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star logoFlaws in Vanguard's Withdrawal Strategy

 

Vanguard advertises that its mission is to simplify investors' retirement decisions.  In a recently published study, however, it oversimplified the critical choices investors and their advisors face in constructing a portfolio for the withdrawal phase of retirement.

Flaws in Vanguard's Withdrawal Strategy


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star logoGold and the Decade to Come

 

Gold is an asset class unto itself. It is not only a barometer of confidence in governments and the financial system, but also a reserve asset, an alternative currency, and a store of value. Those characteristics make gold an ideal diversifier because it has low correlation to most financial assets, both in expansionary and recessionary periods. Indeed, the return pattern to gold investments is not only uncorrelated to most traditional financial assets, but makes gold uniquely positioned to outperform when you want diversification the most--during periods of crisis.  This white paper offers a perspective on the role gold plays in a diversified portfolio as well as our observation of the supply and demand forces at play that will affect gold investments over the next decade.  We thank American Century Investments for their sponsorship.

 

Gold and the Decade to Come

 
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star logo A Top Economist's Nightmare Scenario

Remember the 1970s? Stagflation like we saw then could return to the U.S. if unsustainable public debt levels trigger a selloff of government bonds and dollar-denominated holdings, according to a recent study by John C. Cochrane. Cochrane, a finance professor at the University of Chicago, is perhaps best known for his response to Paul Krugman's article in the New York Times on why mainstream economics failed to anticipate the financial crisis.


A Top Economist's Nightmare Scenario

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star logo Why Client Events Aren't Appreciated

 

Selective, by-invitation events targeted to top clients pay the biggest dividends in goodwill and additional business, but it's often hard to get bigger clients out to 'mass' events, says Dan Richards.  The challenge is breaking through - when it comes to events for top clients, you need to pick one of two strategies.

 

Why Client Events Aren't Appreciated


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star logoThe SEC's 12b-1 Proposal is Based on Misguided History, Flawed Economics

The SEC's stated aims of its proposed Rule 12b-1 reform are laudable: increasing transparency, reducing investor fees, and increasing competition among mutual funds.  However, John Robinson's review of its 278-page proposal found major flaws, including a misinformed historical pretext and naive economic analysis.

The SEC's 12b-1 Proposal is Based on Misguided History, Flawed Economics

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star logo Tax Location in Today's Uncertain Environment

 

The tumultuous political climate in Washington has heightened anxiety around the country, and the uncertainty left when Congress adjourned without tackling any of the looming tax changes has left taxpayers and investors wondering just what is in store for 2011.  Though the crystal ball remains cloudy, and while taxes may rise for no one, everyone, or just the wealthiest Americans, steps taken today can help tax planners and their clients be better prepared - no matter what the politicians do.

 

Tax Location in Today's Uncertain Environment

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star logo Identify the Human Factor

 

One of the most overlooked steps in goal-setting and goal-achievement is the human element in the planning process. Once you have clearly defined your desired outcome, and once you have identified and categorized the obstacles you have faced or expect to face, you must turn your attention to the people involved.  This is the third of five articles in the S.H.I.F.T. series


Identify the Human Factor

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star logo Four New Ways to Beef Up Your LinkedIn Profile

 

If you have logged into LinkedIn in the last couple of weeks, you may have noticed some new changes.  The professional networking site has new sections for individual profiles, and Kristen Luke explains how to use them.


Four New Ways to Beef Up Your LinkedIn Profile

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star logo Letter to the Editor

 

In a letter to the Editor, a reader highlights a few generalizations in a recent article on that, he says, unfortunately cast the entire universe of 529 plans in a uniformly unpleasant light.


Letter to the Editor

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star logoHighlights from Market Commentaries

Below are the three most widely read commentaries during the last week:
 
 

Run Turkey, Run

The Fed's announcement of a renewed commitment to quantitative easing has been well-telegraphed, and the market's reaction is likely to be subdued. We are in a 'liquidity trap,' where interest rates or trillions in asset purchases may not stimulate borrowing or lending because consumer demand is just not there. The Fed's announcement will likely signify the end of a great 30-year bull market in bonds and the necessity for bond managers and, yes, equity managers to adjust to a new environment.

 

Run Turkey, Run by Bill Gross of PIMCO

 

Night of the Living Fed

 

This is a summary of Grantham Mayo Von Otterloo chairman Jeremy Grantham's 3Q 2010 newsletter. Grantham notes that in the third year of a presidential cycle, risky, highly volatile stocks have outperformed low-risk stocks by an average of 18 percent per year since 1964. Levels of 1400 or 1500 on the S&P 500 one year from now are about a 50/50 bet. The biggest threats to this possibility are that Congress will initiate a new trade war, or that the Federal Reserve will start a currency dispute with quantitative easing.

 

Night of the Living Fed by Jeremy Grantham of GMO

 

Bernanke Leaps into a Liquidity Trap

 

The belief that an increase in the money supply will result in an increase in GDP relies on the assumption that velocity will not decline in proportion to the increase in monetary base. Unfortunately for the proponents of 'quantitative easing,' this assumption fails spectacularly in the data - both in the U.S. and internationally - particularly at zero interest rates. Once short-term interest rates drop to zero, further expansions in base money simply induce a proportional collapse in velocity.

 

Bernanke Leaps into a Liquidity Trap by John P. Hussman of Hussman Funds

 





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