December 8, 2009
Table 4 – Probabilities based on risk-adjusted return (Q3 2006 – Q3 2009)
|
|
Based on Morningstar Risk-Adjusted Return |
|||||
|
|
Average |
% of Group Beaten by the Average Fund |
||||
Broad Asset Group |
Funds Rated … |
Return |
1 star |
2 stars |
3 stars |
4 stars |
5 stars |
U.S. Equity |
1 star |
-14.28 |
- |
45.5% |
45.0% |
44.1% |
42.0% |
|
2 stars |
-12.53 |
54.5% |
- |
49.3% |
48.2% |
46.1% |
|
3 stars |
-12.50 |
55.0% |
50.7% |
- |
48.9% |
46.7% |
|
4 stars |
-12.26 |
55.9% |
51.8% |
51.1% |
- |
47.8% |
|
5 stars |
-11.71 |
58.0% |
53.9% |
53.3% |
52.2% |
- |
International Equity |
1 star |
-12.42 |
- |
52.3% |
43.7% |
42.1% |
50.9% |
|
2 stars |
-12.50 |
47.7% |
- |
42.4% |
41.5% |
47.9% |
|
3 stars |
-11.66 |
56.3% |
57.6% |
- |
48.8% |
55.1% |
|
4 stars |
-11.49 |
57.9% |
58.5% |
51.2% |
- |
56.6% |
|
5 stars |
-13.35 |
49.1% |
52.1% |
44.9% |
43.4% |
- |
Balanced |
1 star |
-1.22 |
- |
48.9% |
46.0% |
45.8% |
51.5% |
|
2 stars |
-6.29 |
51.1% |
- |
46.8% |
46.6% |
53.0% |
|
3 stars |
-6.03 |
54.0% |
53.2% |
- |
49.3% |
55.5% |
|
4 stars |
-5.89 |
54.2% |
53.4% |
50.7% |
- |
55.4% |
|
5 stars |
-6.07 |
48.5% |
47.0% |
44.5% |
44.6% |
- |
Taxable Bond |
1 star |
0.07 |
- |
46.3% |
40.3% |
40.7% |
38.5% |
|
2 stars |
0.17 |
53.7% |
- |
43.7% |
43.5% |
40.9% |
|
3 stars |
0.32 |
59.7% |
56.3% |
- |
49.4% |
46.0% |
|
4 stars |
0.40 |
59.3% |
56.5% |
50.6% |
- |
46.7% |
|
5 stars |
0.37 |
61.5% |
59.1% |
54.0% |
53.3% |
- |
Muni Bond |
1 star |
-0.20 |
- |
53.4% |
49.9% |
44.5% |
50.1% |
|
2 stars |
-0.29 |
46.6% |
- |
47.2% |
36.4% |
50.8% |
|
3 stars |
-0.29 |
50.1% |
52.8% |
- |
40.0% |
53.6% |
|
4 stars |
0.14 |
55.5% |
63.6% |
60.0% |
- |
62.2% |
|
5 stars |
-2.07 |
49.9% |
49.2% |
46.4% |
37.8% |
- |
Table 5 – Probabilities based on raw return (2004-2006)
|
|
Based on Total Return |
|||||
|
|
Average |
% of Group Beaten by the Average Fund |
||||
Broad Asset Group |
Funds Rated … |
Return |
1 star |
2 stars |
3 stars |
4 stars |
5 stars |
U.S. Equity |
1 star |
9.81 |
- |
46.31 |
44.84 |
41.23 |
37.30 |
|
2 stars |
10.51 |
53.62 |
- |
48.22 |
44.17 |
39.47 |
|
3 stars |
10.73 |
55.10 |
51.71 |
- |
45.75 |
40.90 |
|
4 stars |
11.39 |
58.71 |
55.76 |
54.18 |
- |
45.29 |
|
5 stars |
11.88 |
62.64 |
60.47 |
59.03 |
54.64 |
- |
International Equity |
1 star |
19.31 |
- |
47.34 |
46.50 |
43.08 |
44.23 |
|
2 stars |
19.73 |
52.61 |
- |
49.26 |
45.74 |
47.63 |
|
3 stars |
19.93 |
53.44 |
50.67 |
- |
46.27 |
48.08 |
|
4 stars |
20.93 |
56.87 |
54.20 |
53.67 |
- |
52.28 |
|
5 stars |
20.19 |
55.68 |
52.33 |
51.86 |
47.66 |
- |
Balanced |
1 star |
6.76 |
- |
47.04 |
38.95 |
30.87 |
22.81 |
|
2 stars |
7.12 |
52.80 |
- |
40.56 |
29.91 |
24.31 |
|
3 stars |
7.74 |
60.90 |
59.29 |
- |
41.03 |
31.49 |
|
4 stars |
8.26 |
69.05 |
69.92 |
58.78 |
- |
36.69 |
|
5 stars |
9.35 |
77.08 |
75.59 |
68.36 |
63.17 |
- |
Taxable Bond |
1 star |
3.36 |
- |
48.32 |
36.85 |
29.45 |
22.76 |
|
2 stars |
3.30 |
51.49 |
- |
36.62 |
28.17 |
20.37 |
|
3 stars |
4.12 |
62.99 |
63.15 |
- |
40.55 |
31.47 |
|
4 stars |
4.58 |
70.42 |
71.67 |
59.25 |
- |
40.37 |
|
5 stars |
5.33 |
77.09 |
79.51 |
68.38 |
59.43 |
- |
Muni Bond |
1 star |
2.64 |
- |
35.22 |
23.86 |
19.25 |
11.67 |
|
2 stars |
3.17 |
64.49 |
- |
36.79 |
31.08 |
19.72 |
|
3 stars |
3.65 |
75.92 |
62.95 |
- |
43.42 |
31.24 |
|
4 stars |
3.88 |
80.57 |
68.69 |
56.29 |
- |
38.56 |
|
5 stars |
4.37 |
88.20 |
80.11 |
68.47 |
61.15 |
- |
Table 6 – Probabilities based on risk-adjusted return (2004-2006)
|
|
Based on Morningstar Risk-Adjusted Return |
|||||
|
|
Average |
% of Group Beaten by the Average Fund |
||||
Broad Asset Group |
Funds Rated … |
Return |
1 star |
2 stars |
3 stars |
4 stars |
5 stars |
U.S. Equity |
1 star |
4.26 |
- |
45.08 |
42.93 |
39.27 |
34.81 |
|
2 stars |
5.59 |
54.86 |
- |
47.49 |
43.40 |
38.18 |
|
3 stars |
5.92 |
57.02 |
52.44 |
- |
45.69 |
40.20 |
|
4 stars |
6.63 |
60.67 |
56.53 |
54.24 |
- |
44.72 |
|
5 stars |
7.22 |
65.13 |
61.74 |
59.73 |
55.21 |
- |
International Equity |
1 star |
13.51 |
- |
47.56 |
46.72 |
42.24 |
42.72 |
|
2 stars |
13.86 |
52.35 |
- |
49.03 |
44.37 |
45.58 |
|
3 stars |
14.22 |
53.19 |
50.91 |
- |
45.13 |
45.74 |
|
4 stars |
15.29 |
57.71 |
55.56 |
54.82 |
- |
51.81 |
|
5 stars |
14.69 |
57.22 |
54.38 |
54.19 |
48.12 |
- |
Balanced |
1 star |
3.12 |
- |
47.14 |
38.31 |
30.80 |
22.90 |
|
2 stars |
3.47 |
52.74 |
- |
39.71 |
29.78 |
23.98 |
|
3 stars |
4.08 |
61.51 |
60.10 |
- |
41.60 |
31.52 |
|
4 stars |
4.55 |
69.05 |
70.06 |
58.24 |
- |
36.30 |
|
5 stars |
5.57 |
77.10 |
75.94 |
68.38 |
63.59 |
- |
Taxable Bond |
1 star |
-0.01 |
- |
48.17 |
36.51 |
29.25 |
23.07 |
|
2 stars |
-0.06 |
51.57 |
- |
36.51 |
28.12 |
20.83 |
|
3 stars |
0.72 |
63.28 |
63.24 |
- |
40.53 |
32.01 |
|
4 stars |
1.15 |
70.60 |
71.69 |
59.25 |
- |
40.99 |
|
5 stars |
1.84 |
76.83 |
79.04 |
67.80 |
58.81 |
- |
Muni Bond |
1 star |
-0.68 |
- |
35.19 |
23.68 |
19.06 |
11.70 |
|
2 stars |
-0.17 |
64.54 |
- |
36.67 |
30.87 |
19.83 |
|
3 stars |
0.29 |
76.10 |
63.05 |
- |
43.27 |
31.62 |
|
4 stars |
0.51 |
80.75 |
68.88 |
56.42 |
- |
39.16 |
|
5 stars |
0.97 |
88.18 |
79.97 |
68.06 |
60.55 |
- |
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