create a better regulatory structure for digital assets but also of the increased influence of cryptocurrency companies in Washington. During a marathon session last week, numerous amendments were put forward, indicative of the broad debate that continues on Capitol Hill about the best way to regulate the crypto space. The goal of the bill is to protect consumers while also expanding innovation. It would require 100% reserve in dollars or Treasuries, monthly disclosure of those reserves, annual audits for larger companies and more. Lawmakers are also working on a broader bill to create a regulatory market structure for all cryptocurrencies, but that one is still in development. The stablecoin bill would need to be reconciled with a House version that is still in the discussion stage, so there is a long way to go. But passage by a Senate committee is a notable moment in the crypto journey on Capitol Hill and increases the likelihood of a bill passing into law later this year.