Equity Market Review and Outlook: Q4 2016
For the first time in quite a while, Washington could prove to be a source of positive earnings catalysts in the months ahead.
Top Five Macro Themes for 2017
What a difference a few months can make. The world economy now looks to be on sounder footing, with economic data surprising to the upside, developed and emerging market economic momentum improving, global manufacturing recovering and the US profits recession ended.
Under Control: How a Disciplined Approach Can Keep Investors Focused
Investing for the long term is not a new concept, yet an increasingly large body of research suggests that investors are prone to short-term thinking. Although behavioral finance has identified the importance of taking emotion out of investing, for many this is easier said than done. While behavioral modifications can help, we believe that a risk-controlled investment approach can help limit rash decisions, while keeping investors focused on the long term.
Bond Market Review and Outlook - Q4 2016
Markets were in reflation mode during the final weeks of 2016, sending the 10-year US Treasury yield to its highest level in more than two years. While economic indicators have shown modest improvement, most of the rise in yields is built on lofty expectations. In the coming years, we think a strengthening macro backdrop may support modestly higher yields.
20-Point System Template
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Reshuffling the Deck: Industry Impacts of a Trump White House
A Trump White House: Potential Market Impacts of the US Election
Donald Trump’s presidential upset has stunned financial markets, which had heavily discounted a Clinton victory. What might Trump’s policy proposals mean for markets and key components of the US economy going forward?
Managed Futures: How to Diversify with Trend Following
With the Fed poised to raise rates and equities trading close to historical valuation peaks, the prospect of lower returns and higher correlations between asset classes has left many investors seeking sources of return which are not correlated to traditional stock and bond performance.
Trend following is one strategy that has the potential to profit from rising rates without depending upon positive equity market performance, however, allocating to the space does present some unique challenges. In a new whitepaper, CSAM seeks to address key implementation questions regarding allocating to trend following, including why now might be an appropriate time to invest and how to fund and size an allocation.
Equity Market Review and Outlook
We expect equities to continue their slow uptrend into next year.
When does active beat passive in small-cap?
Can the shift to value account for the improved relative results for many small-cap active managers in the last year?
Quarterly Macro Insights: October 2016
Senior Global Economist James Balfour explores some of the key macro themes influencing global markets.
Bond Market Review & Outlook
Fiscal policy developments could create bond market volatility going forward, but historically low interest rates are likely to persist.
The New Conundrum
How can the Fed uphold a dual mandate while recognizing the interdependence of global policies, economies, and financial conditions? Pacific Funds portfolio managers assess the new conundrum that Federal Reserve Board Chair Janet Yellen is facing and what it means for the remainder of 2016.
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