Intrade Odds for "Obamacare" to Become Law by 6/30/2010

Bespoke Investment Group

March 5, 2010

Odds for "Obamacare" to become law in the US by the middle of 2010 (6/30/10) were ranging from 30%-35% for most of 2010 until just a few days ago.  The odds spiked significantly this week when President Obama pushed for the Senate to use "reconciliation" to pass reform, which only requires 51 votes and cannot be filibustered.  As shown below, "the money" (Intrade.com) currently puts the odds of "Obamacare" becoming law by 6/30 at 60%. 

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