Dow 30: Nine DOWN, Twenty-One to Go!

March 26th, 2014

by Steven Bauer

Advisor Perspectives welcomes guest contributions. The views presented here do not necessarily represent those of Advisor Perspectives.

My 50+ Year Logo is: "Investing Wisely."

At this writing these nine Companies are now Bearish and “Un-Favorable” and are suggesting that the very old Bull General Market is deteriorating. It is always a slow process of topping that requires much patience and discipline. Doing your homework each day helps more than you might think.

Believe it or not, this is one of my very best ways to Identify – Bullish and Bearish Inflection Points for the General Market Indices. You will find by reading my many published articles that I have even better ones but this "simple guy" tells the story both more simple and graphically than some of my others. It is basic mathematics with no gimmicks or formulas to learn to interrupt in order follow with precision. It is a matter of having the patience and discipline to monitor these BIG (Blue) GUNs, and as they endlessly Cycle from Bullish to Bearish and back again to Bullish ad-nauseas over time. I simple keep the Dow 30 - Industrials "Count" in perspective and believe me consistently profit from the ever-changing cycles.

Just for the record, it will only take a few more Companies to turn Bearish, certainly not anywhere near the remaining twenty-one

Going Back Just A Bit for Reference

Right now, the 'Down / Bearish (Un-Favorable) Count' is at Nine, still too small to change my Opinion from Bullish to Bearish for the Dow or the General Market – BUT – Getting Close.

It is important to understand that the Dow Jones Industrial Average is a (weighted) average. For example: The numeric influence of Visa is ten times that of Verizon. I believe I have the credentials to more than suggest that -- this is Manipulation Beyond ANY Acceptable Level by Wall Street – and they just keep taking advantage of a sanguine investing public.

Within any group of securities, including all the securities on the planet, my work / analytics focuses on the Favorable and the Un-Favorable. There are always a group of Favorable, the Un-Favorable and the "Also-Rans" on my management lists. The latter are of no interest to me until they rotate-completely -- Into or Out of "Favor." (Please read the notes in the table below).

Further Support: My Saturday Articles for the S&P 1,500 Composite, broken down to the Large / Mid / Small Cap component Companies offers even more detail. Just click to read.

Note : There are ALWAYS many more lower risk Companies within the Standard & Poor’s 1,500 Components as well as the many other Securities in my Universe, with a much Higher Probability of Profit than any of these Dow 30 Component Companies -- The Trick is to Know Which Ones!

You will note the title has notable meaning and comes from Kenny Rodgers' song The Gambler (click to listen).

You've got to know when to hold 'em, know when to fold 'em,

Know when to walk away and know when to run.

Table of all 30 Dow Industrials

The Table above is designed as a teaching tool but is both current and very accurate analytics. I hope you will want to study it very carefully. Suffice it to say the warm colors have notable increased since my last posting of this article.

I write a semi-monthly article updating each of the Dow Companies. Here is an archive list of my articles: APX, BA, CAT, CSCO, CVX, DD, DIS, GE, GS, IBM, INTC, HD, JNJ, JPM, KO, MCD, MMM, MRK, MSFT, NKE, PFE, PG, T, TRV, UNH, UTX, V, VZ, WMT, XOM .

Please understand that the Table above is current as to my views for each company. For those Companies that are "Un-Favorable" (Not Bright Green) I still may have a Hold in place waiting for a more opportune and perhaps profitable time to sell. If you would like my specific opinion, please feel free to Email me.

You will find my long-term Charts in each of the above Dow 30 symbols. That too is a perspective you might want to acquaint yourself with.

The General U.S. Stock Market - Forecasted

This week (so far) the General Market is down and the year to date is definitely un-impressive. That's Ok if you are looking for a Bearish Inflection Point – and I am. It only means that I / YOU must remain patient and wait for my composite technical indicators to do their thing. My fundamental and economic indicators have been in place for months. Technically, I am very prepared and confident with my pending Bearish Formal Recommendations to my Clients.

There will be a mini or bounce rally, and how that plays out is what keeps me smiling with my work / analytics … after which I expect to see further confirmation of my Bearish Short-Term Forecast.

At this time, I am primarily holding Cash. Oh yes, I am holding those Companies and ETFs that remain 'Favorable' which can be seen in the above table and in my articles listed below. My overall research is focused on a Topping and very likely a new Bearish Inflection Point, or if you prefer a new / meaningful Bearish Cycle.

Smile, Have Fun, Investing Wisely,

Dr. Steve

Note : Should you have interest in my professional guidance and direction for your Portfolios, please Email Me with your questions or thoughts:

For Daily Updates and a Deeper View into my work / Analytics, you might want to Click and Scroll Down to my "Thumb-Nail" Articles within my personal blog.

Please spend some time reading my articles for a perspective of their and also viewing my Bio before making inquiries. Sharing a bit about yourself and your financial and needs, goals and objectives would be appreciated.

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