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Advisor Perspectives
Insights into the world of high- and ultra-high net worth investing

May 19, 2009- Vol 3, Issue 20

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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Loomis Sayles


TIPS offer a perfect hedge against inflation for US investors, but advisors need to understand their risks.  We look at the history of TIPS prices and explain why this asset class is more volatile than you might think.

Credit analysis is multifaceted, blending fundamental and quantitative processes, incorporating historical and market-based forward-looking models to complete the full credit review. Calamos Advisors discusses their process and how they monitor companies on an ongoing basis.  We thank them for their sponsorship.

Mebane Faber provides an excerpt from his new book, The Ivy Portfolio, on the ascent of David Swensen and the development of the tools employed to manage Yale's endowment.  Faber shows the data Swensen used to determine Yale's aggressive allocation to alternative asset classes.

In response to skepticism we've expressed in the past about technical analysis, one of our readers invited us to attend the Market Technicians Association symposium in
New York last week.  Our skepticism remains, but it was an enjoyable event and we report on the forecasts of Elliot Wave theorist Robert Prechter.

Optimists in the investment business claim "Crisis breeds opportunity." Dan Richards looks at the worst consequence of the current crisis - corporate downsizing - and shows how advisors used five different approaches to create opportunities while helping those faced with job losses.

When it comes to selecting a money manager, many clients today are casualties of the same opaqueness the Japanese face in arranged marriages. Hiring a money manager does not include the same solemn, lifelong commitment as choosing a spouse, according to fund manager Mariko Gordon. But, in this guest contribution, she argues that the hiring process, if not handled well, can also lead to disappointment.

If you are looking to make professional referrals a key strategy for your business, you will want to develop dozens of relationships.  Kristen Luke shows how to efficiently nurture these relationships with an action plan to touch your centers of influence throughout the year, just as you would your clients. 

Lastly, we highlight submissions to Advisor Market Commentaries.

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Opportunities and Risks in TIPS


TIPS have gained a lot of attention, as those who forecast higher inflation see an opportunity for outsized returns.  We explain the sources of risk in TIPS, the difference between individual bonds and ETFs, and dispel the popular misconception that TIPS are tax disadvantaged.

Opportunities and Risks in TIPS

 

How Multifaceted Credit Research Can Enhance Returns and Effectively Price Risk

 

Credit analysis requires a firm understanding of the strength and quality of a company's cash flows as well as a thorough review of its capital structure. We take an in-depth look at the Calamos credit research process, which has been in place for more than 30 years. We highlight the fundamental and qualitative processes that are incorporated, including historical-based models, forward-looking models and the fundamental analysis that all contribute to the pricing of risk.   


How Multifaceted Credit Research Can Enhance Returns and Effectively Price Risk

 

David Swensen's Ascent

 

The Yale portfolio reaches for high returns, thus the endowment is biased towards equity, and equity-like asset classes, which total 96% of the endowment. Bonds, due to their vulnerability to inflation, are in the portfolio only as a hedge against deflation.  Yale has a large allocation to real assets and nontraditional asset classes due to their return potential and diversifying power.

David Swensen's Ascent

 

Waiting for the Fifth Wave

 
If there is an equivalent to a Star Trek convention for the investment industry, it would be a gathering of market technicians.  Like "Trekkies," technicians are an obscure minority, viewed with curiosity by some and disdain by many, mostly because of their Klingon-like language for the financial markets, which include terms like "musical polarity" and "vibrational energy."

Waiting for the Fifth Wave

 

Turning Corporate Downsizing into Prospecting Success


If your target market is people worried about being laid off or prospects with other concerns, Dan Richards shows the lessons from five advisors on what it takes to attract clients. Position yourself as offering credible solutions to prospects' hot button concerns and you too can build prospecting momentum in your practice.

Turning Corporate Downsizing into Prospecting Success

 

Here Come the Brides


Having a transparent, thorough, and thoughtful hiring process upfront will save you disappointment later, writes Mariko Gordon. You may not be able to know all there is to know about your "new bride" before you move in together, but as her sure grandmother would surely agree, it's a whole lot better than just a fuzzy photograph. 

Here Come the Brides

 

Five Ways to Cultivate Professional Referral Relationships


Integrating a professional referral program into your marketing plan requires relatively little effort and opens up a new channel for clients.  The keys to success are using your CRM system to ensure no one falls through the cracks and creating an action plan to regularly reach your centers of influence (COIs).  Properly nurturing your COI relationships will successfully create another source of clients, to supplement referrals and your other marketing efforts.

Five Ways to Cultivate Professional Referral Relationships

 

Highlights from Advisor Market Commentaries

 
Vitaliy Katsenelson and Chris Whalen took aim at the government's handling of the Chrysler bankruptcy, and the consensus is that things are headed in the wrong direction.

How Stealing Chrysler Threatens Our Markets
Chrysler, GM and the New Industrial Policy

Anyone who trades on government statistics as being anywhere close to accurate in real time deserves any losses they get, according to John Mauldin. They are at best a foggy window through which we peer into the future. Taken together, and with some seasoning of time, they can be rather useful; but to pin hopes of a recovery or a bull-market run on one week's data is hazardous to one's wealth.

Read the commentary

 

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