CAdvisor Perspectives new logo headertant Contact

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Quick Links

short red bar

Become a Subscriber (free)

Advisor Perspectives Home Page
Asset Allocation Data
Mutual Fund Data
Advisor Commentaries
Top 10 Most Popular Articles
Follow us on Twitter


Pioneer Investments

star logoJune 1, 2010 - Vol 4, Issue 22

Webinar Invitation

Dear Reader,

Using Monte Carlo analysis, Geoff Considine examines three ways safe withdrawal rates can be increased beyond the baseline 4% guideline.  He compares and quantifies the benefits of increasing diversification beyond equities and bonds, increasing allocations to fixed income, and employing tactical asset allocation.

Natural gas local distribution companies are appealing utility business models to conservative equity investors. They tend to have stable earnings and stronger balance sheets.  Philip Sundell of American Century Investments discusses his overall outlook for utilities in this interview.  We thank American Century for their sponsorship.

Not surprisingly, the most profitable investment trends tend to be those with the most staying power. That could be particularly good news for investors in municipal bonds, since structural forces are in place that may make tax-free bonds - and the income they generate - even more valuable in the years to come.  Northern Trust provides their secular outlook for municipals, and we thank them for their sponsorship.

European equities seem much cheaper than in the US, says Dan Trosch of Fortigent in this guest contribution.  Europe trades at a 26% Price to Book discount and a 20% Price to Cash Earnings discount to the US.  Some European industries and stocks are deservedly cheap and value traps; other industries and stocks are attractive and will benefit from global growth in exports and other macro trends.

More articles below...

Vanguard

Ask industry veterans about what really sets top producers apart and you'll get lots of suggestions, says Dan Richards.  Intellect, discipline, work ethic, people skills and focus would all be put forward - and a case can be made for the importance of all of these.  There is one attribute, however, that every true top performer has in large quantity.

Columbia business professor Sheena Iyengar, author of The Art of Choosing, is the woman behind the famous jam study.  Her research, which has been cited by Dan Ariely and others, shows the implications of providing consumers with choices that are too numerous or complex to easily evaluate.  Charlie Curnow reviews her book.   

As a financial advisor, your reputation is one of your most important prospecting tools. While the internet presents a wealth of marketing benefits, one downside is potentially losing control of your reputation.  In this guest contribution, Dan Sommer shows how to make sure that doesn't happen.

Last month marked the three-year anniversary of our publication, and we'd like to share with you some of our accomplishments over the past year and our goals for the future.

Lastly, we highlight submissions to Advisor Market Commentaries.

We welcome guest submissions from our readers.  For more information, here are our guidelines.

If you are experiencing problems opening or navigating through our newsletters, we can send you a text-only version.  Please send an email to feedback@advisorperspectives.com requesting the "text-only" version.

If you have received this newsletter in error, or you do not wish to receive future newsletters, please
reply to this email with the word “unsubscribe” in the subject line.

   advertise in AP
  Contact us about advertising

 

Red divider bar

 

star logoThree Ways to Improve Safe Withdrawal Rates

Few problems facing financial planners have been as extensively studied as sustainable withdrawal rates (SWRs).  Today, the conventional wisdom holds that a 4% SWR is reasonable, given a traditional 60/40 approach.  But higher SWRs can be achieved in a number of ways, and the last chapter in the search for better deaccumulation planning is yet to be written.

Three Ways to Improve Safe Withdrawal Rates

Red divider bar

 

star logoEquity Income Targets Utilities

Senior Investment Analyst Philip Sundell, CFA, follows utilities for American Century Investments' value investment teams. In this article, Sundell provides his views on the state of the utilities sector, the sector's recent performance, and the risks and uncertainties that utilities could face in the years ahead.

 

star logoMunicipal Bond Market Insights

Demographics, higher tax rates, increased savings rates and a shrinking supply of bonds are some of the secular trends that will benefit municipal bond holders.

Municipal Bond Market Insights


Red divider bar

 

star logoEurope: Value or Value Trap?

Shorter term pressure and/or volatility will continue to haunt the euro and European equities over the next 12-18 months.  It could take several quarters (or longer) for market participants to reward select European stocks as value plays and not value traps.  A range of quality stocks in Europe have attractive risk/return profiles over the next 3-5 years, with the likely exception of banks. 

Europe: Value or Value Trap?

Red divider bar

 

star logoThe Essential Quality that Sets Top Performers Apart

Resilience - the ability to bounce back quickly and constructively from setbacks, disappointments and crises - is what sets apart top performers.

The Essential Quality that Sets Top Performers Apart

Red divider bar

 

star logoThe Burden of Choice

People can be much more decisive, and tend to report greater satisfaction with their decisions when faced with a limited assortment of choices rather than a deluge of options.

The Burden of Choice

Red divider bar

 

star logoSocial Media & Reputation Management for Financial Advisors

The latest social media applications have taken reputation management and traditional PR to a whole new level - and these applications provide a number of surefire methods for effectively managing your name and reputation ... so long as you are willing to stay on top of it.

Social Media & Reputation Management for Financial Advisors

Red divider bar

 

star logoOur Three-Year Anniversary

Readership growth, site and newsletter redesigns, new features and our newest publication are some of the past year's accomplishments we review.

Our Three-Year Anniversary

Red divider bar

star logoHighlights from Market Commentaries

Fiscal tightening and budget conservatism may have come too late for Greece and its global lookalikes. Continued deficit spending may be an exorbitant privilege extended to only a few. Caught in the middle are many developed countries that will likely face muted growth rates and a continued bumpy journey toward their destinations. Investors must respect this rather tortuous journey in the months and years ahead for what it is: a deleveraging process based upon too much debt and too little growth to service it.

Two Will Get You Three (or) Three Will Get You Two by Bill Gross of PIMCO




The fact that earnings have been rising while the stock market has been correcting has helped cut the degree of overvaluation in half, to a 0.5 standard deviation from 1.0 just over a month ago on a normalized Shiller P/E ratio basis. The ECRI leading economic index is foreshadowing a deceleration in real GDP growth, however, to 1.5 percent in the second half of the year from the 3.75 percent average pace since the recession technically ended in mid-2009. The S&P 500 level that would be consistent with that sort of pace would be around 850, rather than the current level of 1,074.

Gold Prices, Housing, Bond Yields and the Shiller P/E Ratio by David A. Rosenberg of Gluskin Sheff




In medicine, an Aunt Minnie is a particular set of symptoms that is distinctly characteristic of a specific disease, even if each of the individual symptoms might be fairly common. Last week, we observed an Aunt Minnie featuring a collapse in market internals that has historically been associated with sharply negative market implications. Historically, we can identify 19 instances in the past 50 years where the weekly data featured broadly negative internals, coupled with at least 3-to-1 negative breadth, and a leadership reversal.

Don't Mess With Aunt Minnie by John P. Hussman of Hussman Funds

 

Advisor Perspectives | Box 380 | Lexington | MA | 02420