Delivering Anxiety-Adjusted Returns with a Time Segmented Approach

If you are depressed you are living in the past. If you are anxious you are living in the future. If you are at peace you are living in the present.

-Lao Tzu

Time and time again, advisors say their largest challenge is managing client emotions. If clients are unhappy or anxious about their investments, they run the risk of making impulsive or emotionally fueled decisions. Since one of the most important things clients want from their financial advisor is help making better decisions, let’s explore what makes clients anxious in the first place.

People get anxious when they spend too much time worrying about the bad things that might happen in the future or ruminating about what happened in the past. Unfortunately, as an industry, we repeatedly highlight past performance in order to help us make recommendations for the future. By encouraging clients to shift their attention away from past mistakes and future worries, you can help them stay focused on the current steps they need to take to grow and maintain their wealth. It’s important to create an environment where investment decisions are customized to the client’s individual goals and aspirations. This tailored approach is designed help investors think objectively about what they want their money to do for them.

In this article, we’ll review three ways to help mitigate the effects of emotional investing.

Divide and Conquer

Break the investment plan into segments, or buckets, designed to meet short, medium and long-term needs. Segmenting allows you to vary the risk exposure across an investor’s long-term time horizon. The investor’s immediate anxiety can be eased with short-term investments that focus on safer asset classes including fixed income and cash.

Time diversification creates a comfortable distance from assets reserved for long-term goals. Stocks for the Long Runauthor Jeremy Siegel advocates for substantial equity exposure over decades. He acknowledges that, “In the short run…stock returns are very volatile, driven by changes in earnings, interest rates, risk, and uncertainty, as well as psychological factors, such as optimism and pessimism as well as fear and greed.”

We believe investing for the long term can help clients withstand the inevitable volatility of the equity market. CFA and MIT professor Mark Kritzman quantified this concept in his article “What Practitioners Need to Know…About Time Diversification.” His analysis illustrates the diminished probability of loss over greater periods. He advocates that a long-term investment “reflects the tendency of above-average returns to cancel out below-average returns.” In short, stick it out, and you’ll win in the end.