Each quarter we look at the performance of the top 25 Most Popular Mutual Funds in the AP (Advisor Perspectives) universe in each of four asset classes. This is the fourth such study: previous studies were done at the ends of Q4 of 2007, Q3 of 2007, and Q2 of 2007. This study analyzes the most popular funds as of March 31, 2007, and looks at performance during Q1 of 2008 and for the 12 month period ending March 31, 2008.
Over the 12 month period, foreign equity funds in the AP universe significantly outperformed their benchmark, delivering an average performance of 4.08%, compared to -2.76% for their benchmark, the EFA exchange traded fund. Of the top 25 foreign equity funds, 18 outperformed their benchmark over this period, with five funds (AEPGX, MACSX, HAINX, ANWPX, and FICDX) outperforming the benchmark in all four quarters. Muni bond funds also performed consistently above their benchmark for the 12 month period, with 15 of 25 funds outperforming the Lehman Muni Bond Index. Of the 25 US equity funds, 12 outperformed the S&P 500 for the 12 month period. Taxable bond funds fared the worst, with only 4 funds outperforming the Lehman AGG over the 12 month period.
Detailed findings of the current study are as follows:
- US Equities: For Q1 of 2008, the top 25 funds outperformed the S&P 500 by 55 basis points (-8.89% versus -9.44%), with 14 of 25 funds beating the benchmark. For the 12 month period, these 25 funds underperformed the S&P 500 by 92 basis points (-6.07% versus -5.85%), with only 12 of 25 funds beating the benchmark. The most popular fund, the Growth of America Fund (AGTHX), was also the only fund to outperform the index in all four quarters. The sixth most popular fund, the Fidelity Contrafund (FCNTX) had the best outperformance against the S&P 500 (beating the benchmark by 10.02%) over the 12 month period. Of the 25 funds, 15 outperformed their secondary, style box-specific benchmarks for the 12 month period.
- Foreign Equities: For Q1 of 2008, only 9 of the 25 funds outperformed the benchmark, but average performance across all 25 funds was 2 basis points above the benchmark (-8.79% versus -8.81%). As we note above, for the 12 month period, foreign equities consistently outperformed their benchmark, the EFA. Three of the 25 funds (FEMKX, SSEMX, and HLEMX) are emerging market funds, and these funds each outperformed the EEM exchange traded fund, a more appropriate benchmark.
- Taxable Bonds: For Q1 of 2008, only 4 of 25 funds outperformed the Lehman AGG benchmark, and the 25 funds on average underperformed the AGG by 336 basis points (-1.02% versus 2.34%). Overall underperformance was influenced by the Schwab Yield Plus Fund (SWYPX), which returned -19.87% for the quarter and has been scrutinized widely in the media. For the 12 month period, performance across the 25 funds has been equally disappointing, with only 4 of 25 funds outperforming the AGG. The 25 funds underperformed the AGG by 541 basis points over the 12 months (2.16% versus 7.57%)
- Muni Bond Funds: For Q1 of 2008, 19 of 25 muni bond funds outperformed the Lehman muni bond exchange traded fund TFI (we began using this ETF as the benchmark on 1/1/08). The 25 funds outperformed the TFI by 78 basis points (-.45% versus -1.23%). For the 12 month period, 15 of 25 funds outperformed the benchmark, but overall underperformed the benchmark by 15 basis points (1.34% versus 1.49%).
The results for Q1 of 2008 are summarized below:
|
Average Return |
Benchmark Return |
Benchmark |
# of Funds Outperforming Benchmark |
US Equities |
-8.89% |
-9.44% |
SPY |
14 of 25 |
Foreign Equities |
-8.79% |
-8.81% |
EFA |
9 of 25 |
Taxable Bonds |
-1.02% |
2.34% |
AGG |
4 of 25 |
Muni Bonds |
-.45% |
-1.23% |
TFI |
19 of 25 |
The results for the prior 12 months are summarized below:
|
Average Return |
Benchmark Return |
Benchmark |
# of Funds Outperforming Benchmark |
US Equities |
-6.07% |
-5.15% |
SPY |
12 of 25 |
Foreign Equities |
4.08% |
-2.76% |
EFA |
18 of 25 |
Taxable Bonds |
2.16% |
7.57% |
AGG |
4 of 25 |
Muni Bonds |
1.34% |
1.49% |
TFI |
15 of 25 |
Background and Methodology
The Advisor Perspectives universe tracks the investments of high- and ultra-high net worth investors whose assets are managed by Registered Investment Advisors. The size of the universe is approximately $50 billion and the average account size is approximately $900,000. However, 94% of the assets are concentrated in a group of accounts with an average account size of approximately $4 million, so data from the universe is biased by this demographic, and therefore represents the investment decisions of ultra-high net worth investors.
The most popular mutual funds are determined based on the AUM (assets under management) for each fund within the Advisor Perspectives universe. The inception of the Advisor Perspectives service was in Q1 of 2007. The first complete calendar quarter of data was Q2 of 2007.
The funds used in this study were the most popular funds as of March 31, 2007. Only actively managed funds were considered; index funds, enhanced index funds, and ETFs were not included in this study.
To calculate the AUM of each fund, assets are consolidated across all share classes held in the Advisor Perspectives universe. For this study, performance data was obtained for the share class most appropriate for advisors (either a load-waived share class or an institutional share class).
Performance data and style-box classifications were obtained from Morningstar.
Detailed data is presented in the four tables below.
US Equities
(LC = Large Cap; MC = Mid Cap; SC = Small Cap)
(G = Growth; B = Blend; V = Value)
|
|
|
Performance |
|
T12 Perf.
v. SPY |
T12 Perf. v. Scndry Indx |
Ticker |
Fund |
Style |
Q2-07 |
Q3-07 |
Q4-07 |
Q1-08 |
T12 |
AGTHX.lw |
GROWTH OF AMERICA FUND |
LC/G |
7.71 |
4.43 |
-2.72 |
-7.88 |
0.80 |
5.95 |
1.69 |
DODGX |
DODGE AND COX STOCK FUND |
LC/B |
5.41 |
-1.92 |
-4.78 |
-11.93 |
-13.30 |
-8.15 |
-8.15 |
FRIAX |
FRANKLIN TEMPLETON
CUSTODIAN
INCOME FUND |
LC/B |
2.47 |
1.39 |
-2.10 |
-5.58 |
-3.96 |
1.19 |
1.19 |
SRVEX.lw |
VICTORY DIVERSIFIED STOCK
FUND |
LC/G |
9.10 |
3.43 |
-1.64 |
-9.31 |
0.66 |
5.81 |
1.55 |
FEQIX |
FIDELITY EQUITY INCOME FUND |
LC/B |
7.31 |
-0.41 |
-6.12 |
-9.70 |
-9.40 |
-4.25 |
-4.25 |
FCNTX |
FIDELITY CONTRAFUND FUND |
LC/G |
7.50 |
7.16 |
2.53 |
-11.21 |
4.87 |
10.02 |
5.77 |
ABALX.lw |
BALANCED FUND |
LC/G |
5.02 |
2.77 |
-1.97 |
-5.90 |
-0.44 |
4.71 |
0.46 |
JENIX |
JENSEN FUND |
LC/G |
5.13 |
3.41 |
0.06 |
-7.10 |
1.06 |
6.21 |
1.95 |
TAVFX |
THIRD AVENUE VALUE FUND |
MC/B |
4.45 |
2.97 |
-4.70 |
-12.05 |
-9.85 |
-4.70 |
-0.80 |
FMCSX |
FIDELITY MID CAP STOCK FUND |
MC/G |
7.67 |
-0.19 |
-5.54 |
-13.17 |
-11.86 |
-6.70 |
-7.10 |
UMBIX |
EXCELSIOR VALUE AND
RESTRUCTURING
FUND |
LC/V |
10.05 |
-1.55 |
-1.43 |
-7.99 |
-1.74 |
3.41 |
8.36 |
FRESX |
FIDELITY REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT
FUND |
LC/B |
-11.14 |
0.59 |
-15.19 |
4.75 |
-20.59 |
-15.44 |
-15.44 |
MXXIX |
MARSICO 21ST CENTURY FUND |
LC/G |
10.32 |
6.36 |
0.59 |
-14.11 |
1.37 |
6.53 |
2.27 |
PRWCX |
TROWEPRICE CAPITAL
APPRECIATION
FUND |
LC/B |
5.83 |
-1.08 |
-1.59 |
-3.87 |
-0.96 |
4.19 |
4.19 |
FLMVX |
JP MORGAN MID CAP VALUE FUND |
MC/V |
4.22 |
-1.21 |
-3.45 |
-8.32 |
-8.86 |
-3.71 |
5.37 |
AWSHX.lw |
WASHINGTON MUTUAL FUND |
LC/B |
6.71 |
1.80 |
-5.18 |
-7.97 |
-5.21 |
-0.05 |
-0.05 |
FDCAX |
FIDELITY CAPITAL APPRECIATION
FUND |
LC/B |
7.50 |
3.09 |
-5.73 |
-12.41 |
-8.49 |
-3.34 |
-3.34 |
FDVLX |
FIDELITY VALUE FUND |
MC/V |
6.35 |
-1.60 |
-6.78 |
-9.19 |
-11.41 |
-6.26 |
2.82 |
MPMCX |
MELLON MID CAP STOCK FUND |
MC/G |
7.33 |
0.41 |
-0.06 |
-10.86 |
-3.99 |
1.16 |
0.76 |
DNVYX |
DAVIS NEW YORK VENTURE FUND |
LC/B |
6.56 |
-0.26 |
-1.98 |
-9.12 |
-5.32 |
-0.17 |
-0.17 |
PAMCX |
TROWEPRICE MID CAP GROWTH
FUND |
MC/G |
11.48 |
3.38 |
-1.29 |
-10.76 |
1.52 |
6.67 |
6.28 |
AIVSX.lw |
INVESTMENT COMPANY OF
AMERICAN
FUND |
LC/B |
6.91 |
2.50 |
-4.33 |
-8.98 |
-4.58 |
0.58 |
0.58 |
HWLAX.lw |
HOTCHKIS AND WILEY LARGE CAP
VALUE FUND |
LC/V |
3.80 |
-7.37 |
-8.37 |
-11.18 |
-21.75 |
-16.59 |
-11.65 |
LLPFX |
LONGLEAF PARTNERS FUND |
LC/B |
8.08 |
-1.45 |
-8.55 |
-10.89 |
-13.20 |
-8.05 |
-8.05 |
FLPSX |
FIDELITY LOW PRICED STOCK FUND |
MC/B |
6.34 |
-2.57 |
-2.94 |
-7.63 |
-7.11 |
-1.96 |
1.94 |
|
Average |
|
6.08 |
0.96 |
-3.73 |
-8.89 |
-6.07 |
-0.92 |
-0.55 |
SPY |
SPDRs |
LC/B |
6.24 |
2.01 |
-3.36 |
-9.44 |
-5.15 |
|
|
IWF |
iShares Russell 1000 Growth Index |
LC/G |
6.81 |
4.16 |
-0.79 |
-10.21 |
-0.89 |
|
|
IWD |
iShares Russell 1000 Value Index |
LC/V |
4.88 |
-0.28 |
-5.81 |
-8.74 |
-10.10 |
|
|
IWP |
iShares Russell Midcap Growth Index |
MC/G |
6.68 |
2.08 |
-1.74 |
-10.99 |
-4.76 |
|
|
IWR |
iShares Russell Midcap Index |
MC/B |
5.25 |
-0.42 |
-3.59 |
-9.99 |
-9.05 |
|
|
IWS |
iShares Russell Midcap Value Index |
MC/V |
3.62 |
-3.58 |
-6.02 |
-8.66 |
-14.24 |
|
|
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