by Robert Huebscher
The Fed should reject its inclination to raise rates, according to Jeffrey Gundlach. It's rare that he agrees with Larry Summers, but in this case the two believe that the fundamentals in the U.S. economy do not justify higher interest rates.
by Larry Swedroe
Looking at its 35-year track record, some now consider the Sequoia Fund (SEQUX) an anomaly; it is an actively managed fund that has persistently generated positive risk-adjusted returns, outperforming its peers and its benchmark. Should investors expect this outperformance to persist?
by Dan Richards
Yelp and other "advisor-ratings" sites give a new platform to former clients who bear grudges. Fortunately, you don't have to be a powerless victim. There are some simple, proactive measures that can help you protect your reputation against unfair reviews.
by Daniel Solin
You are in a meeting with a prospect. You want to do everything you can to convert that prospect into a client. What actions can you take to maximize the possibility of success?
by Martin Weil
I tip my hat to Little League for the courage of their convictions in how they dealt with the transgressions by Chicago's Jackie Robinson West team. I only wish that the same justice might have been meted out to those firms who gamed the system throughout the 1990s and 2000s.
by Stephen Terrell
Rather than let unneeded term policies expire, clients may be able to sell them to a life insurance settlement provider. Life settlements were historically limited to whole-life policies, but new developments offer advisors greater flexibility to access cash for a variety of insurance products.
Find career opportunities for firms that seek to add financial advisors and planners to their staff. Read more to find out how to post opportunities at your firm.
by Beverly Flaxington
We have been very successful when we sit down with a prospect to tell our story. However, our newest advisors find this more challenging. Our story is clear to them, but it isn't distinct from what they have heard at other firms. How can we reinforce our story or build a new one incorporating ideas from our staff?
by Urban Carmel of The Fat Pitch
When SPY has risen 3 weeks in a row, it most often rises further for at least one more week. SPY has been up 3 weeks in a row 19 times in the past 4 years. In 17 of those 19 times (89%), it continued up at least one more week. In one of those 19 instances, SPY gave back half its gains before going higher (yellow arrow); and in just one instance, SPY gave back 100% of its gains (red arrow).
by Nouriel Roubini of Project Syndicate
Monetary policy has become increasingly unconventional in the last six years, with central banks implementing zero-interest-rate policies, quantitative easing, credit easing, forward guidance, and unlimited exchange-rate intervention. But now we have come to the most unconventional policy tool of them all: negative nominal interest rates.
by Russ Koesterich of BlackRock
Economists are divided over the reasons behind the slowdown in U.S. productivity growth, but its effects on future economic growth are unquestionably negative.
by Sharon Fay of AllianceBernstein
Plunging oil prices since mid-2014 have led many equity investors to shun energy stocks. We think that’s a mistake. By studying the aftermath of previous oil shocks, we believe investors can gain insight to prepare for a possible rebound.
by Tassos Stassopoulos of AllianceBernstein
What’s the connection between electricity and women? Electricity is an agent of empowerment, able to transform societies and economies in emerging markets. It paves the way to buying home appliances like electric cookers, refrigerators and washing machines, freeing up women from hours of daily housework. In our view, more access to power in developing countries will be a catalyst for more women to join the workforce, leading to huge changes in consumer spending patterns.
by Liz Ann Sonders, Brad Sorensen & Jeffrey Kleintop of Charles Schwab
Stocks have recovered their January losses and have continued to move higher. While economic growth remains solid and we remain secular bulls, investors should be prepared for increased volatility and the potential for a near-term correction. Also, European stocks may be due for at least a pause and we suggest looking to add exposure to emerging market positions if needed. Staying well diversified and keeping an eye on rebalancing is the recommended strategy.
by Doug Short of Advisor Perspectives (dshort.com)
Today's new release of the publicly available data from the Economic Cycle Research Institute (ECRI) puts its Weekly Leading Index (WLI) at 130.6, up slightly from 130.4 the previous week. The WLI annualized growth indicator (WLIg) is at -4.5, down from the previous week's -4.2 but off the interim low of -5.0 in mid-January.
by Michael Hasenstab of Franklin Templeton
While some forecasters predict gloomy global growth this year, the contrarian-minded Dr. Michael Hasenstab, chief investment officer, Templeton Global Macro Group (formerly known as Templeton Global Bond Group), has a different view. He aims to counter what he sees as “excessive pessimism” surrounding the global economy and outlines why he believes the recent plunge in oil prices could prove a tailwind, not only for economic growth in the United States, but also in Europe. He also offers his scorecard regarding Japan’s monetary policy experiment dubbed “Abenomics.”
Recent dshort Posts
Five of the eight indexes on my world market watch list posted weekly gains, with Germany's DAX as the top performer, up 3.18%. Japan's Nikkei and France's CAC 40 were in a near dead heat for second place with China's Shanghai Composite not far behind after emerging from its long Lunar New Year break. Hong Kong's Hang Send and India's SENSEX finished the week a hair below flat. The US's S&P 500 was the weakling of the bunch with its 0.27% loss.
Valid until the market close on March 31, 2015
The S&P 500 closed February with a monthly gain of 5.49%, the largest one-month gain in 40 months. All three S&P 500 MAs and four of the five the Ivy Portfolio ETF MAs are signaling "Invested". In the table below, monthly closes that are within 2% of a signal are highlighted in yellow.
Presenter: Jim O'Shaughnessy
Wednesday, March 4, 2015 - 4:15 p.m. EST
Assets in index funds and ETFs are reaching all-time highs, driven in part by the belief that stock selection strategies have become a fool's errand for investors who are trying to outperform the market. In this webinar, Jim O'Shaughnessy will share empirical research conducted over 80 years to debunk this myth and identify time-tested principles that allow investors to consistently beat the market. He will:
The markets had much to consider this week, most notably Fed Chair Yellen's semi-annual congressional testimony on Tuesday and Thursday and today's updates on Consumer Sentiment and GDP. The S&P 500 showed relatively little reaction to any of this week's economic events, trading within a microscopic 0.79% range from its intraday low on Monday to its intraday high on Wednesday (which was also its record high). Today's -0.30% closing loss trimmed the February monthly gain to a whopping 5.49%, the biggest monthly gain since October of 2011, 40 months ago, when the index rose 10.77%.